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- Path: sparky!uunet!haven.umd.edu!darwin.sura.net!sgiblab!sgigate!odin!sgi!cdp!tgray
- From: Tom Gray <tgray@igc.apc.org>
- Newsgroups: sci.environment
- Date: 09 Sep 92 17:41 PDT
- Subject: --Warming Threat to Economy
- Sender: Notesfile to Usenet Gateway <notes@igc.apc.org>
- Message-ID: <1466601760@igc.apc.org>
- Nf-ID: #N:cdp:1466601760:000:2990
- Nf-From: cdp.UUCP!tgray Sep 9 17:41:00 1992
- Lines: 69
-
-
- From: Tom Gray <tgray>
- Subject: --Warming Threat to Economy
-
- /* Written 5:28 pm Sep 9, 1992 by tgray in cdp:en.energy */
- /* ---------- "--Warming Threat to Economy" ---------- */
- IIE STUDY SEES LONG-TERM
- DANGERS IN GLOBAL WARMING
-
- Global warming from carbon dioxide and other "greenhouse gases"
- poses a serious long-term threat to the U.S. and global economies,
- according to a recent report from the Institute for International
- Economics (IIE), a Washington, DC-based group.
-
- According to IIE's William Cline, global warming by a predicted 2.5
- degrees Celsius (C) by the year 2050 will reduce U.S. gross
- domestic product (GDP) by about one percent, or $60 billion.
- However, Cline noted, global warming is cumulative and irreversible
- and is projected to reach 5.7 degrees C by the year 2100 and 10-18
- degrees C by 2300. The impact of the latter figure would be a drop
- of six to 20 percent of GDP.
-
- Based on these figures, Cline said, a longer time frame should be
- used in considering the consequences and costs of the greenhouse
- effect.
-
- The study proposed a two-phased approach to curb warming. The
- first phase would include:
-
- (1) an international treaty to stabilize carbon dioxide emissions
- at 1990 levels by the year 2000, as several industrial countries
- have already pledged;
-
- (2) a steadily increasing carbon tax, which would reach $40/ton by
- 2000; and
-
- (3) removal of all existing subsidies which encourage carbon
- emissions, such as subsidies for coal and electricity use.
-
- If the current scientific consensus is confirmed by the end of the
- decade, Cline said, a second phase should begin, that would include
- higher and more uniform carbon taxes or a carbon dioxide emissions
- trading system (see "CO2 Emissions Trading May Be Wave of Future,
- Experts Believe," Wind Energy Weekly #498, May 11, 1992, p. 4). An
- agreement similar to the 1987 Montreal protocol on
- chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), which provides for economic sanctions
- against countries who fail to abide by agreed-upon limits for CFC
- production, would also be part of the second phase.
-
- ===============================
-
- The American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) has authorized me to offer
- an electronic edition of its newsletter, _Wind Energy Weekly_, from
- which the above article is excerpted, at no cost.
-
- For those of you who have not previously seen excerpts from back issues
- on Usenet or Bitnet, the _Weekly_ reports on the outlook for renewable
- energy, energy-related environmental issues, and renewable energy
- legislation in addition to wind industry trade news. The electronic
- edition normally runs about 10kb in length.
-
- If you would like a free electronic subscription, send me an e-mail
- request. Please include information on your position, organization,
- and reason for interest in the publication.
-
- *******************************************************************
- Tom Gray EcoNet/PeaceNet: tgray@igc
- Internet/Bitnet: tgray@igc.apc.org UUCP: uunet!pyramid!cdp!tgray
-
-