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- Newsgroups: bit.listserv.politics
- Date: Mon, 25 Jan 1993 16:44:37 EST
- Sender: Forum for the Discussion of Politics <POLITICS@UCF1VM.BITNET>
- From: Daniel David Benson <bensonda@STUDENT.MSU.EDU>
- Subject: Re: Uncl: Business Optimism
- Comments: To: POLITICS@ucf1vm.cc.ucf.edu
- In-Reply-To: <no.id>; from "KILBURN@WVSVAX.WVNET.EDU" at Jan 25, 93 3:38 pm
- Lines: 30
-
- >
- > Hiya:
- > Brett' wrote:
- >
- > > It's too bad no one pinned Bill down to a specific unemployment numbe
- r.
- > >
- > > Let's do a list poll: what's your prediction for unemployment at the
-
- > >end of January, 1994?
- > >
- > > I think it will be 8.3%
- >
- > Can I use a random number generator? I don't know nothin' 'bout economics
- > :) Seriously -- whichever way the numbers go, what kinds of evidence can
- > we legitimately use to decide who's to blame (or who's to cheer)? Honest
- > question -- I suspect Clinton didn't have a whole lot to do with Sears
- > stores closing (didn't they just get hit with a price-fixing bust?). On
- > the other hand, if unemployment goes down, I wouldn't know where to begin
- > to look for evidence that he was responsible for that.
- >
- > Help?
- > Kerry
- >
- That's a tough one. It will depend a lot on the monetary policy the Fed goes
- with from this point along with the global economic climate (remember Japan
- and its little "problem" with it's own economy?). It would almost be easier to
- predict the weather for January 25th 1994.
-
- -Dan
-