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- Newsgroups: sci.space
- Path: sparky!uunet!munnari.oz.au!yarrina.connect.com.au!melba.bby.com.au!gnb
- From: gnb@baby.bby.com.au (Gregory N. Bond)
- Subject: Saving an overweight SSTO....
- Message-ID: <1993Jan11.075346.12742@bby.com.au>
- Sender: usenet@bby.com.au (news READER id)
- Nntp-Posting-Host: baby
- Organization: Burdett, Buckeridge & Young, Melbourne, Australia
- Date: Mon, 11 Jan 1993 07:53:46 GMT
- Lines: 33
-
- Suppose DC-X works more-or-less as planned, and they go ahead and
- attempt to build a DC-Y/DC-1. And suppose the pollyannas are right
- and it bloats and the dry mass goes up.
-
- There are a couple of scenarios here:
-
- 1) It's overweight by some relatively small amount, say, 5000lbs. This
- leaves 5000lbs payload, still a worthwhile cargo. And the price/lb is
- double projections, but still a small fraction of ELVs. So the
- project is still a win, albeit smaller.
-
- 2) The mass overrun is a substantial fraction of payload, or exceeds
- payload. Then a possibility would be to delete the life support and
- crew cockpit and use the thing unmanned. This should get enough mass
- back to get to case 1, perhaps with slightly lower reliability (due to
- automated operation). Costs would be higher than case 1 due to the
- need to buy replacement DC-1s that the robots have totalled that
- manned pilots wouldn't have, but could still be at least competitive
- with existing ELVs. The project is pretty much a wash, but valuable
- experience is gained.
-
- 3) The mass overrun is much larger than that. At this point, the
- project is lost; however I suspect that (given the findings of the
- various reports into the general feasability) this is much less likely
- than the previous cases.
-
- And in any case, you know a lot more than when you started, and you
- can do it right next time!
-
- Greg.
- --
- Gregory Bond <gnb@bby.com.au> Burdett Buckeridge & Young Ltd Melbourne Australia
- Dizzy Gillespie: RIP.
-