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- Newsgroups: sci.space
- Path: sparky!uunet!cs.utexas.edu!csc.ti.com!tilde.csc.ti.com!mksol!mccall
- From: mccall@mksol.dseg.ti.com (fred j mccall 575-3539)
- Subject: Re: Who can launch antisats? (was Re: DoD launcher use)
- Message-ID: <1993Jan6.182411.3410@mksol.dseg.ti.com>
- Organization: Texas Instruments Inc
- References: <1992Dec17.110426.8596@ke4zv.uucp> <1992Dec17.1 <1992Dec21.164114.1@fnala.fnal.gov> <1992Dec24.022440.27944@ke4zv.uucp> <ewright.725665121@convex.convex.com> <1993Jan4.165523.11040@ke4zv.uucp> <ewright.726186341@convex.convex.com>
- Date: Wed, 6 Jan 1993 18:24:11 GMT
- Lines: 45
-
- In <ewright.726186341@convex.convex.com> ewright@convex.com (Edward V. Wright) writes:
-
- >In <1993Jan4.165523.11040@ke4zv.uucp> gary@ke4zv.uucp (Gary Coffman) writes:
-
- >>Technically possible, but militarily dangerous. You've just escalated
- >>a brushfire conventional war into a nuclear exchange.
-
- >Oh? So what are you going to do about it? MAD -- the aptly named
- >legacy of Robert McNamara -- is still in effect. If you retaliate
- >by launching a nuclear strike against your enemy's territory, he can
- >do the same to you. Are you prepared to sacrifice millions of your
- >citizens to avenge the loss of one spy satellite?
-
- >I didn't think so.
-
- This same logic, of course, is sometimes used to show how it is
- possible to nuke an enemy city and get away with it -- is he going to
- sacrifice millions MORE of his citizens in a full scale exchange?
- This is usually used to show why MAD ostensibly has nothing to do with
- us not having fought a war with the Soviets over all this time.
-
- The trick is that once the first nuke flies, things stop being
- 'logical'. Whoever fired first, the other guy has now detected at
- least one nuclear burst and has lost a lot of electronic assets (C3I
- stuff). He's blinded, uninformed, and knows the other guy has fired
- at least one nuke. What's he going to do?
-
- >You might retaliate by attacking your enemy's satellites, but if
- >he started the ASAT battle, it's because he decided he has less
- >to lose than you do. (And if you're the United States, he's almost
- >certainly right.)
-
- Using this kind of tactic to get satellites is VERY dangerous, and I
- would say it is generally a bad idea.
-
-
-
-
-
-
- --
- "Insisting on perfect safety is for people who don't have the balls to live
- in the real world." -- Mary Shafer, NASA Ames Dryden
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Fred.McCall@dseg.ti.com - I don't speak for others and they don't speak for me.
-