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- Newsgroups: sci.econ
- Path: sparky!uunet!caen!zaphod.mps.ohio-state.edu!magnus.acs.ohio-state.edu!cthorne
- From: cthorne@magnus.acs.ohio-state.edu (Charles E Thorne)
- Subject: Re: Trade War?
- Message-ID: <1992Nov10.164345.22578@magnus.acs.ohio-state.edu>
- Sender: news@magnus.acs.ohio-state.edu
- Nntp-Posting-Host: bottom.magnus.acs.ohio-state.edu
- Organization: The Ohio State University
- References: <JACKSON.92Nov10090438@kaos.stsci.edu> <1992Nov10.160010.21690@magnus.acs.ohio-state.edu> <BxICzy.I5p@apollo.hp.com>
- Date: Tue, 10 Nov 1992 16:43:45 GMT
- Lines: 37
-
- In article <BxICzy.I5p@apollo.hp.com> nelson_p@apollo.hp.com (Peter Nelson) writes:
- >In article <1992Nov10.160010.21690@magnus.acs.ohio-state.edu> cthorne@magnus.acs.ohio-state.edu (Charles E Thorne) writes:
-
- >>However, I expect we'll see a lot more protectionism in the years ahead.
- >>With the large U.S. budget deficit, sending military aid to the rest of the
- >>world and allowing them to send products to the U.S. in competition with
- >>our producers will become politically undesirable in the years to come.
-
- > How does it follow that this will result in more protectionism?
-
- Clinton ran on a ticket of increasing U.S. jobs. One way to indicate that
- he's serious about this would be to propose laws that would decrease losing
- jobs to other countries. Thus protectionism would increase (he also had
- serious questions about approving NAFTA).
-
- > Isn't the logical conclusion from this that it would result
- > in less military aid, especially reducing the large US forces
- > on foreign soil?
-
- I would expect that the U.S. forces in Europe would decline substantially
- (although the Europeans have already complained that we're not doing enough
- about solving the Serbian-Crotia issue).
-
- Unfortunately, reducing military expenditures will also increase unemployment
- --both in military forces and in defense industries.
-
- Clinton will also need substantial help in Congress for his many programs and
- that will involve bribing the Congressional leaders (just as Reagan did)--
- textile protectionism, general farm subsidies (including peanut subsidies).
- With GM in trouble, there will also be claims for doing something about the
- Japanese and Germans taking all those jobs from Detroit.
-
- Charlie
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