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- Newsgroups: sci.space
- Path: sparky!uunet!usc!zaphod.mps.ohio-state.edu!darwin.sura.net!mojo.eng.umd.edu!cadlab.eng.umd.edu!SYSMGR
- From: sysmgr@king.eng.umd.edu (Doug Mohney)
- Subject: Re: Who can launch antisats? (was Re: DoD launcher use)
- Message-ID: <1993Jan07.172405.7028@eng.umd.edu>
- Date: Thu, 07 Jan 93 17:24:05 GMT
- Organization: Computer Aided Design Lab, U. of Maryland College Park
- References: <1992Dec14.144135.14439@ke4zv.uucp> <1992Dec14.221347.3359@iti.org> <1992Dec16.092029.27518@ke4zv.uucp> <1992Dec16.202219.2063@eng.umd.edu> <1992Dec17.110426.8596@ke4zv.uucp> <1992Dec17.1 <1992Dec21.164114.1@fnala.fnal.gov> <1992Dec24.022440.27944@ke4zv.u <1993Jan05.172440.14403@eng.umd.edu> <1993Jan06.212430.15120@eng.umd.edu>
- Reply-To: sysmgr@king.eng.umd.edu
- Lines: 57
-
- In article <C0GJFB.5IL@news.cso.uiuc.edu>, jbh55289@uxa.cso.uiuc.edu (Josh 'K' Hopkins) writes:
-
- >>It is likely we have a quick-launch replacement capability, either through
- >>air breathing mysterious aircraft or (more likely) derivative ballistic missile
- >>capability, on land and at sea.
- >
- >Could you please cite a shread of evidence that such a system is operational?
- >Stipulating for a moment that the capability exists, please explain how many
- >ground based backups there are for KH-12s or how long it takes to replace them.
- >Quick launch capability is after all quite useless without something to launch.
-
- Josh, Aviation Week has published material on the possible existing
- air-breathing quick-launch capability. It is also known some Minuteman
- missiles are not loaded with nuclear weapons, but comm relays and such.
-
- As for the exact number of ready-launch backups, what their capabilities
- are, and so forth, it falls under "black" programs and you won't find it
- published on the front page of the Washington Post.
-
- Since the ex-Sovs demonstrated a capability to hit targets in orbit, it HAS
- been a worry of warplanners and certain contingencies have been planned for.
-
- >>It is unlikely the attacking third-world country would have an equalivent
- >>replacement capability for whatever assets it has.
- >
- >If you're assuming the attacker is a third world country than you seem to be
- >ignoring the possibility that it doesn't have significant assests worth
- >worrying
- >about. That doesn't mean that they wouldn't love knocking ours out.
-
- Satellite-based communications and imaging are both within in the grasp of any
- third world country which can put up an ASAT to successfully attack orbital
- assets.
-
- >>>That didn't stop Saddam Hussein from invading Kuwait.
- >
- >>Sure it didn't. However, the UN voted to remove Iraqi troops by the use of
- >>force and thereby did so accordingly. Had Iraqi troops seized anything less
- >>than Kuwait City, or removed themselves from Kuwait City without committing
- >>anything more than token atrocities, Iraq would not be divided into three parts
- >>today.
- >
- >And the threat of that didn't stop Saddam Hussein from invading either. Keep
- >in mind that attackers frequently think along different lines than their
- >enemies expect them to.
-
- What threat? Hussein was not THREATENED with anything until after he took over
- Kuwait and the stories of atrocities came out.
-
- Had Mr. Hussein limited himself to redrawing the borders of Kuwait and not
- invaded Kuwait City; he wouldn't be in the trouble he (still) is in today.
-
- The original point is "World Opinion DOES count." Iraq would not be abused if
- it behaved.
-
- I have talked to Ehud, and lived.
- -- > SYSMGR@CADLAB.ENG.UMD.EDU < --
-