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- From: jfelder@lerc.nasa.gov (James L. Felder)
- Newsgroups: sci.space
- Subject: Re: Justification for the Space Program
- Message-ID: <jfelder-070193115431@latvia.lerc.nasa.gov>
- Date: 7 Jan 93 18:20:09 GMT
- References: <1992Dec22.232911.17212@cs.rochester.edu> <Bzt8Dw.Fzs@mentor.cc.purdue.edu> <C0163t.Mq4@news.cso.uiuc.edu> <1992Dec29.181813.11510@unocal.com>
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-
- O.K., I just started following this group today, and already I see one of
- my favorite topics up for vorciferous debate, so I'll just wade in here. I
- didn't get in on the beginning of this thread, so I'll not put any
- quotation here, just some of my ideas. If I am repeating previous
- aurguments, then flame away if it make you feel better.
-
- Premise 1. We live on a finite planet with finite resources.
-
- Premise 2. Our technological society is highly dependent on resources that
- are being used up faster than they can be replaced.
-
- Premise 3. Economists seem to insist that we must continue to grow to
- increase our standard of living, and the public and politicians seemed to
- have bought into this premise. For proof one only has to look at the last
- election to see cries that we are "loosing the American Dream" because we
- are not better off than our parents held up as worthy compaign issues. The
- strong implication is that an ever increasing, I would hazard
- materialistic, standard of living is something we must all strive for.
-
- Premise 4. We will not stumble across some unlimited sources of energy
- (fusion) or materials (say a way to mine the earths core) here on earth.
-
- Conclusions. Energy and materials will become increasingly hard to obtain,
- and that eventually the net energy and material production will decline
- below what is required to maintain some existing standard of living.Unless
- we find a way to circumvent the limited resources of our planet, we as a
- technologically advanced society will cease to exist. People will continue
- to exist, but society will not be as we know it. I do not know the time
- frame, nor care to hazard a guess, but the end seems to me to be
- unavoidable.
-
- I agree that we can postpone it through careful husbandry of our resources,
- but not escape it. In fact we must learn to take better care of our planet
- (control pollution, DECREASE population globally, etc.), if it is going to
- be somewhere worth living. However, I see no earthbound solution to the
- untimate problem of limited resources. That lead to only one conclusion,
- IMHO, we must look elsewhere besides earth. We must, therefore, continue
- to explore and learn to utilize resources off of our planet, and the only
- way to do that is a space program.
-
- Further, we must have a vigorous space program now because I think we are
- near a cusp point in history. That point is where we have the techological
- where with all to undertake such a program and still have plentiful and
- cheap enough energy and materials to allow society to "afford" it. If we
- wait any significant amount of time before beginning our space exploration,
- the sources of very cheap energy, (mid-east oil, shallow coal fields and
- the like) will begin to be exhausted. New sources will be in harder to get
- at places like the antarctic, deep water, and deep mines, making them more
- expensive to produce. This will cause costs of everything to rise, placing
- an ever greater strain on society. If the arguments against the space
- program being a waste of time and money are at all effective now, imagine
- how much more effective they will be energy and materials are several times
- as expensive, in constant terms, as they are now. Then a space program
- will then be a luxury that our children or grandchildren could ill afford
- in their ever greater struggles simple to stay afloat. The time for a
- space program is not in the future, it is now. Now while we still can.
-
- A space program is not an answer to the problems of the world. There are
- too many of us and we pollute too much, but hese are beyond the ability of
- the space program to fix. I see no other alternative besides expanding
- beyond the surface of this planet to escape the fate of an infinitely
- consuming society in a finite world.
-
- If anyone can see another approach to avoid this coffin corner we seem to
- be headed towards, I would love to hear about it.
-
-
- James L. Felder (216)891-4019 -My opinions are MINE-
- Sverdrup Technology, Inc. jfelder@lerc.nasa.gov I think that should
- NASA Lewis Research Center Cleveland 44135 cover all bases,
- don't you.
-
- "Some people drink from the fountain of knowledge -
- other people gargle"
-