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- From: dave@eram.esi.COM.AU (Dave Horsfall)
- Newsgroups: aus.radio
- Subject: Daily IPS Report - 21 Nov 92
- Message-ID: <1794@eram.esi.COM.AU>
- Date: 21 Nov 92 03:34:50 GMT
- Distribution: aus
- Organization: Pacific ESI, Sydney, AUSTRALIA
- Lines: 77
-
- IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES AUSTRALIA
- Daily Solar And Geophysical Report
- Issued at 2330 UT 20 November 1992
- Summary for 20 November and Forecast up to 23 November
- IPS Warning Number 29 will be issued later today for
- period Nov 23-25.
- -----------------------------------------------------------
-
- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
- Activity: low
-
- Flares: none.
-
- Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 159/113
-
- 1B. SOLAR FORECAST
- 21 November 22 November 23 November
- Activity Low to moderate Low to moderate Low to moderate
- Fadeouts Possible Possible Possible
-
- Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 165/119
-
- 1C. SOLAR COMMENT
- None.
- -----------------------------------------------------------
-
- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
- Geomagnetic field at Learmonth : quiet
-
- Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 19 November
- Learmonth 03 2111 0021
- Fredericksburg 04 06
- Planetary 07 06
-
-
- 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
- Geomagnetic field at Learmonth : quiet
- Ap : 10
-
- 2C. MAGNETIC COMMENT
- Expect field to increase to active levels during the period 23-25th
- due to coronal hole activity.
-
- 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
- Propagation conditions :
- Low Lats: Normal.
- Mid Lats: Normal.
- High Lats: Normal.
- PCA Event : None.
- 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
- Propagation conditions are expected to be normal until 23rd
- when degradations in HF comms quality are expected especially
- at high lats.
- 3C. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION COMMENT
- None.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------
-
- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
- MUFs at Sydney were enhanced about 10%
-
- Observed Sydney Regional Ionospheric Index : 97
-
- 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
- 21 November 22 November 23 November
- MUFs enhanced about 15% enhanced about 15% enhanced about 15%
- T index 110 110 110
-
- Predicted Monthly Ionospheric Index for November is 70.
-
- 4C. AUSTRALIAN REGION COMMENT
- Degraded HF comms are expected Nov 23-25.
-
- --
- Dave Horsfall (VK2KFU) VK2KFU @ VK2RWI.NSW.AUS.OC
- dave@esi.COM.AU ...munnari!esi.COM.AU!dave
- Disclaimer: "Me, speak for us?"
-