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- Path: sparky!uunet!think.com!Think.COM!sandee
- From: sandee@Think.COM (Daan Sandee)
- Newsgroups: comp.sys.super
- Subject: Re: Old Prediction from 1988
- Date: 13 Nov 1992 16:29:30 GMT
- Organization: TMC
- Lines: 24
- Distribution: world
- Message-ID: <1e0l5aINNc40@early-bird.think.com>
- References: <1992Nov13.152301.20527@murdoch.acc.Virginia.EDU>
- NNTP-Posting-Host: telecaster.think.com
-
- In article <1992Nov13.152301.20527@murdoch.acc.Virginia.EDU>, clc5q@uvacs.cs.Virginia.EDU (Clark L. Coleman) writes:
- |>
- |> "Five years from now, we should be at 100 billion gigaFLOPS. A problem that
- |> takes three months to do now, we want to do in a day."
- |> -- Steve Chen, Time magazine article, March 28, 1988, page 58.
- |>
- |> 100 billion gigaFLOPS is 100 million teraFLOPS, which sounds very fast to
- |> me. "Five years from now" is coming up in a few months. 100 billion GFLOPS
- |> sounds ambitious.
-
- It is safe to assume that Time magazine got confused by the billions of
- gigaflops. I don't think Chen said that, in the interview. Presumably he
- said 100 gigaflops and then had to explain to the reporter what that meant.
- And the reporter, to make the point clear, converted it to "100 billion
- gigaflops".
- 100 GFlops for 1993 is about right, by the way.
-
- |> I also noted in this issue that the Cray-3 was "due to be released in 1989."
-
- In this case, whatever Chen actually said, he was wrong.
-
- Daan Sandee sandee@think.com
- Thinking Machines Corporation
- Cambridge, Mass 02142 (617) 234-5044
-