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- Path: sparky!uunet!wupost!darwin.sura.net!seismo!skadi!stead
- From: stead@skadi.CSS.GOV (Richard Stead)
- Newsgroups: ca.earthquakes
- Subject: Re: HAYWARD FAULT????
- Message-ID: <51513@seismo.CSS.GOV>
- Date: 19 Nov 92 20:45:14 GMT
- References: <1dsdflINNj1h@male.EBay.Sun.COM> <41244@sdcc12.ucsd.edu> <41246@sdcc12.ucsd.edu>
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- Nntp-Posting-Host: skadi.css.gov
-
- In article <41246@sdcc12.ucsd.edu>, cs65xaq@sdcc8.ucsd.edu (Elvis) writes:
- > I have a question for anyone out there...I know there are certain
- > tendancies for earthquakes to occur at certain times.
-
- No, there aren't. This has been shown by several researchers.
-
- > For instance, when the sun and moon are in sync so they are actually
- > re-inforcing each others' pull on the earth.
-
- This in particular has been disproved as a quake trigger. The physical
- reason why this is not a good trigger is simple - this is a long-wavelength
- stress effect (the wavelength is half the circumference of the earth).
- This means that it cannot produce a differential stress - instead it
- affects both sides of the fault the same way and neither encourages
- nor discourages slip. The stress involved is also quite small, many effects
- on earth are much larger.
-
- > I also know that as far back as history goes, almost without fail
- > there has been a big quke onthe hayward fault 3 years after a san
- > andreas (bay area section) quake---any word of that theory being
-
- I have never heard of this theory. Also, there are only a handful of
- historic events on the San Andreas, so the statistics of this would be
- pretty lousy.
-
- > To the person who felt the loma prieta quake in L.A.:
- > I felt the late june- L.A. quake (The day I chose to stay up all
- > night, That happened at 5ish a.m.!)
- > and I was in the SF bay area!
- > So---this is interesting. Anyone who says an earthquake can't move
- > over 400+ miles is very wrong! :)
-
- No one has ever claimed this. The 1811/1812 New Madrid quakes were felt
- from Quebec to Florida and from the Rockies to Boston. Quakes in CA don't come
- close to this in terms of distance over which they can be felt. The reason
- is the difference in the crustal structure. CA's crust is all chewed up,
- warm and soft due to all the active tectonics. Such material doesn't
- propagate waves very well. The eastern US, however has a solid, hard, cold
- crust that propagates waves with very little energy loss. Nevertheless,
- CA quakes are commonly felt at a distance of 400 km when they are in the
- neighborhood of M7 as these two quakes were. Wait for the 8.3 - it will be
- felt over an even wider area.
-
-
- --
- Richard Stead
- Center for Seismic Studies
- Arlington, VA
- stead@seismo.css.gov
-