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- Newsgroups: sci.space
- Path: sparky!uunet!hela.iti.org!aws
- From: aws@iti.org (Allen W. Sherzer)
- Subject: Re: ACRV/Soyuz P
- Message-ID: <1992Aug18.141535.24013@iti.org>
- Organization: Evil Geniuses for a Better Tomorrow
- References: <1992Aug17.150641.23766@ke4zv.uucp> <1992Aug18.125111.15553@iti.org> <9208181242.AA25370@ucbvax.Berkeley.EDU>
- Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1992 14:15:35 GMT
- Lines: 49
-
- In article <9208181242.AA25370@ucbvax.Berkeley.EDU> nicho@vnet.ibm.com writes:
-
- >>Does the word 'comeptition' ring a bell? If GD says "Ah Uncle Sam, we
- >>got you by the balls now!" then Uncle Sam replies: "Screw you, I'm taking
- >>my buisness to Martin Marrietta".
-
- > I think you're stretching this one a little bit Allen. Theoretically
- >you're right, this is what should happen, however I've got money that
- >says it wouldn't work that way.
-
- I'll take that bet :-)
-
- >Firstly MM would have to have a viable alternative ready to roll,
-
- Which they will. Titan II or III for Soyuz and Titan V for HLV.
-
- >which means that the Govt. would
- >need to give them a share of the launch business in the first place.
-
- Which I think would be a good idea.
-
- >This reduces the incentive per contractor. If the US govt. needs the
- >20 flights you say, then to ensure viable competition, the govt. could
- >only promise GD and MM 10 flights each.
-
- Not quite. Buying 20 flights will save you about $50M per flight but
- I priced ALL my launches in quanity one. The government can split
- all launches among the available vehicles for the price I give since
- I don't include any quanity discounts in my estimated price.
-
- >In addition, you can bet that
- >the management of GD would be savvy enough to try gentle seduction,
- >rather than blatant rape.
-
- Just like any supplier of anything today does to get the best price.
- However, you are greatly constrained when there is another supplier
- all set to go.
-
- There is a bit of a change here; launches will be kind of like PCs.
- Launches will go from being specialized products (like PCs 10 years
- ago) to commodity products (like PCs today).
-
- Allen
-
- --
- +---------------------------------------------------------------------------+
- | Allen W. Sherzer | "If they can put a man on the Moon, why can't they |
- | aws@iti.org | put a man on the Moon?" |
- +----------------------248 DAYS TO FIRST FLIGHT OF DCX----------------------+
-