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- Archive-name: gambling-faq/sports
- URL: http://www.conjelco.com/faq/sports.html
-
- -----------------------
- Frequently Asked Questions about Sports Betting
-
- This is the rec.gambling.sports Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) list.
-
- Most of the information in the FAQ was taken from the Art Manteris book
- "Superbookie". Published by Contemporary Books Inc. Copyright 1991.
-
- Changes or additions to this section of the FAQ should be submitted to:
- weinstock@conjelco.com.
-
- Page last modified: 10-5-95
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Table of Contents
-
- Section S: Sports Betting
- S1 Where can I bet legally on Sports?
- S2 What sports can I bet on?
- S3 What is "the spread"?
- S4 Why do I have to bet $11 to win $10?
- S5 What are all of the different types of bets?
- S6 Can I make a million dollars with one bet?
- S7 Who makes the odds?
- S8 Do I have to be over 21 to bet on sports?
- S9 What is the minimum bet that must be reported to the IRS?
- S10 Are there any good books or articles on sports gambling topics?
- S11 What internet resources and sports computer data services are available to
- those interested in sports gambling?
-
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Q:S1 Where can I bet legally on Sports?
- A:S1 (Philip Galanter)
-
- Leaving aside various forms of (animal) racing, there are at least four ways to
- bet on sports in the US, and of these two are legal, one is illegal, and one is
- ambiguous.
-
- You can bet legally at licensed Nevada Sports Books, and illegally with bookies
- in virtually every town. Most of the following describes the ins and outs of
- gambling at sports books. There are two points worth noting here. First, Nevada
- Sports Books can set up phone accounts, but will not accept wagers across state
- lines. Second, odds with illegal bookies are often worse than those one can get
- in Nevada.
-
- Betting with offshore (international) sports books seems to be on the rise, and
- promises to spread from phone services to internet based online services. From
- the point of view of bets and odds offered, these books are similar to licensed
- Nevada Sports Books. The legality of these services is, at best, ambiguous.
- There are claims and opinions on all sides of the argument, but few legal
- precedents. In addition, some offshore books are run by old trustworthy firms,
- some are fly-by-night scams, and many are somewhere in between. Cavaet Bettor.
-
- The last way (and other than in state Nevada betting the only other clearly
- legal way) to bet on sports in the US is the Oregon Lottery. This was described
- as follows in a rec.gambling post:
-
- The Oregon lottery is alive and well as far as football betting. The
- game is called sports action. The line is set by Jim Feist. It is set
- and printed on Wednesday and does not change. This can work to the
- bettor's advantage due to changes in team lineups due to injuries and
- such. The minimum wager is $2.00 and the minimum number of games bet
- is 3. The payoffs for a three game win is $5.00 per dollar wagered.
- Four games gets $10.00 per dollar wagered. All other wagers are paid
- on a paramutual fashion. For example, a seven game winner usually
- pays around $160 to $350. The maximum number of games that can be bet
- have a winner. A week or two ago $14,000 carried over in the 14 pool.
- There are also some games that are called special play games with
- over/under total score. The line seems to be fairly consistent with
- the Vegas line on the Wednesday that it is set.
-
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Q:S2 What sports can I bet on?
- A:S2
-
- You can bet on any sport the Sports Book you are wagering with covers. At most
- books, this includes professional and college football and basketball,
- professional baseball, professional hockey, and horse and dog racing. Every now
- and then Sports Books will offer proposition bets (see below) on events like
- professional golf tournaments and the Indy 500 and the like, but not on a
- regular basis for other events in those sports.
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Q:S3 What is "the spread"?
- A:S3
-
- The spread is a point advantage given to a weaker team that is expected to lose
- by X number of points. This is the odds makers way of making even bets possible
- for a Sports Book. Usually if you bet against the spread you make an 11-10 bet.
- This means that you win $10 if you bet $11 for a total of $21 if your team
- covers the spread.
-
- A team covers the spread if it wins the game with the score modified by the
- spread. If Dallas and Washington are playing and the spread is (Dallas -7),
- then Dallas has to win by at least 8 points to cover. Half-point spreads are
- also possible.
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Q:S4 Why do I have to bet $11 to win $10?
- A:S4
-
- This is one of the many ways the Sports book makes it's money. In an ideal
- situation, the same amount of money will be bet on both sides of the line and
- the Sports Book will take it's 10% from the losing side. If $55000 ($50000 and
- an addition $5000 to make the bets) was bet on Washington and $55000 bet on
- Dallas, no matter who wins the game the SB will make $5000. In case of a tie,
- all money is refunded. This is a rather simplified version as the spread moves
- when one side becomes more heavily bet on.
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Q:S5 What are all of the different types of bets?
- A:S5
-
- Proposition bet
-
- A prop bet is a bet the SB offers at odds and conditions of it's choosing. Prop
- bets can be exotic bets like which team will score the most touchdowns, which
- team will shoot the most three pointers, which running back will rush for the
- most yards, etc. Most prop bets are offered at 11-10 odds, but some of the
- exotics will be offered at better or worse odds, depending on the bet.
-
- Money Line Bets
-
- A money line bet is a bet on the straight up total of an event or the odds for
- a straight up prop bet. There are two totals given for either side on a money
- line bet. A negative and a plus side.
-
- Dallas -170
- Washington +150
-
- What this means is that for every $17 you bet on Dallas, you win $10 if they
- win. For every $10 you bet on Washington, you win $15 if they win. This is the
- way SB's make money off games by not giving points.
-
- Spread Bets
-
- These are the standard bets to make. Basically a proposition bet at 11-10 odds
- where the conditions are you give or take points on the team you are betting on
- hoping that the modified total of your teams score beats the other teams
- straight score. Bets on the spread are often know as straight bets because they
- pay even money (minus the 10% vig).
-
- Tampa Bay +19 1/2
- Miami -19 1/2
-
- This means that if you bet on Miami, Miami needs to score at least 20 more
- points than Tampa to cover. If you bet on Tampa, the score must be at least
- within 19 for you to win. The bottom team is almost always the home team.
-
- Over/Under Bets
-
- These are also 11-10 bets on what the total of the game will be. If the total
- posted on a game is 39 1/2 points, then you can wager that the total score of
- both teams added together will be either over or under the posted total.
- Betting the over is known as "betting on the ball", betting under is known as
- "betting on the clock".
-
- Chicago -5 1/2 -180 1:00 pm
- Atlanta +5 1/2 +150 42 1/2
-
- This gives the money line, the point spread, and the total for the game. It
- also tells you that Atlanta is the home team, and the game starts at 1:00 pm.
- As far as I know, this is the standard posting at mosts Books.
-
- Parlays
-
- A parlay bet is betting on the outcome of two or more events, and getting
- higher odds than betting on the outcome of both events. The drawback is that
- the odds aren't right and that you must win all of the events to win the
- parlay.
-
- # of plays Standard Odds True Odds
- ---------- ------------- ---------
- 2 plays 13-5 3-1
- 3 plays 6-1 7-1
- 4 plays 10-1 15-1
- 5 plays 20-1 31-1
- 6 plays 40-1 63-1
- 7 plays 80-1 127-1
-
- The more events parlayed the worse the odds shift in the casinos advantage. The
- advantage for the player for parlays lies in the fact that he can bet more on
- the same game (spread and over/under) and he can bet more on two teams who are
- playing at the same time.
-
- In order to be competitive, some casinos offer ties-win parlay cards. This
- greatly helps the player. The Las Vegas Hilton SB is one of these.
-
- Teasers
-
- A teaser bet is a bet where you can move the spread by a set amount, but have
- to pay to do it. You must bet at least two teams like a parlay and win both.
- You can move the spread by on all the games by the set amount.
-
- Football Teasers
-
- # of teams 6 pts 6 1/2 pts 7 pts
- ---------- ----- --------- -----
- 2 teams 11-10 5-6 5-7
- 3 teams 8-5 3-2 6-5
- 4 teams 5-2 2-1 9-5
- 5 teams 4-1 7-2 3-1
- 6 teams 6-1 5-1 4-1
-
- Basketball Teasers
-
- # of teams 4 pts 4 1/2 pts 5 pts
- ---------- ----- --------- -----
- 2 teams 11-10 5-6 5-7
- 3 teams 8-5 3-2 6-5
- 4 teams 5-2 2-1 9-5
- 5 teams 4-1 7-2 3-1
- 6 teams 6-1 5-1 9-2
-
- Buying a half point
-
- You can shift the spread a half point in your favor by laying 6-5 odds instead
- of the standard 11-10. This is called buying a half point. You usually want to
- stay away from this bet except on three point spreads on football games. This
- is also know as "buying the hook".
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Q:S6 Can I make a million dollars with one bet?
- A:S6
-
- Sure. Bet $1,100,000 straight up.
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Q:S7 Who makes the odds?
- A:S7 (Philip Galanter)
-
- Las Vegas Sports Consultants Inc., establishes the odds for about 75% of the
- licensed Sports Books in Nevada, as well as for the Oregon State Lottery. It is
- run by Michael 'Roxy' Roxborough. He also operates as a consultant on gaming
- strategies, management, marketing, and personnel. Most illegal books in and out
- of Nevada draw their odds from what is posted at the various casinos.
- Transmitting gambling information across state lines for the purpose of placing
- or taking bets is illegal. News items about point spreads and the like can be
- reported for informational and entertainment purposes only.
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Q:S8 Do I have to be over 21 to bet on sports?
- A:S8
-
- Yes.
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Q:S9 What is the minimum bet that must be reported to the IRS?
- A:S9
-
- Well all gambling wins and losses are supposed to be reported to the IRS at the
- end of the year, but if you bet more than $10,000 at once, you must fill out
- some IRS paperwork at the ticket counter. All money won must be reported to the
- IRS.
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Q:S10 Are there any good books or articles on sports gambling topics?
- A:S10 (Philip Galanter)
-
- Here are some sports gambling related books I've found to be useful, in
- suggested reading order for beginners. The obscure ones I've purchased from the
- Gamblers Book Club, although I don't know if they are still in print. I tend to
- like writers that are objective and more interested in your winning than being
- a fan.
-
- Orkin, Mike. "Can You Win?", W.H.Freeman and Co., 1991. IBSN 0-7167-2155-4
- (soft)
-
- Presents a general overview of gambling presenting the real odds of
- various games. It only assumes a high school level of mathematics
- understanding. The 32 page section on sports betting doubles as a
- guide to the various betting options available, and there is also a
- 16 page section on horserace betting. A brief treatment on Kelly
- betting as applied to sports gambling is included.
-
- An overview concentrating on the question posed by the title, the
- author concludes the sports section with the observation:
-
- "If you're going to gamble, which games should you play? I recommend
- sports betting. There are two reasons for this: 1 - Unlike in
- roulette, craps, and keno, it's impossible to prove that you can't
- win in the long run. 2 - When you win, it's because you're smart, and
- when you lose, it's because somebody fumbled."
-
- Sugar, Bert Randolph. "The Caesars Palace Sports Book of Betting", St. Martin's
- Press, 1992. IBSN 0-312-05058-5 (paper)
-
- The author is a well known sports writer and Las Vegas insider. A
- good popular introduction to sports betting with equal amounts of
- information on betting terms, options, odds, and the like, various
- considerations for each major sport; advice on handicapping based on
- matchups, streaks, injuries and stat.s; history and color; and money
- management.
-
- Manteris, Art, (with Rick Talley). "SuperBookie - Inside Las Vegas Sports
- Gambling", Contemporary Books, 1991. IBSN 0-8092-4430-6 (cloth) 0-8092-3845-4
- (paper)
-
- A good second book to read, after perhaps the Sugar or Orkin books as
- an introduction, Manteris shares his observations as the Director of
- the Hilton Race and Sports Organization...aka the SuperBook.
- Interesting stories about the early days, why the house doesn't
- always win, how point spreads are set and moved as a practical
- matter, how the house calculates its take, scams, mob involvement
- (now mostly not) and more.
-
- Peter Asch and Richard E. Quandt. "Racetrack Betting - The Professors' Guide to
- Strategies", Praeger Publishers, 1986. IBSN 0-275-94103-5 (paper)
-
- Written by 2 academics from Rutgers and Princeton, this book seems to
- be a trustworthy analysis of betting at the horseraces. Included is
- an overview and analysis of popular strategies, subjective and
- objective analysis of available information and statistics, utility
- functions as applied to the public and wagering behavior (important
- given the paramutual basis of the odds), and the bottom line on some
- complex systems by the authors, Ziemba, and Quandt which seem to
- actually work.
-
- Bob Carrol, Pete Palmer, and John Thorn. "The Hidden Game of Football", Warner
- Books, 1988. IBSN 0-446-39091-7 (paper)
-
- While addressing sports betting only in passing, this book
- concentrates on innovative methods for detailed sports statistics
- analysis leading to accurate predictions. "Scientific" handicappers
- will find this book very stimulating.
-
- Miller, Colonel J.R. "How Professional Gamblers Beat the Pro Football
- Pointspread - a step by step textbook guide", Flying M Group, 1993. IBSN
- 0-9636500-0-9 (spiral bound)
-
- This is a self published specialty book available from Gamblers Book
- Club or by mail order. While the quality of most spiral bound
- gambling editions are suspect, this book is reasonably good. It
- provides a detailed analysis of how a serious gambler factors in
- pointspreads, power ratings, injuries, motivations, weather, and
- statistics to win over the long haul. The section on money management
- should be taken with a grain of salt, as it proposes flat betting as
- almost optimal, a modified plateau system as even better, and the
- "Kelly system" as a formula for disaster, in a rather unqualified
- way.
-
- Michael Roxborough and Mike Rhoden. "Race and Sports Book Management - a guide
- for the legal bookmaker", (publisher not noted) 1991. IBSN 0-31-53873-6 (spiral
- bound)
-
- Written by "Roxy" Roxborough, the provider of the spread and other
- services to most major sports books in Nevada via his Las Vegas
- Sports Consultants Inc. This book covers in moderate detail the
- mechanics of running a legal sports book, including setting and
- moving the spread, various economic measures such as the handle and
- practical hold percentage, overlays, parlays, limits, the law and
- regulations.
-
- Pascual, M. "Bankroll Control - the mathematics of money management",
- (publisher not noted) 1987. No IBSN noted.
-
- While poorly published (xeroxed, white-out corrections, hand written
- corrections and page numbers) this odd and perhaps difficult to find
- spiral book is a treasure trove of practical analysis applying Kelly
- betting to sports and racing gambling. Theory is light and presented
- with (hand drawn) graphs where possible. The book presents a
- numerical recipe approach to even complicated betting scenarios such
- as simultaneous games, simultaneous single and multiple parlay plays,
- win-show-place betting, and more. Also included are some useful
- tables (variables include % of wins, number of teams, variations to
- include parlays or not) showing optimal bets, risk and expectancy.
- Also included are some program listings in BASIC for (now mostly
- obsolete) hand calculators that may be useful as pseudocode.
-
- The cosmetics do not, however, inspire trust. It would be nice if a
- r.g math weenie would review it.
-
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Q:S11 What internet resources and sports computer data services are available
- to those interested in sports gambling?
- A:S11 (Philip Galanter)
-
- Web Sites
-
- http://www.conjelco.com/faq/sports.html
- where sports information is kept within the rec.gambling FAQ. (The entire
- rec.gambling FAQ is at http://www.conjelco.com/faq/)
- http://www.infi.net/jf/
- where Jim Feist provides useful sports gambling information (intro, rules,
- lines, LV sports books) as well as ads for his tout services.
- http://www.atm.ch.cam.ac.uk/sports/gridiron.html
- a good "jump site" with links to all manner of football information,
- including betting info.
- http://www.hal.com:80/users/markg/NFL/
- used to manage an NFL Pool, but also has links to sports gambling
- information.
- http://www.netgen.com/sis/sports.html
- provides general sports information including schedules and team
- statistics some might find useful in handicapping.
- http://www.cs.cmu.edu:8001/afs/cs/user/vernon/www/nfl.html
- provides power ratings, statistics, and other information of interest to
- NFL handicappers.
- http://www.netaxs.com/people/sportbet
- Sports International's on-line sports betting service.
-
- E-Mail Lists
-
- jpc@a.cs.okstate.edu (John Chandler)
- has offered an NFL handicapping contest for several years. The weekly
- results are posted in rec.gambling so only potential contestants need
- contact him directly.
- derby-request@inslab.uky.edu
- can be contacted for what is by most accounts the best resource for racing
- fans. Join the list-server for all manner of discussion and information
- for the beginner and the advanced handicapper/gambler.
- sports-list-owner@netcom.com
- can be contacted to join a list-server which provides lines and discussion
- of popular sports such as football and basketball.
- sportpik@aol.com
- provides periodic line and pick information along with information about
- their tout service.
-
- FTP Sites
-
- ftp.inslab.uky.edu, simpatico.inslab.uky.edu, or 128.163.129.111
- all anonymous ftp sites in support of the Derby mailing list noted above.
-
- Commercial BBS's
-
- Computer Sports World (702-294-0191)
- provides raw historical and current data for sports and race fans, as well
- as analysis software for computerized handicapping. CSW also provides
- other related information services.
- Bloodstock BBS (800-354-9206)
- seems to be a (the?) definitive resource for racing information used in
- handicapping.
-
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-