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- THE WEEK, Page 14WORLDYou Blinked! No, You Did!
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- Iraq and the U.S. step back from the brink -- for now
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- George Bush and Saddam Hussein have this much in common: each
- wants to keep his job, and each would like to be rid of the
- other. They've been doing their best on both fronts. After days
- of hard negotiation at the United Nations, the three-week
- showdown over whether a U.N. inspection team would gain access
- to the Iraqi Agriculture Ministry ended. Baghdad agreed to admit
- a team of inspectors -- with one important catch: the building
- would still be barred to inspectors from the U.S. or any other
- nation that fought Iraq in the Gulf War.
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- George Bush quickly called the agreement a "cave-in" by
- Saddam. In part, it was. Saddam relented in the face of signs
- that the U.S. was reaching for its guns. Over the weekend, with
- the carrier Independence already in the Persian Gulf, the
- Pentagon moved the Saratoga to the eastern Mediterranean and
- dispatched Patriot launchers and missiles to Kuwait. But
- Baghdad's two-steps-forward-one-step-back confrontation with
- Washington allowed Saddam for the first time have a say in the
- makeup of a U.N. inspection team. It also let him claim a
- triumph over the U.S. By the time the U.N. team entered the
- building on Tuesday -- as three inspectors, two of them
- American, waited outside -- the Iraqis had had five days to
- remove any incriminating materials. To no one's surprise, the
- inspectors found nothing.
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- Baghdad's compromise left the U.S. without a clear policy
- for getting Saddam to observe the cease-fire that he has been
- violating for months in ways large and small. Among the largest
- has been his mounting assault on Shi`ite rebels in southern
- Iraq. As one countermove, Secretary of State James Baker met in
- Washington with leaders of the Iraqi opposition. At the U.N.,
- Britain, France and the U.S. are drawing up a new resolution to
- authorize force if the Shi`ite crackdown is not stopped.
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- Bush has pointedly left open the possibility of future
- military action. To back up his point, on Friday the Pentagon
- announced that the U.S. will send 2,400 Army troops to Kuwait
- over the next three weeks for training exercises. Saddam may
- think that the President's political weakness at home will make
- it more difficult for him to muster support for renewed action
- against Iraq -- and at the same time more damaging for him to
- give the impression of being powerless in the face of Iraqi
- provocations. Bush may have been thinking along the same lines
- last week when he insisted that Saddam will be made to comply
- with all terms of the cease-fire. Said the President: "He may
- not know it, but he's going to do it."
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