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- Date: Wed, 6 Jan 1993 13:25:50 EST
- Sender: "Control Systems Group Network (CSGnet)" <CSG-L@UIUCVMD.BITNET>
- From: mmt@BEN.DCIEM.DND.CA
- Subject: Re: Testers/Testees
- Lines: 44
-
- [Martin Taylor 930106 13:10]
- (Bill Powers 930105.2130)
-
- >The individual, however, is well-advised to avoid being part of
- >such mass systems [tests. MMT], because the tradeoff is never in the
- >individual's favor.
-
- What, never? Well, hardly ever! (Gilbert & Sullivan)
-
- I would have thought that it depended on the likely outcome whether it was
- in an individual's interest to submit to tests, be they educational, medical,
- or otherwise. If I want to live longer, I have a better chance if the
- cancer is detected earlier (by a test that is not guaranteed to give a
- correct result, but which does so more often than not). If I want to
- get into a university, and I know they go by exam results, I will submit
- to a test if I think I will get a good mark, though the good mark is not
- guaranteed. There are lots of reasons why an individual might want to
- be part of mass tests, even if the results would not be applied directly
- to that person. The indirect benefits resulting from the statistical
- findings, which alter public policy in a way that generally improves
- matters (though not for everybody), might make it worthwhile to submit to
- the test.
-
- You can't demand perfection from the results of your actions on the world.
- You have reorganized so that your actions tend to move your perceptions in
- the direction of their reference levels, but it is not only for reasons of
- disturbance that the actions sometimes fail. It is more often (at higher
- levels particularly) that you have not had the statistical opportunity to
- reorganize to match the way Boss Reality works. Situations never recur
- exactly, and at higher levels, by their very nature, there are more important
- interactions that easily take you into situations where the results of actions
- are different from what you expect, working from memory of apparently
- related situations.
-
- Reorganization works by statistics: you really can't do better when dealing
- with the real world. The nature of reorganization, by whichever of the 12
- different mechanisms, ensures that you do as well as you possibly can. But
- you can't get perfection, so you have to go with probabilities. If the
- probabilities seem likely to lead you into a perceptual state further from
- your references than you now are, don't do whatever it is, whether it is
- submitting to a test (that might get you fired from your job unfairly), or
- running in front of an oncoming car.
-
- Martin
-