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ND_Kate
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ND_Kate.DOC
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1989-08-02
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*** ND_Kate.DOC ***
This program is based on formulas and information obtained from a
magazine article. No guarantees are made regarding the accuracy of this
program. No financial decisions should be made on the basis the Indicators
presented in this program. The information provided by this program is not
intended as a recommendation to purchase or sell equities. Professional
programs are available. Purchase a commercially-available program if you
want to do accurate equity analysis. This program is just for fun (if
trying to outguess the stock market is your idea of fun)!!
The following tools were used to create this program:
TDI Modula-2 = TDI Software Inc. Dallas, Texas.
Power Windows 2.0 = Inovatronics, Inc. Dallas, Texas.
Asm/68k = Public Domain MacroAssembler.
If you would like to compare the Amiga/Intuition Interface version of
this program to a BASIC version written for a Big Blue or Clone, check the
November Issue of Computer Shopper magazine. You will find an article titled
"One Day Market Forecaster." That program outputs the actual probability of
market increases. If you look closely, though, you will see that the program
initialization data lists a smaller probability of increase if 5 Indicators
are positive than if only 4 are positive. That conflicts with the theory
presented in the article, so my Amiga version does not list the
probabilities. Instead, the Indicators represent only positive, negative, and
neutral probability of market increases.
>> If the Indicator is " + " then there is a better than 50/50 chance that
the market will increase the following day.
>> If it is " - " then the chances of an increase are less than 50/50.
>> A " * " results if the Indicator is neutral or no data was entered for
that Indicator.
The information required can be obtained from the "Wall Street Journal",
"Nightly Business Report" on PBS-TV, or from on-line information services.
The BASIC version requests more information than mine, but I found that some
of the data is already computed and presented by the sources listed above.
An example is the NYSE Final Tick. The BASIC version asks for the number of
stocks with a Final Upward Tick and the number with a Final Downward Tick.
It then computes the NYSE Final Tick. I found that sources listing the up
and down Final Ticks also list the total Final Tick so only the total Final
Tick is input into the Amiga version.
You may need to make some decimal adjustments before entering the data.
For instance, the NYSE Composite Net Change is listed with 2 decimal places
(i.e. 5.45). Since the program input is done with Integer Gadgets, no
decimals can be entered. Move the decimal place over to the right (i.e. 5.45
becomes 545) and enter that number. The Indicators are based on the
relative values of the data and whether they are positive or negative. Just
remember to make the same decimal adjustments for comparable values.
The comparable values are:
1. Yesterday's and Today's Composite Index Net Changes.
2. Advance and Decline Volumes.
3. Advances and Declines.
4. DJIA High, Low and Close.
The Final Tick is a singular value.
If any values exceed the available input length, drop several of the least
significant digits before entering. For example, it would be better to enter
NYSE Volumes in thousands or hundreds. A volume of 202301000 or 123000100
shares would be entered as 202301 or 123000. Don't forget to include " - "
signs. Entering a negative value without the sign will produce incorrect
results.
I originally intended to include the source code with this program, but
it includes Source output from POWER WINDOWS 2.0. I don't want to incur any
copyright hassles so I did not include the source. You would need to have
the POWER WINDOWS Modula2 support Modules to compile it anyway. If the
program seems large (filesize) it's because all of the Window Imagery Data
is contained within the program. That avoids requiring an Image data file
in the same directory when the program is run.
If you like this program do not send money!! I have enough tax problems
as it is!!!