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- BUSINESS, Page 49Business NotesSTATISTICSOff-Balance Trade Balance
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- Is the oft bemoaned American trade deficit, projected for
- 1991 at about $100 billion, the result of an accounting error?
- After studying 1987 imports and exports, a panel of economists
- assembled by the National Academy of Sciences announced last
- week that the U.S. trade deficit that year was only $64 billion
- -- 57% below the officially reported figure of $148 billion.
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- According to the NAS study, the government's old-fashioned
- accounting methods failed to keep tabs on such sophisticated
- multinational activity as "intracompany" sales, exports to a
- corporation's own foreign affiliates. These exports, which
- account for more than a quarter of all U.S. trade activity,
- simply fell through the cracks. On the other side of the ledger,
- however, the government's accountants were diligent indeed in
- totting up tariff-producing imports. "In terms of international
- competitiveness," says economist Robert Baldwin, chairman of the
- panel, the study suggests that "we are not doing as badly as the
- trade figures indicate." So the good news is that Americans are
- more competitive than they thought. The bad news is that they
- can't always count.
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