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- The Stumbling Blocks
-
- There are still a few factors that are preventing electronic mail from replacing
- the U.S. Postal System. For one thing, not everybody has an electronic mailbox.
- Only about 25% of the households in the nation have a personal computer, many of
- those don't have a modem, and some of THOSE don't subscribe to any electronic
- information network yet.
-
- All those numbers will increase, of course, as computers become easier to use
- and continue to penetrate our culture. Right now, the people who subscribe to
- GEnie can't send e-mail to CompuServe members, who can't send mail to PC Link
- members, who can't send mail to Prodigy members,and so on. This is a problem.
- If these networks were smart, they'd realize that by linking their mail systems
- together, they could essentially drive the post office out of business. Online
- services would sign up more subscribers and more people would buy computers.
- Until they wise up, savvy entrepreneurs will fill the gap.
-
- As far as junk mail goes, I would be perfectly happy to never see Ed McMahan's
- puffy face on a letter again.
-
- DA Systems of Campbell, California will take your e-mail messages from one
- network and send them for you to the address you designate on another network.
- The company connects with more than 60 networks, so you're virtually assured
- that they can send your mail anywhere. The charge is $33.50 to sign up, $4.75
- per month, and 60-75 cents per message. Call 408-559-7434 for more information.
-
- But we still have the problem of sending all that non-message stuff we receive
- in the mail every day. As far as junk mail goes, I would be perfectly happy to
- never see Ed McMahan's puffy face on a letter again. But junk mail is always
- going to be here. My guess is that it will be arriving through another
- medium--television.
-
-
-
- As I write this, today's New York Times sports the headline, "F.C.C. Plans To
- Set Up 2-Way TV." The story says "the new frequency would be used to combine
- regular television programming with a diverse menu of home-shopping and on-line
- information services akin to those now available to owners of personal computers
- through telephone lines. " All the signs are there that TV is becoming an
- interactive medium. We will use it to receive targeted junkmail, catalogs and
- other information that arrives through the regular mail today.
-
-
-
- I haven't even touched on the phenomenal success of the fax machine, which will
- also inevitably decrease paper mail. When Joe Sixpack realizes he can get a fax
- for a few hundred dollars, every household in the country will get one. As the
- cost of mailing a letter continues to climb (and it will) and the cost of
- sending messages electronically goes down (ditto), at some point the familiar
- sight of the mailman making his rounds will become a nostalgic memory. I'm
- gonna miss the old guy, but as they say, you can't stop progress.
-
-
-
- Dan Gutman writes the syndicated column "I Didn't Know You Could Do THAT With A
- Computer!" His latest book is "It Ain't Cheatin' If You Don't Get Caught:
- Scuffing, Corking, Spitting, Gunking, Razzing and Other Fundamentals of Our
- National Pastime" (Penguin).
-
- Copyright 1991, Telecomputing Magazine -- All rights reserved.
-