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- To: brianm@*****************
- Subject: Re: MAKE.MONEY.FAST
- Newsgroups: alt.sex.movies,alt.sex.stories,alt.sex.wanted
- In-Reply-To: <2b72qq$3vp@agate.berkeley.edu>
- References: <2b49cmINNj9g@emx.cc.utexas.edu> <1993Nov2.173725.23574@ultb.isc.rit
- .edu>
- Organization: UTK/Physics Dept.
- Cc:
- Bcc:
-
- In article <2b72qq$3vp@agate.berkeley.edu> you write:
- > I've seen letters like this floating around for quite a while now, and
- >I've heard them called frauds, scams, and pyramid schemes. I've never
- >answered one, and I've never posted one. However, I am curious: *Why* is
- ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
- GOOD! You are thus not yet part of the problem (see below).
-
- >it a fraud? How is it a scheme? It *seems* to sound real, although of
- >course anything that sounds too good to be true usually is.
- > Is it because it's not a perfect world, and people don't do what
- >they're supposed to? I'm sorry, but every time one of these pops up,
- >the same flames are raised, and the same letters to sysadmins are posted.
- >And I'm just very curious about why.
- > Thanks....
-
- Brian brian brian: think a moment on mathematics.
- Say each letter says "send this to five of your friends". And everyone
- does. Say each letter also says "send 1$ to the name at the top of this
- list of five people", and everyone does; jerk #0 of course starts it off
- with four fictitious people plus him at the bottom. Starting with jerk #0,
- sending it, we have:
- 1st go-round: jerks #1-5; jerk #0 in 4th place on list (on these five's
- sent-out letters)
- 2nd go-round: jerks #6-30; jerk #0 in 3rd place on list.
- 3rd go-round: jerks #31-155; jerk #0 in 2nd place on list.
- 4th go-round: jerks #156-780; jerk #0 in first place on list.
- 5th go-round: jerks #781-3905; jerk #0 gets $3125.
- 6th go-round: jerks #3906-19530; jerks #1-5 get $3125 each.
- 7th go-round: jerks #19531-97655; jerks #6-30 get $3125 each.
- 8th go-round: jerks #97656-488280; jerks #31-155 get $3125 each.
-
- in about four more go-rounds (*assuming* every new jerk is a different
- person), we reach the population of the US (~300,000,000 at last count);
- about two more go-rounds after THAT, we reach the total population
- of the Earth, at which point we start sending them via radio telescope
- to Alpha Centauri. If you don't believe my figures, work them out for
- yourself; they're just successive powers of five (and sum{1 to n} of 5^n
- =(5^(n+1)-1)/4, as a handy shortcut).
- Notice that a) the number of letters involved grows EXPONENTIALLY
- (i.e., the Post Office gets flooded (and VERY angry) *extremely* fast)
- and b) the number of people getting $3125 is always nearly 4000 times
- *less* than the number of people mailing letters hither and yon.
- The $3125 here gets replaced by # of $ to send * (# of letters to send
- out to the power [# of names on the list]), for general chains;
- the factor ~4000 gets replaced with ~ the number of people involved
- at the time jerk #0 gets money.
- Add in the practical facts that a) most people will not send the money;
- b) most chain letters say to send out more than five copies; c) most
- lists are longer than five names; d) there are chain letters around that
- DON'T ask to send money, just more letters; and you get something that
- the Post Office highly frowns on because it severely clogs their
- workload, which takes money from MANY people and gives it to a lucky few,
- and where only the people starting it up ever get ANYTHING...
-
- It's a fraud because most of the people who are told they will get
- $3125 (or whatever) by following these "few simple instructions"
- will not (the letters that only promise good luck are frauds for
- other reasons; think a moment...); it's a scam because only the people
- that start it up might ever get anything out of it (other than a quick
- visit from the Post Office cops and FBI [federal offense, you know]);
- it's a scheme because most people don't (or can't) sit down for 2 minutes
- with a pocket calculator to run some numbers thru it; it's called a
- "pyramid" scheme for obvious reasons; and if everybody DID do what they
- were supposed to in one of these things, the results would be
- utterly catastrophic...
-
- So yes, it is *far* too good to be true.
-
- Suggested actions:
- if you get a chain letter, either
- a) take it down to your local Post Office and say "I got this
- chain letter; here's the envelope it came in and here's the
- letter". They will be overjoyed to take it from there.
- or b) toss it, if you have not the energy to do a).
- If you instead c) follow the instructions, you become liable
- yourself - and remember, if you DON'T leave a readily followable
- trail by including name, address, etc., in the letter - you *definitely*
- won't get anything... :-)
-
- if you get chain email, send a nice little note to
- the former writer's sysop, utilizing said easily followable
- trail... again, they will be thrilled to death to do *everything*
- else required... sysops hate this sort of stuff even more, if
- that's possible.
- Dave
-
-