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- Newsgroups: talk.politics.guns
- Path: sparky!uunet!psinntp!dg-rtp!leonardo!meyers
- From: meyers@leonardo.rtp.dg.com (Bill Meyers)
- Subject: Re: TV and Movies are Promoting Gun Violence
- Message-ID: <1993Jan22.223737.3635@dg-rtp.dg.com>
- Sender: meyers@rtp.dg.com (Bill Meyers)
- Date: Fri, 22 Jan 93 22:37:37 GMT
- References: <1993Jan20.183118.1252@mnemosyne.cs.du.edu>
- Organization: N/I
- Lines: 343
-
- In article <1993Jan20.183118.1252@mnemosyne.cs.du.edu> rcanders@nyx.cs.du.edu (Rod Anderson) writes:
- [ ... ]
- >Television and movies are promoting gun violence. Erik Larson
- >states in his article "The Story of the Gun" in the January 1993
- >_Atlantic_ .
- >
- >
- > " Our movies and TV shows do far more damage than simply
- > enhancing the appeal of exotic weapons, however. They teach a
- > uniquely American lesson: When a real man has a problem, he gets
- > his gun. He slaps in a clip, he squints grimly into the hot noon
- > sun, and then he does what he's gotta do. This is the lesson
- > that Nicholas Elliot absorbed: When all else fails, maybe a gun
- > can solve your problem.
-
- Hmmm, sounds like time to mention Centerwall again:
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------
- >Path: dg-rtp!dgcad!amdcad!sun!exodus!texsun!letni!utacfd!evax!cs.utexas.edu!sdd.hp.com!hp-pcd!hplsla!deanp
- >From: deanp@hplsla.HP.COM (Dean Payne)
- >Newsgroups: talk.politics.guns
- >Subject: Re: Does TV cause violence?
- >Message-ID: <8350049@hplsla.HP.COM>
- >Date: 21 Sep 90 16:22:25 GMT
- >References: <1990Sep18.204634.608@cbnewsh.att.com>
- >Organization: HP Lake Stevens, WA
- >Lines: 141
- >
- >>From: oleary@cbnewsh.att.com (brian.m.leary)
- >
- >>Does television cause violence? Today the answer is:
- >>
- >>University of Washington Pyschiatrist Dr. Brandon Centerwall writing
- >>in the April 1989 American Journal of Epidemiology says that television
- >>exposure is related to half of the homicides in the United States.
- >
- >I posted this article to an internal company group a few weeks ago.
- >
- >---------------------------------------------------------------------
- > Murders again tied to TV violence
- >
- >by Frederick Case, [Seattle] Times staff reporter [May 28, 1990]
- >
- >Additional disturbing evidence has been produced by a University of
- >Washington behavioral scientist and medical doctor who said last year
- >that TV is responsible for half of North America's murders and rapes.
- >
- >If Dr. Brandon Centerwall's conclusion is correct, TV also has more
- >than doubled homicide rates in South Africa, adding to its other
- >problems.
- >
- >Centerwall says that new figures he has just received from South Africa
- >strengthen previous conclusions garnered from his seven years of
- >statistical analysis comparing white homicides in the United States,
- >Canada and South Africa between 1945 and 1975. (To avoid using figures
- >distorted by racial conflict, he compared only white homicide rates.
- >Most victims of racial violence were black.)
- >
- >The doctor reported the new figures this month in an address to the
- >annual conference of the American Psychiatric Association. Network
- >executives at the conference emphatically disputed the validity of his
- >study. But it was funded by the UW, and other academics speak
- >respectfully about Centerwall's methodology.
- >
- >"His work is good," says George Bridges, on of the two UW sociology
- >professors who did a study of TV and violence for the National Institute
- >of Mental Health. "We also found a stong relationship between violence
- >and watching TV. But we don't really know which is cause and which is
- >effect. Do violent and aggressive people watch more violent TV, which
- >in turn reinforces their violence? Or does the observation of violence
- >itself trigger more violence?"
- >
- >Actually, dozens of studies by organizations ranging from the American
- >Psychological Association to the National Institute of Mental Health,
- >have said there's an unquestionable link between violent TV and violent
- >personal behavior. They conclude that watching hours of televised
- >brutality anesthetizes viewers to human suffering.
- >
- >That's way a recent "violence profile" of the networks' "mean and
- >dangerous world," by the University of Pennsylvania's Annenburg School
- >of Communications, was particularly disturbing when it notes a dramatic
- >increase in violence on children's TV. The Pennsylvania researchers
- >attributed this to the government's move in the early 1980s to
- >deregulate broadcasting, and on the networks' penchant for action-
- >oriented programming. "Violence sells," Centerwall says.
- >
- >The significance of South Africa in Centerwall's study is that
- >prohibition by the Afrikaner government prevented introduction of the
- >tube there until 1974. Before that, the South African homicide rate
- >actually had declined even when U.S. and Canadian rates were escalating
- >through the 1960s and 1970s.
- >
- >But by 1983, South Africa's murder rate had soared by 56 percent, and
- >now that the figures have been updated to cover the period 1975-1987,
- >they show the rate actually has increased by 130 percent.
- >
- >"Just as I forecast," Centerwall says, "the white homicide rate there
- >has approximately doubled due to people watching TV."
- >
- >Centerwall, an assistant professor of psychiatry and behavioral
- >sciences, believes these new figures are additional corroboration of his
- >contention that TV dramatically boosts a country's murder rate. He says
- >the rise is preceded by a 10- ot 15-year lag time for the first
- >generation of children weaned on television to reach adulthood and move
- >into their most crime-prone years.
- >
- >Television was widely introduced in the United States and Canada around
- >1950. Soon the annual incidence of homicide among whites increased by
- >93 percent, from three homicides per 100,000 population in 1945 to 5.8
- >homicides per 100,000 in 1974. In South Africa, where television was
- >banned, the incidence of homicide deaths decreased by 7 percent, from
- >2.7 homicides per 100,00 population in 1943 to 2.5 homicides per 100,00
- >population in 1974.
- >
- >"People have a gut feeling that America is more violent than it used to
- >be," Centerwall says. "Well, they're absolutely right. As a simple
- >matter of uncontrovertible statistical fact, the incidence of all forms
- >of violence have doubled here since the 1950s. So our intuitive sense
- >that something has radically changed is correct."
- >
- >The professor says he has accumulated a lot of additional research, but
- >the bottom line is that about 10,000 of America's annual 20,000 murders
- >are because of people watching TV. He says TV has also doubled rates of
- >rape, assault, child abuse and other forms of violence.
- >
- >"A particular murder is always due to many things," he says. "TV is
- >just another factor among many, including poverty, drugs and mental
- >disturbance. But if TV had never existed, the U.S. would have 10,000
- >fewer murders each year. The same conclusion apply to rape and assault.
- >Half the rapes and assaults in the U.S. are attributable to TV."
- >
- >Has Centerwall produced the smoking statistical gun the definitely links
- >TV to murder and other violence? Should TV programs bear health
- >warnings similar to those on tobacco and alcohol?
- >
- >"I'm a scientists, and it's not my role to set guidelines," he says.
- >"My role is just to lay out the facts. The public is intelligent and
- >resourceful, and I leave it to them to ponder this information and
- >decide what they want to do about it individually or as groups.
- >
- >"But I do believe that parents must set limits on how much TV their
- >children watch, in the same way they set boundaries for other behavior."
- >
- >Centerwall holds a master's degree in public health from Tulane
- >University and received his medical degree from the University of
- >California-San Diego. He graduated cum laude from Yale in 1975.
- >
- >U.S. Sen. Paul Simon, D-Ill., has been trying since 1984 to secure
- >passage of a Television Violence Act, a bill that would encourage the
- >three networks to set common standards on the level of violence in their
- >programming. Although both House and Senate passed the bill
- >overwhelmingly, it's stalled in committee by those who want the bill
- >amended to also address the issue of sex on TV. "Covering both issues
- >in one bill gets complicated," Centerwall says.
- >
- >Stricter licensing standards could require TV stations owners to provide
- >more intellectually stimulating and less violent fare on the public
- >airwaves.
- >
- >"When TV was introduced, most people expected it would just be radio
- >with visuals," Centerwall says. "They didn't anticipate that the effect
- >would be revolutionary."
- >
- >-------------------------------------------------------------------------
- >
- >I have seen little mention of this study, and no other comments about
- >its validity. Has anyone else?
- >
- >Dean
- >
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------
- >Path: dg-rtp!psinntp!rpi!zaphod.mps.ohio-state.edu!mips!spool.mu.edu!uunet!zephyr.ens.tek.com!uw-beaver!milton!larryd
- >From: larryd@milton.u.washington.edu (Larry Desoto)
- >Newsgroups: talk.politics.guns
- >Subject: Television and Violence
- >Keywords: television violence
- >Message-ID: <1991Nov27.002217.24942@milton.u.washington.edu>
- >Date: 27 Nov 91 00:22:17 GMT
- >Organization: University of Washington
- >Lines: 162
- >
- >
- >Several people have requested the source about the relationship between
- >violence and television. Here is is along with some excerpts. These
- >are quoted entirely without permission from the original paper. Typos
- >are mine. Emphasized text is also mine.
- >
- >Source: Centerwall, Brandon S., "Exposure to television as a risk factor
- >for violence," American Journal of Epidemiology, 129/4, pp 643-652,
- >April 1989.
- >
- >
- >"....
- > All Canadian and US studies of the effect of prolonged childhood
- >exposure to television (two years or more) demonstrate a positive
- >relation between earlier exposure to television and later physical
- >aggressiveness, although not all studies reach statistical significance.
- >These studies establish the line between exposure to television and
- >subsequent increases in physical aggressiveness at the level of the
- >individual, thereby providing the conceptual basis for examining the
- >effect of exposure to television upon entire populations. They
- >underscore the need to determine whether exposure to television is a
- >risk factor for increased rates of violence in adult life. To address
- >this issue, I took advantage of a historical experiment---the absence of
- >television in South Africa prior to 1975.
- >
- > The South African government did not permit television broadcasting
- >prior to 1975, even though South African whites were a prosperous,
- >industrialized Western society. (...reasons for not allowing...))
- >Thus, an entire population of two million whites---rich and poor, urban
- >and rural, educated and uneducated---was non-selectively and absolutely
- >excluded from exposure to television for a quarter-century after the
- >medium was introduced into the United States. Since the ban on
- >television was not based upon any concerns regarding television and
- >violence, there was no self-selection bias with respect to the hypothesis
- >being tested.
- >
- > To evaluate television as a risk factor for violence, I examined
- >homicide rates in South Africa, Canada, and the United States. Given
- >that blacks in South Africa live under quite different conditions than
- >blacks in the United States, I limited the comparison to white homicide
- >rates in South Africa and the United States and the total homicide rate
- >in Canada (which was 97% white in 1951)."
- >
- >[discussion about data deleted]
- >
- > "Following the introduction of television into the United States,
- >the annual incidence of white homicide deaths increased by 93%, from 3.0
- >homicides per 100,000 white population in 1945 to 5.8 homicides per
- >100,000 in 1974; in South Africa where television was banned, the
- >incidence of white homicide deaths decreased by 7%, from 2.7/100,000
- >white population in 1943-1948 to 2.5/100,000 in 1974. As with US
- >whites, following the introduction of television the incidence of
- >Canadian homicides increased by 92%, from 1.3/100,000 in 1945 to
- >2.5/100,000 in 1974.
- >
- > Violence is a multifactor phenomenon, involving such established
- >risk factors as age, sex, socioeconomic status, and preexisting culture.
- >Therefore, it is anticipated that baseline rates of violence will vary
- >across countries (compare Canada and South Africa). For the same
- >reason, exposure to television is not expected to determine the absolute
- >rate of violence; rather the attained rate of violence will reflect both
- >exposure to television and the baseline rate of violence (compare Canada
- >and the US), as well as the effect of changes in other risk factors---for
- >example, socioeconomic conditions.
- >
- > Following the introduction of television, homicide rates doubled in
- >Canada and the United States, whereas in South Africa, where television
- >did not exist, white homicide rates remained the same over time. For
- >both Canada and the United States, there was a lag of 10-15 years
- >between the introduction of television and the subsequent doubling of
- >the homicide rate. Given that homicide is an adult activity, if
- >television exerts its behavior-modifying effects primarily upon
- >children, the initial "television generation" would have had to age
- >10-15 years before they would have been old enough to affect the
- >homicide rate."
- >
- > [considerable discussion on methods, data, possible errors, graphs,
- >and discussion about using Canada, South Africa, and the United States
- >as multiple controls deleted]
- >
- > "It was necessary to further take into account possible confounding
- >third variables, both accessible (i.e., known and measurable) and
- >inaccessible (i.e., unknown or unmeasurable). I have examined an array
- >of possible confounders---changes in age distribution, urbanization,
- >economic conditions, alcohol consumption, capital punishment, civil
- >unrest, and the AVAILABILITY OF FIREARMS. None provided a viable
- >alternative explanation for the observed homicide trends."
- >
- >[ more discussion about multiple controls to eliminate confounding
- >factors such as the civil right movement and Vietnam war deleted]
- >
- >"Two major hypotheses are that 1) exposure of susceptible populations to
- >television is followed by a major increase in rates of violence, and 2)
- >the timing of the introduction of television into the population
- >predicts the timing of the subsequent increase in rates of violence.
- >These hypotheses can be tested across various populations.
- >
- > For example, following the introduction of television into the
- >United States, annual homicide rates increased for both whites and
- >minorities, increasing by 157% for whites and 63% for minorities between
- >1955 and 1975. As might be expected for what was then an expensive
- >luxury commodity, minority households acquired their first television
- >sets approximately five years later than white households. White
- >homicide rates began to increase in 1958; as predicted by the
- >hypothesis, minority homicide rates did not begin to increase until four
- >years later.
- >
- > Similarly, following the introduction of television, homicide rates
- >increased in all nine US census regions. The different census regions
- >did not acquire television at the same time; neither did their homicide
- >rates begin to increase at the same time (Middle Atlantic homicide rates
- >began to increase in 1958; whereas West South Central homicide rates did
- >not begin to increase until 1964). The correlation between the timing of
- >the acquisition of television, by region, and the timing of the region's
- >subsequent increase in the homicide rate is 0.82 (p = 0.003).
- >
- > Likewise, following the introduction of television into the
- >United States, homicide rates increased in both urban and rural
- >populations, but not at the same time. As would be expected,
- >metropolitan centers acquired television first, then progressively
- >smaller cities and towns. As predicted by the hypothesis, there was a
- >parallel sequence in the increase in homicide rates, homicide rates
- >first increasing in metropolitan centers, then in progressively smaller
- >cities and towns."
- >
- >[more discussion about etiologic analysis techniques and the data
- >deleted]
- >
- > "Perhaps the ultimate test of the etiologic hypothesis is taking
- >place even now in South Africa: Will the introduction of television
- >into South Africa be followed by major increases in the white homicide
- >rate? As of 1983, the most recent year for which data are available,
- >the white South African homicide rate had reached 3.9/100,000 white
- >population---an annual rate greater than any observed in the
- >pretelevision years, 1945-1974, and 56% greater than the rate in 1974,
- >the last year before television was introduced. In contrast, Canadian
- >and white American homicide rates have not increased since 1974. As of
- >1983, the Canadian homicide rate was 2.4/100,000 population as compared
- >with 2.5/100,000 in 1974. In 1983, the US white homicide rate was
- >5.6/100,000 white population, as compared with 5.8/100,000 in 1974."
- >
- >[more discussion about methods deleted]
- >
- > "...In other words, it is estimated that exposure to television is
- >etiologically related to approximately ONE HALF of the homicides
- >committed in the United States, or approximately 10,000 homicides
- >annually. Although the data are not as well developed for other forms
- >of violence, they indicate that exposure to television is also
- >etiologically related to a major proportion---perhaps one half---of
- >rapes, assaults, and other forms of interpersonal violence in the United
- >States."
- >
- >
- >
- >
- >You can count on this never making "60 Minutes" or the "News at 11."
- >
- >--
- >Larry | Thunder makes all the noise;
- > | lightning gets the job done.
- >larryd@u.milton.washington.edu
- >I have my opinion; the university has its own.
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------
-