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-
- 2,528 words
-
- Reasoning and Rationalizing:
- A Cautionary Tale
-
- By MICHAEL FINLEY
-
- When I was a kid and computers
- were thought of as giant
- blinking mainframes housed at
- the Pentagon, or Univac, a
- popular question was, "Will
- computers ever think like
- people?"
-
- Today we finally know the
- answer, arrived at after
- hundreds of thousands of
- laboratory man-hours, light
- years of punch tape, and untold
- septillions of MIPS. The answer
- is, "God, let's hope not."
-
- I say this not because I'm
- worried about machines
- encroaching upon the sphere of
- human intellect. It's just that
- there are neighbordhoods on that
- sphere that you wouldn't advise
- some unsuspecting
- putty-complexioned appliance to
- visit.
-
- I'm thinking especially of the
- vast human propensity for
- rationalization -- logical
- statements in service to
- illogical objectives. Rather
- than point a finger at
- unfortunates with truly serious
- problems I offer my own story,
- illustrating in a modest way the
- kind of thinking we wouldn't
- want computers to approximate.
-
- As regards rationalizing buying
- computer stuff, I am as good an
- example of a bad example as you
- will find. You name it, I have
- rationalized buying it. In
- truth, my copywriting shop would
- be unconductable without
- computers. In the event of a
- permanent electricity crisis, my
- family and I would have to
- retrain for one of the career
- opportunities of the 1990s, like
- digging for canned goods.
-
- So, with one eye on my present
- needs and the other on the
- low-tech future, I have
- established a period museum of
- high-tech gizmos -- computers,
- printers, laptop, mouse, FAX,
- answering machine, printer
- buffer, surge protectors,
- lasers, expansion boards,
- modems, switchboxes, telephones,
- extra disk drives, cables, and a
- million diskettes of software,
- downloads, backups and junk.
- Somewhere at the core of this
- Gordian knot of technology, I am
- there, drawing breath in quick
- gulps, but exulting to the end
- in my technological
- "liberation."
-
- To others I'm afraid I look like
- the final panel in one of those
- ironic pulp science fiction
- stories of the 1950s, in which
- the narrow-focused nerd is
- punished for eternity by getting
- exactly what he wanted,
- Midas-like, absorbed by his own
- riches.
-
- I did not come to this pass by
- ingenuously weighing my needs
- and real intents, back when all
- this started. A callow youth, I
- was ready in those days to bear
- any burden in my ambition to
- communicate with the world. I
- figured my job wasn't to
- increase productivity, but to
- get the job done honestly and
- well. Type three drafts of a
- novel? No problem! Type a
- fourth draft! OK! Type a fifth
- draft? Oh, all right. A sixth?
- Oh....
-
- So long as one doesn't know
- about computers, ordinary
- writing is bearable. When,
- after writing two multi-draft
- books, personal computers did
- hit the market, I was an early
- convert. I used to read Radio
- Shack brochures and marvel at
- the neat new machines for sale.
- I turned to my bride one day and
- said, "Red, I have to have one
- of these things.
-
- "Why?", she asked.
-
- "Why?" I was incredulous.
- "Amore, think of the
- productivity it will give my
- work," I explained. Instead of
- endlessly doing drafts, I can
- finish three projects in the
- time one now takes." (Note: The
- first critical translation
- computer rationalizers make is
- from laziness to productivity.)
-
- The die was cast. I shelled out
- a hard-earned $2,700 for my
- first micro, a dual drive, 64K
- Franklin Ace 1200 with a 10 cps
- daisywheel printer. For weeks I
- reveled in its editability, its
- ability to print out consecutive
- drafts without smudges, without
- White-Out, without tears. I was
- ecstatic. For a week or so.
- But I was soon aware that I was
- not quite done with my raids on
- productivity hardware. "Red," I
- said, "enamoradita, we need a
- modem."
-
- "Why?"
-
- "Why?" I asked incredulously,
- again. "Darling, a computer
- without a modem is like an
- unfinished symphony. Without an
- open channel to the world of
- information, I'm little more
- than a brain kept alive in a
- petrie dish. I'm not connecting,
- I'm not reaching out. I want
- arms, my darling, and legs." I
- didn't even tell her how lousy
- the spreadsheet that came
- bundled with the Franklin was.
- I was saving that for later.
-
- So I spent more money, bought a
- 300 bps modem. Then learned
- that the world of data that was
- out there charged by the minute
- like a taxicab. "Jewel, there's
- a brochure I'd like to show you,
- from the swell people at
- Compuserve. Using this service,
- I'll never have to visit the
- library again. We can sell our
- encyclopedias. Just think of
- the parking and gas costs we'll
- be saving. Our car will
- probably last another month
- because of this. We're talking
- the big one, sweets.
- Productivity City."
-
- Had to buy a printer buffer, of
- course -- that endless waiting
- till the printer was finished
- was undermining the enormous
- productivity gains I had made.
- Eventually upgraded from the Ace
- to an IBM XT-compatible.
- "Honey, this thing's got 10
- times as much memory, and costs
- 65% what the other cost,
- counting inflation, and not
- counting all the new software
- I'll also have to buy. I'd be
- pretty stupid if I didn't go for
- this now, instead of waiting
- till prices go up next year."
-
- Got rid of the impact printer --
- too slow, too noisy, a real
- productivity-killer. Bought a
- 24-pin daisywheel. This time
- Red wanted a change. "That
- thing sounds like you're running
- a veal packing plant down
- there," she said. Bought a
- laser printer instead. "The
- image quality is so stupendous,"
- I told Red, "clients will say,
- omigod this is beautiful, and I
- can raise my rates again." I
- slapped the paper tray
- playfully. "This baby is like
- money in the bank," I said.
-
- There was still room for a FAX
- machine, squeezed between the
- answering machine and my new
- laptop. "Gotta get the laptop,"
- I told Red. "I'm so busy being
- productive, why, the way things
- are going I'll never be able to
- take a vacation. This way I can
- take the laptop out to the
- cabin, you and the kids can have
- fun, and I'll be productive."
-
- Here is a brief list of
- excellent reasons for buying
- hardware or software. Try them
- out on your spouse today.
-
- 1) Saves steps.
- Instead of having to shut down
- XyWrite and booting up Lotus,
- you buy Framework III or Smart,
- and it's all there in one
- program. The beauty of
- step-saving as a rationale is
- that, if your spouse won't let
- you do it the software route,
- you can try hardware. "You're
- right, honey, what was I
- thinking. I'll just get the 2
- megabyte memory upgrade instead
- and run XyWrite as a TSR
- program. What a fool I've
- been."
-
- 2) Pays for itself. You can
- even use Lotus to create
- complex-looking amortization and
- depreciation schedules, showing
- in columnular fashion how
- increased business and
- accelerated tax savings will
- return every dime you outlay.
-
- 3) Maintains parity with
- competition. This is great if
- your spouse hasn't much
- confidence in you to begin with.
- "Honey, technology is my edge.
- Lose that, and what do I have to
- offer? Not great for your own
- self-esteem, but a trump card in
- a tight game.
-
- 4. Takes business to 'higher
- level'. This one is great for
- stimulating the Lady Macbeth in
- all of us. Also known as the
- "An-Invisible-Man-can-rule-the-world!
- Ahahaha!" gambit. Chained the
- Kaypro and dBase II you'll never
- grow beyond simple data entry.
- But equipped with a blazing new
- Mac SE and Postscript printer,
- you'll be transformed from an
- implementer to an executive!
-
- 5. Prices may never be this low
- again. That's a good one!
- Practice before a mirror so you
- can keep a straight face. Throw
- in something about growing
- Japanese semiconductor market
- share and you're in like flint.
-
- 6. Let's make a deal. Tie your
- computer purchase (and its
- productivity and therefore
- income enhancements) to
- something your spouse wants.
- "Tell you what. First $100 I
- make with the new machine, we go
- shopping for that Hoover you've
- had your heart set on."
-
- 7. Give me 80 megabytes or give
- me death. This ploy recognizes
- that the two most effective
- motivators are irrational --
- fear and guilt. You work hard
- for a living -- why add to that
- terrible burden, and possibly
- shortening your life expectancy,
- quite possibly dying alone, face
- mashed against a cold keyboard,
- by denying you a few
- easily-affordable,
- productivity-enhancing tools?
-
- I know what you're thinking --
- this guy is buying everything in
- sight, he must print his own
- checks, I wish I had a nickel
- for every $100 he's blowing on
- hardware. Wrong -- despite my
- enormous gains in productivity,
- I still have hardly any money
- whatsoever. So when I call some
- mail order company and order a
- switchbox or a mouse, I put it
- on my credit card. That way, it
- will be weeks before the bill
- comes, and I'll have a head
- start on boosting my
- productivity a little bit more,
- and maybe someone will send me
- some money. And you don't have
- that heavy
- "I-just-bought-something-expensive"
- feeling. All you did was order
- the damn thing. You don't buy
- things till you pay for them.
-
- Here's another technique I
- picked up. Package arrives by
- UPS. You open it up, maybe you
- say, "Gee, I wonder what this
- could be." Inside is a new
- motherboard to upgrade your XT
- to a 386. Spouse gives you that
- forlorn weary-of-the-war look.
- You slap your forehead. "Oh, I
- know what this is, it's that
- 30-day trial deal, whereby you
- get to use it for a month, then
- you send it back. Hey, it'll be
- fun operating at 22 mh for 30
- days."
-
- Let's say spouse isn't 100%
- convinced by all this. "You're
- not going to keep it then?"
-
- "Shoot, no. I'm just taking
- this company for a ride, baby.
- Oh, I suppose, if in the course
- of testing the thing I found
- that it enabled me to make
- staggering gains in
- productivity, then I might
- consider keeping it. But if
- that's so, then it pays for
- itself, right? Otherwise, it's
- no trouble at all to undo these
- eight screws at the back of the
- CPU box, disconnect every cable
- and wire, remove all the
- expansion boards, unsnap the
- motherboard, replace the new
- hard disk 60 mg hard disk I also
- ordered for 30 days' trial with
- the old one, pop the board back
- into the box, screw the pathetic
- old computer back together, and
- send the new one back to those
- poor saps. It's a win/win
- situation all the way."
-
- Spouse bought that, I'll bet.
- Support is important, especially
- when money is tight and margins
- are thin. My Red is a wonderful
- woman. Occasionally I look up
- from peeling apart the styrofoam
- surrounding some new acquisition
- and there she'll be, holding the
- five little ones in her arms,
- and everyone's crying quite a
- great deal, and some Woody
- Guthrie song playing on the
- radio. But even then I get
- those feelings of support from
- her. (I know two of those
- little ones, I think the other
- three are rentals.)
-
- Support, particularly unthinking
- support, is especially important
- when the subject is too
- technical to explain. Once Red
- wanted to know why it was worth
- $500 to upgrade from 4.77 mz to
- 12 mz chip speed. "Let's say
- you're writing an article at
- 4.77 mz," she said. "How will a
- faster chip speed help you
- finish the article any faster?
- How will it get you paid any
- faster?"
-
- Now, I could have sat her down,
- smiled benignly, and said "Red,
- Red, Red, Red, Red," and told
- her all the complicated
- reasons, arithmetic included,
- why an increase in CPU speed
- enhances productivity, which
- creates an incremental momentum
- that courses throughout the
- entire business enterprise, with
- the benefits trickling directly
- down to our household finances.
- A rising tide lifts all ships,
- rhododendron.
-
- But I'd already tried that once
- before. Instead I just say,
- "Sweetheart, it has nothing to
- do with CPU speed. It has to do
- with maintaining parity with the
- competition. What was it Poor
- Richard said, 'For want of a
- nail, the war was lost?' You
- save a little here, balk at a
- few pennies investment there,
- and one day you wake up and
- everyone else has gone on ahead,
- and left you behind, in the
- past, wallowing in obsolescence.
- Is that what you want, for us to
- go down in flames because we
- weren't forward-thinking enough
- to make a tiny investment in our
- future? Because if it is, I'll
- return this board right now, and
- get a refund, and we'll all of
- us -- you, me, the kids -- go
- shopping for metal detectors
- right now."
-
- Sometimes she gets this faraway
- look in her eyes, and says I've
- changed. Where is the romantic,
- sensitive soul who wanted to
- write novels under trees, for
- whom a crust of bread and
- ballpoint pen were sufficient
- unto heaven?
-
- Forget that, I say. That's
- individualism, I say. I let the
- whole litany fly. That's the
- Sixties talking, a loser's game,
- Old World craftsmanship,
- endangered species, Mustache
- Petes. "With my machines," I
- declare, "I can duplicate
- anything, a thousand times. The
- 21st Century is dawning, and my
- swivel chair is pointed toward
- the means of production. Behold
- my works and tremble!"
-
- I wasn't going to tell her just
- yet, but my mind's on fire with
- a big idea. "We're going
- national, corazon. I'm
- licensing my copywriting
- approach in a seventeen-city
- rollout starting August 1.
- Clients around the country can
- go to a Michael Finley copy
- agency and know they are getting
- treated exactly the same. Now
- doesn't that make the fellow
- with the pumpernikel look
- pathetic? I'm calling the chain
- 'Hack in the Box.[TM]' What do
- you think?"
-
- And so on, excelsior, scaling
- the heights of Mount Progress.
-
- A final word. The purpose of
- rationalizing computer purchases
- is never to be right, nor even
- to persuade. It is simply to
- get your own way, for the
- short-term, for the quick fix of
- a new, very important, one-time
- extraordinary expense. Throw in
- a philosophical quotation to
- buttress this argument -- if
- nothing else it deflects
- resentment away from oneself.
- "'In the long term,' Keynes
- said, 'we are dead.'"
-
- If every technique I have
- offered here comes to naught, if
- you throw your best arguments
- into the fray and they crash and
- burn, there is one last-ditch
- recourse, to be used only when
- all other attempts fail.
-
- Tell the truth. Put all your
- cards on the table. Admit that
- you have a problem, and that you
- are no longer in control of your
- life, that you are powerless in
- the face of junk mail and
- hand-wringing sales clerks. And
- get down on your knees and beg
- for this final indulgence today,
- and promise, upon the graves of
- your ancestors, that you will
- seek out and avail yourself of
- professional help, and the
- lovingkindness of a higher
- power...
-
- Tomorrow.
-
- Until then, productivity gains
- will be significant. And honey
- -- you're the greatest.
-
- .
-
-