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- Newsgroups: sci.physics
- Path: sparky!uunet!charon.amdahl.com!pacbell.com!decwrl!concert!uvaarpa!murdoch!kelvin.seas.Virginia.EDU!crb7q
- From: crb7q@kelvin.seas.Virginia.EDU (Cameron Randale Bass)
- Subject: Re: No big crunch?
- Message-ID: <1992Nov6.042306.899@murdoch.acc.Virginia.EDU>
- Sender: usenet@murdoch.acc.Virginia.EDU
- Organization: University of Virginia
- References: <1dcf7vINNfi0@agate.berkeley.edu> <1992Nov6.020022.29066@murdoch.acc.Virginia.EDU> <1dco23INNh7j@agate.berkeley.edu>
- Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1992 04:23:06 GMT
- Lines: 113
-
- In article <1dco23INNh7j@agate.berkeley.edu> ted@physics3 (Emory F. Bunn) writes:
- >In article <1992Nov6.020022.29066@murdoch.acc.Virginia.EDU> crb7q@kelvin.seas.Virginia.EDU (Cameron Randale Bass) writes:
- >
- >>>is an argument in favor of nonbaryonic dark matter which is completely
- >>>independent of the usual cosmological ones.
- >>
- >> In the absence of a tenable theory, this is not an argument for
- >> much of anything.
- >>
- >> I repeat my question. How would Einstein have fared against
- >> an army of 'believers' in the nonbaryonic dark matter hypothesis?
- >> Thank goodness the particle zoo was rather barren at the time.
- >> I suspect that he wouldn't have wasted his time because one
- >> of his primary motivations would have been gone. Even if he
- >> did, I suspect no one would have listened. Seelinger's hypothesis
- >> of intra-Mercurial matter would have been greatly strengthened
- >> if he had just known about the nonbaryonic dark matter that was
- >> everywhere in great abundance, especially seeing as you didn't
- >> actually have to *see* anything.
- >
- >You are discussing two competing theories of gravity: Einsteinian gravity
- >and Newtonian gravity plus dark matter. Suppose that you don't know
- >which of these theories is right. What do you do? You make lots of
-
- Suppose, as I have been, that you *don't even have* GR.
- In 1906, there was no certainty that GR would be developed.
- In fact, if Einstein had died in 1906, I'm quite sure it
- wouldn't have been.
-
- Speculate on the ultimate develoment of GR in competition with
- present-day nonbaryonic dark matter hypotheses (ignoring for the
- instant that GR would have *never* become accepted because it
- does not fit well into QM).
-
- >observations of gravitating objects, and see which theory does better
- >at predicting their behavior. You'll find that Einsteinian gravity
- >makes the correct predictions without constant tweaking of the parameters,
- >while the dark matter theory requires continual modifications in the
- >distribution of dark matter for each new observation. It wouldn't take
- >you long to settle on Einstein's explanation as a better one.
-
- However, I doubt he would have been compelled to develop it
- in the first place. As far as 'tweaking' goes, isn't this the
- current paradigm in modern cosmology?
-
- >The amazing thing about the cosmological dark matter hypothesis is that you
- >_don't_ have to keep changing the parameters as new observations come in.
- >If you read the actual papers on the subject, you find that in the
- >cold dark matter theory there is only one free parameter, with which
- >one can fit a variety of observations. (The shape of the galaxy-galaxy
- >correlation function and the recent microwave background anisotropies
- >among others.)
-
- I guess all is right with the hypothesis then? Good show. We can all
- pack it up and go home.
-
- However, I'm sure I could come up with 50 papers that 'showed'
- that maybe all is *not* right with that world. However, I'll satisfy
- myself with the first one that comes to mind "The end of cold
- dark matter?" Davis \etal Nature, 356:489 (1992). Though
- they certainly do not advocate the end of that particular hypothesis,
- the necessary contortions to fit mounting evidence of large-scale
- structure are amusing. While talking about lowering omega
- within the constraint of microwave background fluctuations:
-
- "These problems can be avoided by appealing to a
- cosmological constant, because a low-density universe is
- spatially flat if the cosmological constant takes the value
- Lambda = 3 H_0^2 (1 - Omega). With such carefully chosen parameters
- it is possible to construct a CDM universe that explains large-scale
- structure, is compatable with inflation and with microwave
- background experiments, and is old enough to contain the
- oldest observed star clusters ... (even for H_2 as high as 80)...
- From the point of view of the particle theorist, the value of
- Lambda necessary to work these miracles is extraordinarily
- small, 10^120 times smaller than its 'natural' value ..."
-
- Drole, quite drole. I was even more amused by the unintended
- humor in the last sentence of the paper. Feel free to read it yourself.
-
- >>>The most important point is simply this: If you want to decide whether
- >>>or not to believe in nonbaryonic dark matter, you'd best study the evidence,
- >>>and see whether or not you find it compelling. It's not good enough just
- >>>to say, "It sounds pretty strange to me, so I don't buy it."
- >>
- >> Nor is it good enough to say 'everyone accepts it, so it must
- >> be okay'. I am reminded of the emperor's clothes.
- >>
- >
- >Agreed. I never intended to make any such assertion, and I don't believe
- >I did. All I'm claiming is that the dark matter hypothesis is a solid
- >one by the usual standards of science: It is a simple theory, with
- >few free parameters, which fits all of the known observations. Not
- >only that, but the agreements with theory are genuine predictions;
- >that is, the predictions were made before the observations.
-
- It fits *all* the observations? Geez, what are we even talking
- about then?
-
- And I am claiming differently. In the absence of good evidence
- that there is any of this matter floating around, it becomes
- as ephemeral as the zodiacal light hypothesis. Unfortunately,
- ephemeral seems to take longer than it has at times in the past.
-
- dale bass
-
-
-
- --
- C. R. Bass crb7q@virginia.edu
- Department of Mechanical,
- Aerospace and Nuclear Engineering
- University of Virginia (804) 924-7926
-