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<title>╫═▓⌐╨╦┼⌐═°</title>
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<!-- #include virtual="date.jsp"-->
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border=0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD></TD>
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<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD width=17 height="3347" background=shiweb.files/article_13.gif> </TD>
<TD width=15 background=╬─╝■╥│.files/line.gif></TD>
<TD vAlign=top align=middle width=692> <TABLE width=692 border=0 cellPadding=0 cellSpacing=0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD height=22 colspan="2"> <TABLE height=21 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=687
border=0>
<TBODY>
<TR>
<TD width="419"><A class=h2
href=""
target=_blank>╫═▓⌐╨╦┼⌐═°╩╫╥│</A>>>╩└╜τ╞°╧≤╚╒</TD>
<TD width="268" align=right> <SCRIPT language=JavaScript>
<!--
today=new Date();
function initArray(){
this.length=initArray.arguments.length
for(var i=0;i<this.length;i++)
this[i+1]=initArray.arguments[i] }
var d=new initArray(
"╨╟╞┌╠∞",
"╨╟╞┌╥╗",
"╨╟╞┌╢■",
"╨╟╞┌╚²",
"╨╟╞┌╦─",
"╨╟╞┌╬σ",
"╨╟╞┌┴∙");
document.write(
"<font class=h2 align=right> ",
"íí",today.getYear(),"─Ω",today.getMonth()+1,"╘┬",today.getDate(),"╚╒íí",d[today.getDay()+1],"</font>" );//-->
</SCRIPT> </TD>
</TR>
</TBODY>
</TABLE></TD>
</TR>
<TR>
<TD height=1 colspan="2" bgColor=#016b59></TD>
</TR>
<TR align=middle>
<TD height="890" colspan="2"> <table width="94%" height="3277" border="0" align="center">
<tr>
<td colspan="2"><div align="center" class="style1">╩└╜τ╞°╧≤╚╒╧α╣╪─┌╚▌</div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="2%"> </td>
<td width="98%" rowspan="3"><p><strong>1íú╝½╡╪╞°╧≤ú║╚╧╩╢╚½╟≥╙░╧∞ </strong>
<p class="style2">íííí
</p>
<p>3╘┬23╚╒╩╟╩└╜τ╞°╧≤╚╒ú¼╩└╜τ╞°╧≤╫Θ╓»ú¿WMOú⌐╚╖╢¿┴╦╜±─Ω╩└╜τ╞°╧≤╚╒╡─╓≈╠Γ╩╟í░╝½╡╪╞°╧≤ú║╚╧╩╢╚½╟≥╙░╧∞í▒ú¼╛═╩╟╥¬╚╦├╟┴╦╜Γ╝½╡╪╗╖╛│╡─▒Σ╗»║═╞°╧≤╡─╣╪╧╡ú¼▒ú╗ñ╝½╡╪╗╖╛│ú¼└√╙├╞°╧≤╫╩╘┤ú¼╕°╚½╚╦└α┤┤╘∞╕ⁿ║├╡─╔·┤µ┐╒╝Σíú </p>
<p>╣²╚Ñ╝╕╩«─Ωú¼╝½╡╪╗╖╛│╖ó╔·┴╦╓╪╥¬▒Σ╗»ú¼╙└╛├║ú▒∙╝⌡╔┘ú¼╥╗╨⌐▒∙┤¿║═╢│═┴╚┌╗»ú¼║╙┴≈║■▓┤▒∙╝⌡╔┘╡╚ú¼▒▒╝½▒╚─╧╝½╕ⁿ╝╙├≈╧╘íú╒Γ╨⌐▒Σ╗»╡╝╓┬┴╦╤╧╓╪╡─║ú╤≤╔·╠¼▒Σ╗»ú¼║ú╤≤▓╕╚Θ╢»╬∩╨Φ╥¬╡─┴╫╧║┤≤┴┐╝⌡╔┘ú╗╡╪╟≥▒φ├µ╬┬╢╚╔²╕▀ú¼ 20╩└╝═┤≤╘╝╔²╕▀0.6íµú¼╛▌╩└╜τ╞°║≥▒Σ╗»╒■╕«╝Σ╬»╘▒╗ßú¿IPCCú⌐╞└╣└▒¿╕µ╓╕│÷ú║2100─Ω╥╘╞┌ú¼╞°╬┬╗╣╥¬╔²╕▀ú¼║ú╞╜├µ╜½╔²╕▀9╡╜88└σ├╫ú¼╜½╕°╚½╟≥╡═╡╪╡╪╟°┤°└┤╤╧╓╪╬╩╠Γú╗╝½╡╪╩╟╛÷╢¿╚½╟≥╞°║≥╧╡═│╡─╘¡╩╝╥≥╦╪ú¼╝½╡╪╗╖╛│╡─▒Σ╗»╥²╖ó╡─╢≥╢√─ß┼╡╧╓╧≤╕ⁿ╝╙╞╡╖▒ú¼╡╝╓┬╚½╟≥╞°║≥╥∞│ú╧╓╧≤│÷╧╓ú¼╞°╧≤╘╓║ª╞╡╖▒╖ó╔·íú </p>
<p>╝╙╟┐╝½╡╪╗╖╛│║═╞°╧≤╡─╤╨╛┐ú¼╥╤╛¡│╔╬¬╩└╜τ┐╞╤º╝╥╡─╤╨╛┐─┌╚▌íú╩└╜τ╞°╧≤╫Θ╓»╝╙╟┐┴╦╝½╡╪╞°╧≤╣█▓Γú¼└√╙├╬└╨╟íó╫╘╢»╞°╧≤╒╛íó║ú▒∙╔╧╡─╕í▒Ω╣█▓Γ╒╛╢╘╝½╡╪╬┬╢╚íó╩¬╢╚íó╖τíó║ú▒∙╖╢╬ºíó║ú▒∙├▄╢╚║═╞Σ╦ⁿ▓╬╩²╜°╨╨╣█▓Γú¼╩╒╝»╡╜┤≤┴┐╩²╛▌ú¼╬¬╝½╡╪┐╞╤º┐╝▓∞íó┬├╙╬íó╩»╙═║═╠∞╚╗╞°┐¬╖óíó┐╒╓╨║═║ú╔╧▓╣╕°╡╚╗ε╢»╠ß╣⌐╫╝╚╖╡─╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿íú═¼╩▒╥¬╟≤╝╙╟┐╣·╝╩║╧╫≈ú¼╝╙╟┐╝½╡╪▒Σ╗»╡─╤╨╛┐ú¼╒Γ╢╘╩└╜τ╕≈╣·╡─┐╔│╓╨°╖ó╒╣╙╨╩«╖╓╓╪╥¬╡─╥Γ╥σíú </p>
<p class="style2"> ííííííííííííú¿╫═▓⌐╩╨╞°╧≤╛╓íííí ╡╘╟α║±ú⌐ </p>
<p><strong>2íú╞°╧≤╨í│ú╩╢</strong></p>
<p class="style2">íííí</p>
<p><strong>╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿ </strong><strong>╜┌─┐╓╨╡─ </strong><strong>í░ </strong><strong>╖µ </strong><strong>í▒ </strong><strong>ú║ </strong>╘┌├┐╠∞╡─╡τ╩╙╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿╜┌─┐╓╨ú¼╬╥├╟╩▒│ú╠²╡╜╓≈│╓╚╦▓Ñ╦═ú║ í░ ╬┤└┤╩▄└Σ╖µ╗≥┼»╖µ╙░╧∞ í▒ ╒Γ╤∙╡─╙∩╛Σíú─╟├┤ í░ ╖µ í▒ ╩╟╓╕╩▓├┤─╪ ? </p>
<p>íííí╖µ╩╟╓╕┴╜╕÷▓╗═¼╞°═┼╓«╝Σ╡─╜τ├µíú▓╗═¼╡─╞°═┼╧α╙÷╩▒ú¼▓╗╗ß╗∞║╧╘┌╥╗╞≡ú¼═¿│ú╜╧╟┐╡─╞°═┼╘┌╜╧╚⌡╡─╞°═┼╓«╔╧╗≥╘┌╞Σ╧┬╖╜═∙╟░═╞╥╞íú</p>
<p>íííí┴╜╓╓╞°═┼╧α╙÷╗ß╥²╞≡╠∞╞°▒Σ╗»íú╡▒╥╗╣╔╘╦╢»╫┼╡─┼»╞°═┼╢Ñ╫┼╥╗╣╔└Σ┐╒╞°╧≥╟░╩▒ú¼▒π╨╬│╔┼»╖µíú╞≡│⌡ú¼╘┌╕▀┐╒╓╗╙╨╥╗╨⌐╧╕╡─╛φ╘╞ú¼║≤└┤╝╙╜°┴╦▓π╫┤╘╞íú╜Ñ╜Ñ╡╪╘╞▓π▒Σ╡├╙·└┤╙·╡═íú╫ε║≤╧┬╞≡╙Ω└┤íú </p>
<p>íííí╡▒╥╗╣╔└Σ┐╒╞°═┼╢Ñ╫┼╥╗╣╔┼»┐╒╞°═┼╧≥╟░╩▒ú¼▒π╨╬│╔└Σ╖µíú╘╦╢»╫┼╡─└Σ╖µ░╤╙δ╦ⁿ╧α╙÷╡─┼»┐╒╞° í░ ╠º╞≡└┤ í▒ íú┼»┐╒╞°└Σ─²ú¼╙┌╩╟▒π╨╬│╔┴╦╛▐┤≤╡─╖τ▒⌐╘╞ú¼┤≤╖τ╓Φ╞≡ú¼┤≤╙ΩΣΦπ√╗≥╒▀┤≤╤⌐╖╫╖╔íú╡½╒Γ╓╓╠∞╞°│╓╨°╩▒╝Σ╜╧╢╠íú└Σ╖µ╣²║≤▓╗╛├ú¼╠∞╞°╛═╗ß▒Σ╡├╟τ└╩╢°╕╔╘∩ú¼╞°╬┬╓Φ╜╡íú</p>
<p><strong>╜╡╦«┴┐ú║ </strong>╘┌╚╒│ú╡─╡τ╩╙╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿╜┌─┐ú¼╗≥╡τ╠¿╣π▓Ñ╡─╞°╧≤╜┌─┐╓╨╛¡│ú╠²╡╜╜╡╦«┴┐╒Γ╕÷├√┤╩íú╞Σ║¼╥σ╩╟╩▓├┤─╪ú┐ <br>
íííí ┤╙┐╒╓╨╜╡╧┬╡─╙Ωíó╤⌐íó▒∙▒ó╡╚ú¼╞°╧≤╤º╔╧═││╞╬¬ í░ ╜╡╦«╧╓╧≤ í▒ íú╥╗╢¿╩▒╝Σ─┌ú¼╜╡┬Σ╡╜╦«╞╜╡╪├µ╔╧ú¼╝┘╢¿╬▐╔°┬⌐ú¼▓╗┴≈╩ºú¼╥▓▓╗╒⌠╖óú¼└█╗²╞≡└┤╡─╦«╡─╔ε╢╚ú¼│╞╬¬╜╡╦«┴┐ú¿╥╘║┴├╫╬¬╝╞╦π╡Ñ╬╗ú⌐íú 6╨í╩▒╓╨╜╡╧┬└┤╡─╙Ω╤⌐═│═│╚┌╗»╬¬╦«ú¼│╞╬¬6╨í╩▒╜╡╦«┴┐ú╗24╨í╩▒╜╡╧┬└┤╡─╙Ω╤⌐═│═│╚┌╗»╬¬╦«ú¼│╞╬¬╚╒╜╡╦«┴┐ í¡í¡ ╥╗─Ω╓╨ú¼╜╡╧┬└┤╡─╙Ω╤⌐═│═│╚┌╗»╬¬╦«ú¼│╞╬¬─Ω╜╡╦«┴┐íú░╤╥╗╕÷╡╪╖╜╢α─Ω╡──Ω╜╡╦«┴┐╞╜╛∙╞≡└┤ú¼╛═│╞╬¬╒Γ╕÷╡╪╖╜╡─╞╜╛∙─Ω╙Ω┴┐íú└²╚τú¼╬╥╩╨╡─╞╜╛∙─Ω╙Ω┴┐╩╟625 .8 ║┴├╫íú </p>
<p><strong>íííí</strong>
ííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííú¿╫═▓⌐╩╨╞°╧≤╛╓íííí ╢¡╟∞╘└ú⌐ </p>
<p><strong>3íú
<strong>╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿▓╗╩╟í░╔╠┴┐í▒│÷└┤╡─</strong> </strong></p>
<p><strong>íííí</strong>╓╨╤δ╡τ╩╙╠¿├┐═φ 7╩▒30╖╓╡─╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿╩╟╚╦├╟╦∙╩∞╧ñ║═╧▓░«╡─╜┌─┐íú╦µ╫┼╞°╧≤╨í╜πíó╧╚╔·╡─╓╕╡πú¼╚╦├╟╘ñ╓¬┴╦╕≈╡╪╡─└Σ╚╚╥⌡╟τíú─╟├┤ú¼─π╓¬╡└╦ⁿ╩╟╘⌡├┤╫÷│÷└┤╡─┬≡ú┐ <br>
╩╫╧╚╩╟╩╒╝»╕≈╓╓╞°╧≤╫╩┴╧íú├┐╠∞╕≈╡╪╞°╧≤╠¿╒╛╘┌═¼╥╗╩▒╝Σ╣█▓Γ╡╪├µ│ú╣µ╞°╧≤╨┼╧óú¼╚τ╬┬╢╚íó╞°╤╣íó╩¬╢╚íó╖τ╧≥╧≥╦┘╡╚ú¼╕▀┐╒╠╜▓Γ═°╥▓╜½╢╘┴≈▓π║═╞╜┴≈▓π╡─▒Σ╗»╨┼╧ó┤½╡▌╣²└┤ú¼╘┘╝╙╔╧╞°╧≤╬└╨╟║═╠∞╞°└╫┤∩╩╒╝»╡╜╡─╫╩┴╧ú¼╦ⁿ├╟╥╗═¼▒╗╡τ┤½╡╜▒▒╛⌐╣·╝╥╞°╧≤╓╨╨─ú¼╫≈╬¬╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿╘▒╓╞╫≈╘ñ▒¿╡─ í░ ╘¡▓─┴╧ í▒ íú <br>
╞Σ┤╬ú¼╩╟╓╞╫≈╠∞╞°═╝íú╚╦├╟░┤╒╒╫¿├┼╣µ╢¿╡─╩²╫╓║═╖√║┼░╤╩╒╡╜╡─═¼╥╗╩▒╝Σ╕≈╡╪╡─╞°╧≤╣█▓Γ╝╟┬╝╠ε╘┌╥╗╒┼═╝╔╧ú¼╒Γ╓╓═╝╛═╜╨╠∞╞°═╝íú╠∞╞°═╝╛═║├╧±╥╜╔·╕°▓í╚╦┼─╡─X╣Γ╞¼ú¼╦ⁿ╖┤╙││÷╕≈╡╪╠∞╞°╟Θ┐÷íú╛¡╣²╠╪╩Γ╤╡┴╖╡─╘ñ▒¿╘▒╢╘╠∞╞°═╝╜°╨╨╖╓╬÷╤╨╛┐ú¼╘┘╜ß║╧╥╗╨⌐╬└╨╟╘╞═╝╫╩┴╧íó└╫┤∩╗╪▓¿╫╩┴╧╡╚ú¼╛═┐╔╥╘│⌡▓╜┴╦╜Γ╠∞╞°╧╡═│╡─╤▌▒Σ╣²│╠íú <br>
╚²╩╟╖╓╬÷╠∞╞°═╝íú╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿╘▒═¿╣²╖╓╬÷╠∞╞°═╝ú¼╘╦╙├╥╗╨⌐╞°╧≤╤º└φ┬█║═╘ñ▒¿╩╡╝∙╓╨╫▄╜ß│÷╡─╛¡╤Θú¼╘┘╜ß║╧╬╥╣·╠∞╞°íó╞°║≥╠╪╒≈╢╘╠∞╞°╨╬╩╞╜°╨╨╖╓╬÷íú╩╫╧╚╩╟╫≈│÷╠∞╞°╨╬╩╞╘ñ▒¿ú¼╚τ24╨í╩▒─┌╩╟╖±╗ß╙╨╜╡╦«ú¼╚╗║≤╘┌┤╦╗∙┤í╔╧╣²╢╔╡╜╛▀╠σ╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿ú¼╚τ╜╡╦«╡─╡╪╡π╝░╢α╔┘íú <br>
╦─╩╟╙├╝╞╦π╗·╜°╨╨╩²╓╡╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿íú╕∙╛▌┤≤╞°╡─╩╡╝╩╟Θ┐÷ú¼═¿╣²╝╞╦π╟≤╜Γ├Φ╨┤╠∞╞°╤▌▒Σ╡─╖╜│╠╫Θú¼╘ñ▒¿╬┤└┤╠∞╞°ú¼╒Γ╓╓╖╜╖¿▒╗│╞╬¬╩²╓╡╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿íú╦ⁿ╥╤╓≡╜Ñ│╔╬¬╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿╡─╗∙┤ííú╣·╝╥╞°╧≤╓╨╨─╙╡╙╨╚½╣·╫ε╧╚╜°╡─╛▐╨═╝╞╦π╗·ú¼╘╦╙├╒Γ╓╓╝╞╦π─▄┴ª╬¬├┐├δ╩²╟º╥┌┤╬╡─╝╞╦π╗·ú¼╬┤└┤╠∞╞°║▄┐∞╛═▒╗ í░ ╦π í▒ │÷└┤íú <br>
╬σ╩╟╜°╨╨╠∞╞°╗ß╔╠íú╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿╡─╖╜╖¿║▄╢αú¼┐╔╬╜ í░ ░╦╧╔╣²║úú¼╕≈╧╘╔±═¿ í▒ íú╙├╒Γ├┤╢α╖╜╖¿╫÷│÷└┤╡─╘ñ▒¿▓╗┐╔─▄═Ω╚½╥╗╓┬íú╒Γ╛═╨Φ╥¬╕∙╛▌╫ε╨┬╫╩┴╧╜°╨╨ í░ ╗ß╒∩ í▒ íú╠∞╞°╗ß╔╠╛═╩╟╚├╕≈╓╓╥Γ╝√│Σ╖╓╖ó▒φú¼╗Ñ╧α╞⌠╖óú¼┤∩│╔╥╗╓┬ú¼╫÷│÷╫ε║≤╡─╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿╜ß┬█íú <br>
╫ε║≤ú¼╩╟╓╞╫≈╡τ╩╙╜┌─┐íú╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿╜ß┬█╫÷│÷║≤ú¼╘⌡╤∙╚├╔τ╗ß╕≈╜τ┴╦╜Γ─╪ú┐╘┌╕≈╝╢╞°╧≤▓┐├┼╢╝╙╨╙░╩╙╓╞╫≈╓╨╨─ú¼├┐╠∞╫╝╩▒═Ω│╔╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿╜┌─┐╡─╓╞╫≈íú╘ñ▒¿╜ß┬█▒╗╕─╨┤╡├═¿╦╫╥╫╢«║≤ú¼╙╔╞°╧≤╨í╜πíó╧╚╔·├╟╧≥╣█╓┌╩÷╦╡ú¼═¼╩▒╗╣┼Σ╙╨╕≈╓╓╠∞╞°╖√║┼╝░╔·╢»╡─╠∞╞°╟Θ┐÷╗¡├µíú╒Γ╛═╩╟╬╥├╟┤╙╡τ╩╙╔╧┐┤╡╜╡─╠∞╞°╘ñ▒¿╜┌─┐┴╦íú <br>
</p>
<p>íííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííí<span class="style2">(╫═▓⌐╩╨╞°╧≤╛╓íííííí╢¡╟∞╘└)</span><br>
<strong>4íú
╩└╜τ╞°╧≤╚╒í░╝½╡╪╞°╧≤ú║┴╦╜Γ╚½╟≥╙░╧∞í▒
</strong></p>
<p><strong>íííí</strong>╜±─Ωú│╘┬ú▓ú│╚╒╩╟╡┌ú┤ 7╕÷╩└╜τ╞°╧≤╚╒ú¼╥╘í░╝½╡╪╞°╧≤ú║┴╦╜Γ╚½╟≥╙░╧∞í▒╬¬╞°╧≤╚╒╡─╓≈╠Γú¼─┐╡─╛═╩╟╥¬╝╙╟┐╚╦├╟╢╘╝½╡╪╞°╧≤╡─┴╦╜Γú¼╥╘╝░╚╒╥µ═╣╧╓╡─╚½╟≥╞°║≥▒Σ╗»╬╩╠Γíú═¼╩▒ú¼▒ú╗ñ╝½╡╪╗╖╛│╡─╜⌠╞╚╨╘║═┐¬╒╣í░╣·╝╩╝½╡╪─Ωí▒╗ε╢»╡─╓╪╥¬╨╘ú¼╢╜┤┘╩└╜τ╕≈╣·╡─╒■╕«╗·╣╣║═╤╨╛┐▓┐├┼╛í┐∞╒╥│÷╡╝╓┬─╧▒▒┴╜╝½▒∙▓π╝╙╦┘╚▄╗»╡─╘¡╥≥ú¼╖╓╬÷╞└╣└╞Σ╢╘╒√╕÷╡╪╟≥╔·╠¼╡─╙░╧∞íú </p>
<p>ííííí░╝½╡╪╞°╧≤í▒╠²╞≡└┤└δ╬╥├╟║▄╥ú╘╢íú╡½╩╟ú¼╛▌╩└╜τ╞°╧≤╫Θ╓»╨┬╖ó▒φ╡─í╢ 2006╚½╟≥╞°║≥╫┤┐÷í╖╓╨╚╧╬¬╝½╡╪▒∙▓π╒²╘┌╤╕╦┘╚▄╗»íú2006─Ω╚½╟≥╞╜╛∙╡╪▒φ╬┬╢╚▒╚╔╧╩└╝═60í¬90─Ω┤·╝Σ╡─╞╜╛∙╞°╬┬╔╧╒╟┴╦0ú«5╔π╩╧╢╚╫≤╙╥ú¼╩╟╙╨╝╟┬╝╥╘└┤╡┌6╕÷╬┬╢╚╫ε╕▀╡──Ω╖▌ú¼╨φ╢α╡╪╟°║═╣·╝╥╡─╞°╬┬╘┌╣²╚Ñ╥╗─Ω╓╨╢╝┤┤╧┬┴╦└·╩╖╨┬╕▀íú╢°║ú▒∙╡─╕▓╕╟├µ╗²╘┌╜±─Ω9╘┬╬¬590═≥╞╜╖╜╣½└∩ú¼╩╟25─Ω╟░┐¬╩╝╕├╧ε╝╟┬╝╥╘└┤├µ╗²╡╣╩²╡┌╢■╨í╡──Ω╖▌íú </p>
<p>íííí╝½▒∙╡─▒Σ╗»▓╗╜÷╜÷╙░╧∞╡╜─╧▒▒┴╜╝½╡─╢»╓▓╬∩║══┴╓°╛╙├±ú¼╥▓╙░╧∞╫┼╚½╚╦└α└╡╥╘╔·┤µ╡─╬¿╥╗╨╟╟≥ú¼▒ú╗ñ╝½╡╪╛═╩╟▒ú╗ñ╚╦└α╫╘╝║íú╬¬╩▓├┤╒Γ╤∙╦╡─╪ú┐╥≥╬¬╝½╡╪╡╪╟°╩╟╚½╟≥╞°║≥╧╡═│╡─└Σ╘┤ú¼│α╡└╡╪╟°╩╟╚½╟≥╞°║≥╧╡═│╡─╚╚╘┤ú¼┴╜╒▀╥ú╧α║⌠╙ªú¼╢╘╚½╟≥╡─╞°║≥▒Σ╗»╞≡╫┼╓┴╣╪╓╪╥¬╡─╫≈╙├íú╛▌╝α▓Γ─╧íó▒▒╝½▒∙╘¡╘┌╚┌╗»ú¼╒Γ╜½╕─▒Σ╡╪╟≥╡─╔·╠¼╧╡═│ú¼░ⁿ└¿║ú╤≤╝░╡╪▒φ╔·╬∩íó╞°║≥íó║╜╘╦─ú╩╜ú¼╔⌡╓┴╣·╖└╒■▓▀íú┴φ═Γ╛▌┐╞╤º╝╥╡─╤╨╛┐▒φ├≈ú¼▒▒╝½╡╪╟°▒∙╤⌐╕▓╕╟├µ╗²╡─▒Σ╗»╙δ▒▒░δ╟≥╨φ╢α╡╪╟°╡─╜╡╦«╙╨├▄╟╨╡─╣╪╧╡íú </p>
<p>íííí╠ß╕▀╚½╟≥╢╘▒▒╝½║ú▒∙íó─╧╝½▒∙╕╟▒Σ╗»╡─╓╪╥¬╨╘╡─╚╧╩╢ú¼┤┘╜°╣·╝╩╔τ╗ß╢╘╝½╡╪╔·╠¼╧╡═│╡─▒ú╗ñú¼╝╙╟┐╝½╡╪╞°╧≤╤╨╛┐ú¼╢╘╙┌╚╦└α╡─╔·┤µ╛▀╙╨╩«╖╓╓╪╥¬╡─╥Γ╥σíú </p>
<p> </p>
<p class="style2">íííííííííííííí
ííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííú¿╫═▓⌐╩╨╞°╧≤╛╓íííííí╥╢└÷─╚ú⌐</p>
<p><br>
<strong>5íú
╞µ╥∞╡─║┌╔½╔┴╡τ</strong><span class="style2"> </span></p>
<p><span class="style2">íííí
</span>─ª║α╘╝ -┤∩┬▐╘¡╩╟╣┼╙í╢╚╡─╥╗╫∙│╟╩╨,┤≤╘╝╘┌╣½╘¬╟░15╩└╝══╗╚╗╡╪┤╙╡╪╟≥╔╧╧√╩º┴╦íú╝╕╟º─Ω└┤ú¼╒Γ╥╗╓▒╩╟╕÷├╒íú╓╗╙╨╣┼╙í╢╚í╢─ª║╟╞┼┬▐╢αí╖│ñ╞¬╨≡╩┬╩½└∩╠ß╡╜┴╦╒Γ╝■╩┬ú║╥╗╕÷┴ε╚╦─┐╤ú╡─╠∞└╫║═╬▐╤╠╡─┤≤╗≡ú¼╜⌠╜╙╫┼╩╟╛¬╠∞╢»╡╪╡─▒¼╒¿íú <br>
íí╛¡╣²┐╝╣┼╤º╝╥╖ó╛≥║≤╖ó╧╓╣┼│╟╚╖╩╟╙╔╥╗┤╬┤≤╗≡║═╠╪┤≤▒¼╒¿╢°╗┘├≡╡─íú┤╙═┌╛≥│÷└┤╡─╚╦╣╟≈└╫╦╩╞┐╔╥╘┐┤│÷ú¼╘┌╘╓─╤╡╜└┤╟░ú¼╨φ╢α╚╦╗╣░▓╧╨╡─╫▀╘┌╜╓╡└╔╧íú <br>
íííí┐╞╤º╝╥╛¡╣²╢α─Ω╡─╤╨╛┐║≤╦╡╩╟╙╔║┌╔½╔┴╡τ╦∙╥²╞≡╡─íú╘¡└┤ú¼╘┌┤≤╞°╓╨ú¼╙╔╙┌╤⌠╣Γú¼╙ε╓µ╔Σ╧▀║═╡τ│í╫≈╙├ú¼╗ß╨╬│╔╥╗╓╓╗»╤º╨╘─▄╩«╖╓╗ε╞├╡─╬ó┴úíú╒Γ╓╓╬ó┴ú╙╓─²│╔╥╗╕÷╙╓╥╗╕÷║╦ú¼╘┌╡τ┤┼│í╡─╫≈╙├╧┬╛█╝»╘┌╥╗╞≡ú¼╧±╣÷╤⌐╟≥╥╗╤∙╘╜╣÷╘╜┤≤ú¼┤╙╢°╨╬│╔┤≤╨í▓╗╡╚╡─╟≥íú╒Γ╓╓╬∩└φ╗»╤º╣╣│╔╬∩╙╨ í░ └Σ í▒ ú¼ í░ ┴┴ í▒ ╓«╖╓íú╦∙╬╜ í░ └Σ í▒ ╟≥ú¼╦ⁿ├╗╙╨╣Γ┴┴ú¼╥▓▓╗╖┼╔Σ─▄┴┐ú¼┐╔╥╘┤µ╘┌╜╧│ñ╩▒╝Σíú <br>
í░ └Σ í▒ ╟≥╨╬╫┤╧±╓╗Θ╧Θ¡╟≥ú¼╖ó░╡ú¼▓╗═╕├≈ú¼░╫╠∞▓┼─▄┐┤╡╜íú┐╞╤º╝╥╜╨╦ⁿ╬¬ í░ ║┌╔½╔┴╡τ í▒ íú <br>
íí─ª║α╘╝ -┤∩┬▐╘¡╡─╗┘├≡╒²╩╟╙╔░δ╛╢30└σ├╫╡─║┌╔½╔┴╡τ║═1000╢α╕÷╗»╤º╖ó╣Γ╣╣╘∞╘∞│╔╡─íú <br>
íííí ┐╞╤º╝╥╚╧╬¬ú¼╨╬│╔║┌╔½╔┴╡τ╡─┤≤╞°╠⌡╝■═¼╩▒╥▓─▄▓·╔·┤≤┴┐╡─╙╨╢╛┐╒╞°ú¼╧╘╚╗ú¼╣┼│╟╡─╛╙├±╧╚╩╟▒╗╒Γ╓╓╙╨╢╛┐╒╞°╒█─Ñ┴╦╥╗╒≤ú¼╜╙╫┼╖ó╔·┴╦├═┴╥╡─▒¼╒¿íú╣┼│╟╛═╩╟╒Γ╤∙▒╗╗┘├≡╡─íú <span class="style2">íííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííí ííííííú¿╫═▓⌐╩╨╞°╧≤╛╓íííííí╒┼╨π╟αú⌐</span><br>
</p>
<p><strong>6íú
<strong>╞°╧≤╠⌡╝■╘┌╣║╖┐╓╨╡─╓╪╥¬╨╘</strong></strong></p>
<p><strong>íííí</strong>╞°╧≤╠⌡╝■╩╟╫Θ│╔╚╦└α╔·╗ε╗╖╛│╡─╓╪╥¬╥¬╦╪ú¼╞Σ╙░╧∞╬▐╦∙▓╗╘┌íú╞°╧≤╠⌡╝■╝░╞Σ▒Σ╗»▓╗╜÷╙░╧∞╚╦╡─╔·└φ╜í┐╡íó╨─└φ╟Θ╨≈ú¼╢°╟╥╚╦└α╛╙╫í╗╖╛│╓╨╞°╧≤╠⌡╝■╥▓╙╨▓╗┐╔║÷╩╙╡─╙░╧∞íú ╚╦├╟╘┌╣║╖┐╩▒ú¼┐╝┬╟╜╧╢α╡─╩╟╖┐╫╙╡─╝█╕±íó╜ß╣╣íó╓╩┴┐╡╚╡╚ú¼╢╘╖┐╫╙╓▄╬º╡─╗╖╛│┐╝┬╟╚┤▒╚╜╧╔┘ú¼╠╪▒≡╚▌╥╫║÷╩╙ í░ ┐┤▓╗╝√íó├■▓╗╫┼ í▒ ╡─╞°╧≤╠⌡╝■íú╞Σ╩╡ú¼╫í╖┐╡─╞°╧≤╠⌡╝■╙δ╔φ╠σ╩µ╩╩╙δ╜í┐╡┤≤╙╨╣╪╧╡ú¼╝┤╩╣╫í╖┐╜≡▒╠╗╘╗═ú¼▓╗└√╙┌╜í┐╡╥▓▓╗╩╟└φ╧δ╡─╖┐╫╙íú╜í┐╡╫í╖┐│²╩╥─┌╬▐╬█╚╛═Γú¼╩╫╥¬╠⌡╝■╩╟╥╘╧┬╝╕╕÷╞°╧≤╥¬╦╪íú </p>
<p>╥╗íó╚╒╒╒╩▒╝Σíú─┐╟░┤≤╢α╩²╡─╔╠╞╖╖┐ú¼╣Γ╧▀╠⌡╝■╢╝┬·╫π╣·╝╥╣µ╢¿╡─ í░ ╢¼╚╒┬·┤░╚╒╒╒╩▒╩²▓╗╔┘╙┌ 1╨í╩▒ í▒ ╡─▒Ω╫╝íú╡½┤╙╜í┐╡╡─╜╟╢╚┐╝┬╟ú¼╢¼╚╒╚╒╒╒┴¼╨°╩▒╩²╘┌ 3╨í╩▒╗≥╥╘╔╧ú¼╙╨└√╙┌╠½╤⌠╣Γ╓╨╡─╫╧═Γ╧▀╢╘╩╥─┌╔▒╛·╫≈╙├ú¼╝⌡╔┘╝▓▓í╡─╖ó╔·íú┬Ñ╖┐╓«╝Σ╡─╝Σ╛α╘╜┤≤ú¼╗≥┬Ñ▓π╘╜╕▀ú¼╖┐╫╙╡─┐╔╒╒╩▒╩²╛═╘╜╢αíú </p>
<p>íííí╢■íó┐╒╞°╩¬╢╚íú╚╦├╟╘┌╣║╖┐ú¿╙╚╞Σ╩╟┬≥╡╫▓π╖┐ú⌐╩▒ú¼╥¬╠╪▒≡╫ó╥Γ╖┐╫╙╡─╡╪╓╩╡╪├▓╠⌡╝■ú¼╢╘┐╒╞°╩¬╢╚╙╨║▄┤≤╡─╙░╧∞íú╡╪╩╞╡══▌íó═┴╓╩╩¬╚φ╡─╡╪╖╜ú¼┐╔─▄╓╒─Ω╩¬╢╚╜╧┤≤ú¼╙Ω╝╛└∩╟╜▒┌íó╡╪░σ╥▓╚▌╥╫│▒╩¬ú¼╧─╚╒└∩╬├│µ▒╪╚╗╜╧╢αíú╢°╡╪╩╞╜╧╕▀íó═┴╓╩░σ╙▓╡─╡╪╖╜ú¼╘≥╩¬╢╚╧α╢╘╞½╨íú¼╝┤╩╣╫í╘┌╥╗┬Ñú¼╥╗░π╥▓├╗╙╨│▒╩¬╡─╕╨╛⌡íú┐╝▓∞╖┐╫╙╓▄╬º╡─╩¬╢╚╫┤┐÷ú¼╥╘┤║╧─╝╛╗≥╥⌡╙Ω╩▒╜┌╜╧╩╩║╧ú¼╘┌╟∩╕▀╞°╦¼╗≥╕╔╘∩╡─╢¼╝╛ú¼│ú│ú▓╗╚▌╥╫╛⌡▓∞╡╜╩¬╢╚╡─▓ε╥∞íú </p>
<p>íííí╚²íó╫ε╢α╖τ╧≥íú╣║╖┐╒▀╢╝╧ú═√╖┐╫╙╡─═¿╖τ╠⌡╝■╜╧║├ú¼╒Γ╤∙╛═▒╚╜╧┐┤╓╪╖┐╫╙╡─│»╧≥íú╢α╩²╔╠╞╖╫í╒¼┬Ñ╡─├┼┤░╢╝╩╟─╧▒▒│»╧≥ú¼╒Γ╩╟╕∙╛▌╬╥╣·╩⌠╝╛╖τ╞°║≥╟°╒Γ╥╗╞°║≥╠╪╡π╔Φ╝╞╡─íú╡½╕≈╡╪╡─ í░ ╫ε╢α╖τ╧≥ í▒ ╗╣╩╟╙╨╨⌐▓ε▒≡╡─ú¼┬Ñ╖┐├┼┤░╡─│»╧≥ú¼╥╦║═╡▒╡╪╡─ í░ ╫ε╢α╖τ╧≥ í▒ ▒ú│╓╥╗╓┬ú¼╒Γ╤∙═¿╖τ╠⌡╝■▓┼─▄┤∩╡╜╫ε╝╤íú╦∙╥╘╣║╖┐╒▀╘┌┬≥╖┐╓«╟░ú¼╫ε║├─▄╧≥╡▒╡╪╞°╧≤╠¿╒╛╫╔╤»╥╗╧┬▒╛╡╪╡─ í░ ╫ε╢α╖τ╧≥ í▒ íú </p>
<p>íííí╦─íó┐╒╞°╓╩┴┐íú▓╗═¼╡─╡╪└φ╗╖╛│╡─┐╒╞°╓╩┴┐╩╟▓╗═¼╡─íú╣║╖┐╟░╙ª╫╔╤»╥╗╧┬╗╖╛│▒ú╗ñ▓┐├┼ú¼─π╦∙╘┌╡─│╟╩╨──╕÷╬╗╓├┐╒╞°╓╩┴┐╫ε║├╗≥╜╧║├ú¼─π┐╔╤í╘±╕├╡╪╟°╡─╫í╖┐íú┴φ═Γú¼┬Ñ▓π║═│»╧≥╡─╗╖╛│╠⌡╝■╥▓╩╟╙╨▓ε▒≡╡─íú╥╗░π╙¡╖τ├µ╡─┐╒╞°╓╩┴┐║├╙┌▒│╖τ├µíú╛▌╣·═Γ╫ε╜ⁿ╤╨╛┐▒φ├≈ú¼┤╙╞°┴≈╡─╜╟╢╚┐╝┬╟ú¼╡═▓π║├╙┌╕▀▓πíú </p>
<p>ííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííú¿╫═▓⌐╩╨╞°╧≤╛╓íí┴⌡╟┘╖╝ ║½╣·╙╛ú⌐ </p>
<p> <br>
<strong>7íú╚½╟≥▒Σ┼»╗ß┤°└┤╩▓├┤?</strong></p>
<p><strong>íí</strong>íí2007─Ω2╘┬2╚╒ú¼╘┌╖¿╣·░═└Φ┴¬║╧╣·┤≤┬Ñú¼╙╔╩└╜τ╢Ñ╝╢╡─╩²░┘╬╗╞°║≥╤º╝╥╥╘╝░└┤╫╘113╕÷╒■╕«╡─┤·▒φ╫Θ│╔╡─┴¬║╧╣·╒■╕«╝Σ╞°║≥▒Σ╗»╬╩╠Γ╤╨╛┐╨í╫Θ(IPCC)╩╣╙├╫ε╝ñ┴╥╡─╙∩╤╘╖ó▓╝┴╦╥╗╖▌╛▀╙╨└∩│╠▒«╥Γ╥σ╡─▒¿╕µú║╚½╟≥▒Σ┼»╥╤╛¡┐¬╩╝ú¼╢°╟╥í░╝½╙╨┐╔─▄í▒╩╟╚╦└α╗ε╢»╡╝╓┬╡─ú╗▓ó│╞╬▐┬█╚╦└α╘⌡╤∙┐╪╓╞╬█╚╛ú¼╚½╟≥▒Σ┼»╢╝╜½│╓╨°╩²░┘─Ωíú </p>
<p>íííí╘┌ 2001─Ω╡─▒¿╕µ╓╨ú¼╒Γ╕÷╨í╫Θú¿IPCCú⌐│╞╚½╟≥▒Σ┼»í░┐╔─▄í▒╩╟╚╦└α╗ε╢»╡╝╓┬╡─ú¼╢°╒Γ┤╬▒¿╕µ╘≥│╞╒Γ╓╓┐╔─▄╨╘│¼╣²┴╦90%íú </p>
<p>íííí╬▐┬█╚½╟≥▒Σ┼»╩╟╙╔╚╦└α╗ε╢»╡╝╓┬╡─╗╣╩╟╙╔╞°║≥╫╘╚╗▒Σ┬╩╘∞│╔╡─ú¼╚½╟≥╞°║≥▒Σ┼»╥╤╩╟▓╗╒∙╡─╩┬╩╡íú╚½╟≥▒Σ┼»╗ß╕°╩└╜τ┤°└┤╩▓├┤▒Σ╗»─╪ú┐ </p>
<p>íííí╫ε╧╓╩╡íó╫ε├≈╧╘╡─▒Σ╗»╩╟ú║╦µ╫┼╚½╟≥╞°╬┬╔╧╔²ú¼▒▒╝½║═─╧╝½╡─▒∙▓π╓≡▓╜╚┌╗»ú¼║ú╞╜├µ╔╧╔²ú¼║ú░╢║≤═╦ú¼╩└╜τ╔╧╨φ╢α╡╪╩╞╡══▌╡─╡╪╟°╥╤▒╗╗≥╜½▒╗╟╓╩┤╗≥╤═├╗íú </p>
<p>í¬ 2001─Ω11╘┬ú¼╙╔╙┌║ú╞╜├µ╔╧╔²ú¼╠½╞╜╤≤╡║╣·═╝═▀┬¼╢╘┐╣║ú╞╜├µ╔╧╔²╡─┼¼┴ª╥╤╕µ╩º░▄ú¼▓╗╡├▓╗┐¬╩╝╛┘╣·╥╞├±╨┬╬≈└╝ú╗ </p>
<p>ííííí¬╙í╢╚─ß╬≈╤╟╗╖╛│▓┐│ñ╘ñ▓Γú¼╘┌╕├╣·╘╝ 1.8═≥╕÷╡║╙∞╓╨ú¼╘╝2000╕÷╡║╙∞╜½╘┌30─Ω─┌╥≥╞°║≥▒Σ╗»╢°▒╗║ú╤≤═╠╩╔ú╗ </p>
<p>ííííí¬╡╪╩╞╜╧╡═╡─├╧╝╙└¡╣·╛¡│ú╘Γ╩▄╦«╘╓íó∞½╖τ║═╨²╖τ╡─╧«╚┼íú╞Σ╗╖╛│▓┐│ñ╦╡ú¼╚τ╣√╣╪╙┌║ú╞╜├µ╔╧╔²╡─╘ñ▓Γ╩╟╒²╚╖╡─ú¼─╟├┤╙╨ 500═≥╛╙├±┐╔─▄▓╗╡├▓╗└δ┐¬╝╥╘░ú╗ </p>
<p>ííííí¬╙╔╙┌║ú╞╜├µ╔╧╔²┐╔─▄╤═├╗╞Σ╝╥╘░ú¼╡╪╩╞╡══▌╡──╧╠½╞╜╤≤╣·╝╥╥¬╟≤╞Σ╡║├±╬¬│╣╡╫╟¿╥╞╫÷╫╝▒╕ú╗ </p>
<p>ííííí¬╙╔╙┌║ú╞╜├µ╔╧╔²ú¼╩└╜τ╔╧╨φ╢α╓°├√╡─║ú▒⌡╩ñ╡╪╒²╫÷║├╙ª╢╘╔│╠▓▒╗╟╓╩┤íó║ú▒⌡╫í╒¼▒╗╤═├╗╡─╫╝▒╕ú╗ </p>
<p>ííííí¬║ú╞╜├µ╔╧╔²╝╙╔╧╖τ▒⌐▒Σ╟┐║▄┐╔─▄╤═├╗╩└╜τ╔╧╨φ╢α╡╪╩╞╜╧╡═╡─╡╪╟°ú¼╧±═╠╩╔├└╣·╨┬░┬╢√┴╝╡─í░┐¿╠╪└∩─╚í▒∞½╖τ─╟╤∙╡─▒»╛τ╚├╥╗╨⌐┐╞╤º╝╥╧α╨┼ú║╕ⁿ╟┐┤≤╡─╖τ▒⌐╩╟▓╗┐╔▒▄├Γ╡─ú¼╥≥┤╦ú¼▒ú╬└╗≥╓╪╜¿╒Γ╓╓╬ú╧╒╡╪╟°╥▓╨φ╩╟▓╗┐╔─▄╡─ú¼╗≥╒▀╦╡╘┌╛¡╝├╔╧╩╟▓╗├≈╓╟╡─íú </p>
<p>íííí╙╔╙┌╚½╟≥╞°║≥▒Σ┼»ú¼╙ó╣·íó║╔└╝íó╥Γ┤≤└√║═├└╣·╡╚╕╗╣·╒²╓╪╨┬╣└╝╞╞Σ╖└╬└╝╞╗« ,╥╘╚╖▒ú╞Σ╤╪║ú╡╪╟°╘┌╘Γ╩▄╖τ▒⌐│▒╧«╗≈╩▒├Γ╩▄╗≥╔┘╩▄╦≡╩ºíú </p>
<p>íííí╚½╟≥▒Σ┼»╕°╩└╜τ┤°└┤╡─▒Σ╗»╩╟╢α╓╓╢α╤∙╡─íú─┐╟░ú¼╩└╜τ╕≈╣·╢╝╘┌╕∙╛▌▒╛╣·╞°║≥╫┤┐÷ú¼╤╨╛┐╢╘▓▀╥╘╙ª╢╘╞°║≥▒Σ┼»╦∙┤°└┤╡─▓╗└√╙░╧∞íú </p>
<p class="style2">ííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííííú¿╫═▓⌐╩╨╞°╧≤╛╓íííí╒┼╞⌠┴╝ú⌐ </p>
<p><strong>ú╕íú
╩└╜τ╞°╧≤╚╒╘τ╓¬╡└,╫¿╥╡╞°╧≤╠∙╜ⁿ╔·╗ε</strong></p>
<p><strong>íííí</strong>2 007─Ω╩└╜τ╞°╧≤╚╒╡─╓≈╠Γ╬¬ í░ ╝½╡╪╞°╧≤ú║┴╦╜Γ╚½╟≥╙░╧∞ í▒ íú╝½▒∙╡─▒Σ╗»▓╗╜÷╜÷╙░╧∞╡╜─╧▒▒┴╜╝½╡─╢»╓▓╬∩║══┴╓°╛╙├±ú¼╥▓╙░╧∞╫┼╚½╚╦└α└╡╥╘╔·┤µ╡─╬¿╥╗╨╟╟≥ ,▒ú╗ñ╝½╡╪╛═╩╟▒ú╗ñ╚╦└α╫╘╝║íú </p>
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