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- From: vhs@rhein-main.de (Volker Herminghaus-Shirai)
- Subject: Re: A rosy forecast for 93
- Message-ID: <1993Jan2.201319.3232@qb.rhein-main.de>
- Sender: vhs@qb.rhein-main.de (Volker Herminghaus-Shirai)
- Reply-To: vhs@rhein-main.de
- References: <Jan01.223703.26806@yuma.ACNS.ColoState.EDU>
- Date: Sat, 2 Jan 93 20:13:19 GMT
- Lines: 85
-
- In article <Jan01.223703.26806@yuma.ACNS.ColoState.EDU>
- randall@redfish.atmos.colostate.edu (Dave Randall) writes:
- > An optimistic forecast for 93
-
- indeed ;-)
-
- > Here is a rosy view of how NeXT will fare in 1993. Note: I have no inside
- > information; the predictions below are based on an imaginative reading of
- > netnews and the media. There is at least some (apparent) basis for each item.
- >
- > 1. Faster 040 machines are introduced early in the year. Prices on slabs are
- > cut. An inexpensive color upgrade for the cube is announced, and it becomes
- > clear that the cube has a future. ND officially dies, though.
-
- Could be right except for the cheap_color and ND_death part.
-
- > 2. NeXTSTEP 486 is released almost on time, and is advertised extravagantly,
-
- Agree.
-
- > by NeXT standards. An introductory promotion is announced.
-
- Agree.
-
- > Jerry Pournelle
- > reviews NeXTSTEP 486 in his Byte column. Media coverage is broad and very
- > enthusiastic.
-
- Wrong. Media are "sponsored" by M$, Sun, IBM, etc. Also, most rags prefer
- to pamper and stroke their DOS-based readership a la "...but taking into
- account the vast amount of incredibly great Microsoft apps and the higher
- raw SCSI transfer rate, MS-DOS still wins by far over Solaris and NeXTSTEP."
-
- > NeXTSTEP 486 is promoted as the "high-end" PC software with snob appeal -- a
- > Lexus 400SC to Microsoft's Taurus (NT).
-
- Wrong. It's clearly a NeXTcedes SL vs. a tuned Lada (Lose 3.1) or its
- successor, the brand new 3-wheel-drive, 7 cylinder, overhead crapshaft
- OddBall 2000NT (doors, seats & dashboard compatible with Ford Model T)
-
- > 3. A NeXT-Cannon luggable (brief-case sized) machine is announced, with a
- > large, high-resolution color LCD screen that wows the industry.
-
- Based on which processor? Anyway, as far as I've heard Canon (not Cannon :-)
- is working on a different display technology, superior to LCD. Color.
-
- > 4. The NRW turns out to be based on multiple HP PA-RISC chips. Upgrades are
- > available for at least some of the existing machines.
-
- Both very likely IMHO.
-
- > NeXTSTEP is also made
- > available for use on HP 700 series workstations. HP thus takes advantage of
- the
- > opportunity that IBM threw away. The NeXT - HP deal is widely hailed as a
- > marriage of the best software and the best hardware available.
-
- Can't believe it. HP wouldn't want the hassle of introducing a new
- incompatible OS on their machines. Besides, they would have to compete
- against and work together with each other at the same time. For PA-RISC
- based NeXTSTEP machines, that is.
-
- > 5. A port of NeXTSTEP to SPARC is announced, and reaches the market late in
- the
- > year. Sales are brisk. Further ports are planned (SGI, PowerPC).
-
- Not delivery this year, I'm sure. NeXT has too few people for that.
-
- > 6. NeXTSTEP 486 achieves sales of 250,000 units in 1993, mostly to business
- and
- > government.
-
- Yup, and they could append another '0' if they sold the developer's version
- for $500 (too many royalties I'm afraid, though)
-
- > 7. NeXT's revenues reach $350 million for 1993. An IPO is planned for early
- > 1994.
-
- Will we ever know how much NeXT earns? It's still Steve's private pocket.
-
- --
- Volker Herminghaus-Shirai (vhs@qb.rhein-main.de)
-
- Looks good on the outside, but -
- intel inside
-