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- Path: sparky!uunet!UB.com!pacbell.com!sgiblab!spool.mu.edu!torn!utgpu!attcan!ncrcan!scocan!paul
- From: paul@sco.COM (Paul Jackson)
- Newsgroups: rec.games.bridge
- Subject: Re: What's the best bid?
- Message-ID: <1993Jan26.195545.5666@sco.COM>
- Date: 26 Jan 93 19:55:45 GMT
- References: <1993Jan20.160831.27470@sco.COM> <1993Jan24.145929.11614@ramon.bgu.ac.il> <C1DAJw.8s6@cs.uiuc.edu>
- Sender: news@sco.COM (News administration)
- Organization: SCO Canada, Inc.
- Lines: 15
-
- In article <C1DAJw.8s6@cs.uiuc.edu> bharat@cs.uiuc.edu writes:
- >This is the crucial factor in your decision -- your slower auction
- >just gave the opponents a lot more information and they are *much*
- >likely to find a better lead. Some of the time you will do the same
- >as the rest of the field for an average, and some of the time you will
- >get a zero (occasionally you will do well, but it is fair to say that
- >your expectation is well below average if you play the field
- >contract). In this situation, you may as well shoot out 6C,
- >especially when (a) there are a LOT of hands partner could have where
- >7C is cold and (b) if you make it, it will be a cold top -- even a 45%
- >slam would be better than playing in the field 3NT
-
- While I agree with this analysis in general (ie, bidding a 45% slam would be
- a good idea) I still claim that on this particular hand the slam is much
- better than a 50% proposition and so should be bid anyway.
-