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- Path: sparky!uunet!portal!nntp1.radiomail.net!csl.sri.com!cisco.com!jimo
- From: jimo@cisco.com (Jim Oneil)
- Newsgroups: misc.invest
- Subject: Re: Recessions, real estate, and such
- Date: 27 Jan 1993 06:31:07 GMT
- Organization: cisco Systems, Incorporated
- Lines: 42
- Distribution: world
- Message-ID: <1k5a7bINN403@roche.csl.sri.com>
- References: <HRRyXB1w161w@cdthq.UUCP>
- NNTP-Posting-Host: stout.cisco.com
-
- Although state numbers are interesting I think that metropolitan
- impacts may be far more indicative of a real estate slump. If a
- city has a bunch of defense contractors then it will be hard hit
- even though the state figures "spread the pain".
-
- -Jimo
-
- In article <HRRyXB1w161w@cdthq.UUCP>, gary@cdthq.UUCP (Gary Heston) writes:
- |>
- |> The latest issue of Fortune Magazine has an interesting graphic in
- |> it, on page 86. It has to do with cutbacks in government programs,
- |> and how many jobs are expected to be lost in the top 10 states with
- |> Pentagon programs. Might be a good indicator of where real estate
- |> and unemployment will be disasters in 4-6 years. Briefly:
- |>
- |> State: Jobs lost so far: Expected by '97:
- |>
- |> New Jersey 13,000 44,000
- |> Pennsylvania 15,000 55,000
- |> Florida 18,000 56,000
- |> Ohio 19,000 62,000
- |> Connecticut 20,000 54,000
- |> Virginia 23,000 76,000
- |> Massachusetts 26,000 70,000
- |> New York 30,000 90,000
- |> Texas 32,000 98,000
- |> California 75,000 245,000
- |>
- |> Looks like RE in Ca, Tx, and NY will be *real* cheap in 3-5 years.
- |> However, of all ten, there's maybe two states I'd consider living
- |> in (or even owning rental property); Ohio and Virginia. NY, NJ, and
- |> Pa form one armpit of the US, along with Taxachusetts; Florida is
- |> full of retirees that vote in high taxes to support their retirement;
- |> Ca has some of the retiree problem along with having what appears
- |> to be most of the former Soviet Unions' policymakers, and Texas is
- |> nearly as bad.
- |>
- |> I'm glad this area has been diversifying away from the space program
- |> somewhat....
- |>
- |> Gary Heston, at home.... ...in Huntsville, Alabama,
- |> gary@cdthq.uucp the "Space Capital"....
-