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- From: gunter@csd4.csd.uwm.edu (David O Gunter)
- Subject: Probability Question
- Message-ID: <1992Sep14.212528.29098@uwm.edu>
- Sender: news@uwm.edu (USENET News System)
- Organization: Computing Services Division, University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee
- References: <TORKEL.92Sep14095330@isis.sics.se> <1992Sep14.190245.7926@CSD-NewsHost.Stanford.EDU> <TORKEL.92Sep14223854@bast.sics.se>
- Date: Mon, 14 Sep 1992 21:25:28 GMT
- Lines: 46
-
- A particle is equally likely to be found anywhere on the circumference of a
- circle. Choose some line which passes through the center of the circle to be
- a reference axis. Then the line joining the center of the circle to the
- particle will make some angle, theta, with respect to this axis.
-
- Question: What is the probability that the angle will lie between theta
- and theta + dtheta (dtheta is some increment amount.)
-
- Here are two ways I've tried to tackle the problem:
-
- First, the total range of theta is 2*Pi, so that the probability should be
- proportional to dtheta/(2*pi). But there are 4 positions around the circle
- at which the particle will be at some angle theta w/respect to the axis. So
- it appears that the probability should be
-
- 2 dtheta
- P = ---------
- Pi
-
- However, if I think of the problem in another way, I get a different
- answer:
- Imagine that we are dealing with only one quarter of the circle. Now
- there is a range of Pi/2 for the theta values, and there is only one
- position at which the particle makes an angle theta w/respect to the axis
- (one of the sides of the 'pie slice'.) So the prob. for this piece is
- 2*theta/Pi. But since there are 4-quarters, the total prob. is
-
- 8 dtheta
- P = -----------
- Pi
-
- Which, if any, of these two methods gives the correct answer? Or what is
- the correct answer?
-
- Thanks.
-
- |"How arrives it joy lies slain, and why unbloomed the
- david gunter | the greatest hope ever sown . . ."
- gunter@csd4.csd.uwm.edu | -Thomas Hardy
- gunter@mcs.anl.gov | "Hap"
-
- --
- |"How arrives it joy lies slain, and why unbloomed the
- david gunter | the greatest hope ever sown . . ."
- gunter@csd4.csd.uwm.edu | -Thomas Hardy
- gunter@mcs.anl.gov | "Hap"
-