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- NATION, Page 25THE DEMOCRATSSouthern Fried Feuding
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- As Tsongas and Clinton pull ahead, they begin hurling negatives
- at each other -- and reveal a lot about themselves
-
- By LAURENCE I. BARRETT/NASHVILLE -- With reporting by Walter
- Shapiro with Tsongas
-
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- Good chemistry, Paul Tsongas liked to say when asked why
- he and his rival Bill Clinton got on so well. Clinton would
- point out that he and Tsongas were the two candidates for the
- Democratic presidential nomination offering broad, serious
- economic plans. That was in New Hampshire barely a month ago --
- a lifetime in the compacted nominating calendar. By last week
- the chemistry had turned combustible as each struggled to define
- the other in negative terms, an exchange that revealed as much
- about themselves as each other.
-
- After last Tuesday's contests, the former Senator from
- Massachusetts and the Arkansas Governor emerged as joint front
- runners. Bob Kerrey, losing badly everywhere, quit the race, and
- Tom Harkin's war chest is empty. Jerry Brown's narrow win in
- Colorado will allow him to continue receiving federal matching
- funds to wage a guerrilla operation.
-
- Tsongas' victories in Utah, Maryland and Washington
- demonstrated that he could prosper outside New England.
- Clinton's big win in Georgia was his first victory of the year,
- but the nominating process puts him in a strong position for
- this week's Super Tuesday contests. His treasury is the plumpest
- of all, his organization the most robust -- and with seven of
- the 11 contests in Southern and Border states, he has the
- home-field advantage.
-
- Last week's outcome, however, left Clinton and Tsongas,
- both cerebral candidates with a strong sense of purpose,
- scrapping like ward pols. In Florida Tsongas' best hope in the
- South, Clinton aired a commercial questioning Tsongas'
- commitment to maintaining Social Security benefits. When Tsongas
- accused Clinton of misstatements and scare tactics, Clinton's
- aides distributed a fact sheet showing that Tsongas had in fact
- proposed an amendment eight years ago that would have frozen
- cost of living increases in benefit programs for a year.
-
- Then a suddenly bellicose Tsongas attacked Clinton
- personally as a "cynical and unprincipled politician," a "pander
- bear" eager to promise everything to everyone. Jetting around
- the South, Clinton told reporters at a late-night press
- conference in Nashville that Tsongas was the real panderer, with
- Wall Street the prime beneficiary, and that Tsongas had belied
- his image as a "truth teller" by lying about the impact of
- Clinton's position on a middle-class tax cut. A Tsongas ad had
- implied that the reduction would worsen the deficit. Clinton's
- plan would offset the loss with a higher rate for affluent
- taxpayers.
-
- But the fact that Clinton's camp has been striving for
- weeks to undermine Tsongas' credibility is testimony to the way
- the ostensibly cool Clinton is suffering from the pressure of
- the campaign. The furor over his alleged romance with Gennifer
- Flowers and his draft status during the Vietnam War nearly sank
- Clinton's candidacy. Though he staged a gutsy comeback, neither
- his campaign nor his image has fully recovered from the trauma.
- Says his campaign manager, David Wilhelm: "Because of what
- happened to us, we lost for the time being the aura of the
- serious, thoughtful candidate."
-
- This loss was particularly damaging in caucus states like
- Washington, which became an ideal target for Tsongas because his
- constituency consists mainly of upscale, educated voters.
- Tsongas' Mr. Candor persona allowed him to benefit from the
- attacks on his opponent's character. Clinton and his assistants
- have since admonished reporters to give Tsongas' own record
- deeper scrutiny.
-
- Clinton's need to fight off doubts about his character is
- leaving its mark on his message. His intense efforts in New
- Hampshire and Georgia forced him to divert time and money from
- other states he might have won. Further, Clinton has adjusted
- the emphasis of his message in subtle ways. He started as a
- new-wave centrist disdainful of traditional liberal nostrums.
- But against the fiscally conservative Tsongas, Clinton has had
- to find other points of contrast in their philosophies. He has
- reached out to traditional Democrats -- minorities,
- working-class families, older voters still enamored of the New
- Deal. Without changing any of his positions an iota, Clinton has
- inched rhetorically toward being the compassion candidate.
- Tsongas, he says, "wants to make life harder for ((working
- people)). We want to make life somewhat easier for people
- already paying the bills."
-
- Clinton understandably feels threatened by his plodding,
- sober rival. An NBC/Wall Street Journal survey last week found
- that only 5% viewed Tsongas as an unacceptable nominee, while
- 17% rejected Clinton. Says pollster Peter Hart: "Tsongas'
- greatest advantage is that he repels no one."
-
- Whether Tsongas can build on that asset is uncertain. In
- New Hampshire he had a year to campaign at his leisure. As the
- nominating contest goes national, Tsongas has not been able to
- expand his austere message. "We're going to have to broaden the
- appeal," he conceded last week, while giving no evidence that
- he knew how. Nor is it clear that Tsongas can keep up
- effectively with Clinton's tireless pace. During a televised
- debate in Dallas last week, Clinton was feisty, Tsongas wan. "I
- was just exhausted," he said later. His lean campaign
- organization, which he began to enlarge only after New
- Hampshire, also has difficulty competing with the far larger
- team Clinton assembled last fall.
-
- Tsongas sometimes gives the impression of being as
- surprised as many of the pundits that he has made it to the
- Democratic finals. Now that he has been euchred into negative
- slugging with Clinton -- an exercise for which Tsongas seems ill
- equipped -- his ability to demonstrate leadership will be
- further crimped.
-
- Still, Tsongas is gritty enough to put up a stiff fight,
- and Jerry Brown's continued presence will nibble some votes
- from both front runners. That will prevent any candidate from
- winning a critical mass of delegates soon. For months party
- leaders had hoped to have a consensus candidate in place by
- mid-March so that the Democrats could target George Bush, the
- most vulnerable incumbent since Ronald Reagan challenged Jimmy
- Carter 12 years ago. But the chemistry for that accomplishment
- may be as transitory as the chemistry between Clinton and
- Tsongas.
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