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- Newsgroups: sci.med.aids
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- From: quilty@PHILOS.umass.edu (Lulu of the lotus-eaters)
- Subject: HIV/AIDS Link -- followup inquiry
- Message-ID: <1993Jan26.043240.6847@cs.ucla.edu>
- Note: Copyright 1992, Dan R. Greening. Non-commercial reproduction allowed.
- Sender: usenet@cs.ucla.edu (Mr Usenet)
- Nntp-Posting-Host: sole.cs.ucla.edu
- Archive-Number: 33
- Organization: University of Massachusetts, Amherst
- Date: 25 Jan 1993 18:39:06 -0500
- Approved: david@stat.com (David Dodell)
- Lines: 130
-
- I posted an inquiry to this group recently, requesting
- information on the doubts Duesberg and others have expressed about
- the alleged link between HIV and AIDS, and the effect upon this
- doubt of recent evidence of higher rates of T4 cell infection. In
- a responding post, Matthew P Wiener, has largely denounced
- Duesberg's scepticism; and by extention, I believe, my question.
- I would like to provide some excerpts from a fruitful email
- conversation I have had, which clarifies the reasons for my doubts
- about the HIV/AIDS link.
-
- As before, I would be extremely interested in hearing from
- anyone with further information on this question. As I mentioned
- before, I am not a biologist or virologist; however, I am an
- intelligent enough layperson to wade through technical papers if
- someone sends me them.
-
- .....[My Correspondent].....
- I don't have any info on what Duesberg and others have to say, but I can
- say something about the issue of HIV infecting cells. Viruses work by
- insinuating thier DNA into the DNA of the host. Some viruses can stay
- dormant for years, only later to have an effect. In fact, there is evidence
- that there are provirus sequences (sequences of viral DNA) that have been
- passed down to us over many many generations. Think about it, if 20-30%
- (high estimate) of T4 cells are infected, and once in a while, a few of
- these become active and start replicating HIV, you can see how you might
- see a slow decrease over time in T4 cell count.
-
- .....[Myself].....
- Thank you for your above response. I think, however, that it
- fails fully to appreciate the significance of the chemical
- inactivity of HIV in human T4 cells. I understand that viri can
- remain dormant in cells for many years, or even cross-
- generationally; such seems clearly to be the case with HIV.
- However, a "normal" virus must regain its chemical activity before
- it can have a renewed effect on a host. Even if they had "done
- nothing" for years, viri can restart their host-cell's active
- reproduction of viral clones, and hence have a negative effect
- upon their cellular host. But "normally" they do this by becoming
- active in a significant percentage of host cells. However, this
- is not the case for HIV. Even if it infects 90% of T4 cells, it
- remains latent in all but .01% of these cells at any given time.
- This latency is not *even*, but *especially* during the late
- stages of AIDS. That is, those most accutely suffering from AIDS
- often have the lowest rate of cellular HIV replication. You are
- quite correct about HIV becoming "once in a while" active, but
- this "once in a while" is (as I mentioned) such as only to affect
- approx. 10^(-4) T4 cells. Even if HIV were to kill every cell
- actively involved in its replication, the rate of depletion of T4
- counts would be substantially lower than their rate of
- replenishment (even at the lowered replenishment rate of AIDS
- sufferers).
-
- .....[My Correspondent].....
- Good point. Where does the .01% figure come from? Does that vary with
- individuals and over time? And what is the replenishment rate for T4 cells?
- I'll admit to not being either a virologist or an immunologist, but I am a
- biologist, and it seems that there is more information needed to really
- figure this out. Also, I thought that the reason that people in the late
- stages of HIV disease had the lowest HIV replication rates was because of
- the small pool of cells available to replicate in.
-
- .....[Myself].....
- The figure of 10^(-4) is of course an approximation which
- varies between individuals and over time; but I've generally seen
- it presented as the UPPER end of a plausible range.
- I read the figure in two Duesberg articles, one in _Cancer
- Research_, the other in _New Englang Journal of Medicine_. I'm
- sorry I don't have exact cites for either, but a quick trip to the
- citation index by author will find them. The first was
- early, like maybe 1987, and was one of the first pieces to
- question the HIV/AIDS hypothesis in a major scientific journal.
- The other was a couple years later, though it is also a couple
- years ago now. I've also seen secondary or tertiary articles on
- this area in the popular press (_Spin_ magazine does a
- particularly good job with this). The original 10^(-4)
- infection/replication rate was actually done by researchers under
- Gallo (who was listed as joint author). Gallo, however (fraud
- that he is), has tried vehemently to deny the consequences, and
- even factualness, of his own findings. Some further research has
- managed to find rates as high as 10^(-3) in individual cases, but
- these would be exceptionally high, and are not necessarily (and
- more likely *NOT*) in those acutely suffering from AIDS.
- I don't know exactly what the replenishment rate of T4 cells
- is, nor even the exact units in which such a thing would be
- expressed. But what I've heard is that, normally, it takes about
- a month completely to replace the T-cells (of all categories) in
- your body. It's difficult to make this exactly commensurate with
- a given rate of HIV replicating cells. What comparing these
- things basically depends upon is an estimate of how *quickly* HIV
- replication could conceivably kill a host cell. The problem is
- that *IN VITRO*, at least, HIV replication *hardly ever* kills
- host cells: that is, cellular cultures which are induced or
- selected for HIV replication survive *indefinitely*. Even the
- speculation of those whom I've seen mentioned in the popular press
- who are most dogmatically pro-HIV/AIDS link, only suggest that HIV
- replication might kill a cell *in vivo" in the course of *DAYS*.
- Even assuming a kill time of *ONE* day, and a replication rate of
- 10^(-3) host cells, this only gives us 30 x 10^(-3) = 1/30 of the
- cells killed during their month-long replication cycle! And these
- are outside assumptions on everything favoring an HIV explanation.
- The long and short of it is the the HIV/AIDS explanation has
- a *BIG* conceptual gap in the middle of it. I won't dogmatically
- conclude that this gap can't be filled; but neither will I
- dogmatically believe the hypothesis based simply on the word of a
- medical-research establishment deeply intermeshed with political
- biases, and a standard of truth subsumed to personal power games
- (by Gallo, particularly -- but others also).
-
- Also, I thought that the reason that people in the late
- stages of HIV disease had the lowest HIV replication rates was because of
- ^^^^^^^^^^^
- the small pool of cells available to replicate in.
-
- If you mean "replication rate" as a total rate of HIV production,
- this is true, though somewhat irrelevant. If you mean
- "replication rate" as a percentage of T4 cells active in the
- replication process, then this is pointedly not true of people in
- late-stage AIDS (who usually have lower such rates than people
- during early, asymptomatic infection). Btw. I don't know what
- "HIV disease" is! I can only talk about AIDS, since I believe that
- HIV infection is generally benevolent and asymptomatic (except
- mild flu-like symptoms *immediately* after infection).
-
- yours, Lulu...
-
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