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- Newsgroups: sci.space
- Path: sparky!uunet!techbook!szabo
- From: szabo@techbook.com (Nick Szabo)
- Subject: Re: SEI
- Message-ID: <C0H9Kw.LLx@techbook.com>
- Organization: TECHbooks --- Public Access UNIX --- (503) 220-0636
- References: <C0F4Gx.1I8.1@cs.cmu.edu>
- Distribution: sci
- Date: Thu, 7 Jan 1993 09:41:19 GMT
- Lines: 48
-
- roberts@cmr.ncsl.nist.gov (John Roberts) writes:
-
- >...SEI didn't sell, largely because of the projected
- >horrendous cost (~$400 billion, if I recall correctly). [liability
- >to any mission related to SEI, "camel's nose under tent" effect]
-
- SEI was the ultimate manifestation of the old NASA/Von Braun style
- of space development, sold honestly. We're going to tell you today
- just how we're going to develop space, out into the middle of the next
- century. We've got all the Next Logical Steps planned out, just so.
- Of course there won't be any technological advance before 2030 that
- would make our plans obsolete. Of course we won't discover anything on
- the asteroids that would make them better targets than the Moon
- or Mars, or on the comets, or on Jupiter, or anywhere else in
- space; obviously the Moon and Mars are the Next Logical Steps
- and that's that. Obviously the commercial and military satellites
- are just trivial child's play against our inspiring and ambitious
- Plan. Obviously Man In Space is central, and robot probes will play
- only a peripheral role, and no technoligical advance can change that.
- This is a Long Term Plan, so don't expect any sort of applications
- or payback, except of course there will be Spinoffs.
-
- STS and SSF, the first two Logical Steps, were sold dishonestly,
- claiming dramatic capabilities that were cut back to trivia and huge
- breakthroughts that became huge liablities. SEI was the second two
- Logical Steps, sold more honestly: we're going to spend your tax
- money, tons of it, with no application or payback at all, except
- the sheer Adventure of it.
-
- When honestly presented, The Plan is most thoroughly rejected.
-
- It's time to move on to the 21st century instead of trying to
- implement the myths of the first half of the 20th, fantasies
- political (central planning economics) and technoligical (space
- stations, shuttles, Buck Rogers, etc.). Done is the era
- of the dominance of Man in Space, coming is the dominance of
- Space for the wants and needs of Mankind. Out goes prejudiced
- central planning and Next Logical Steps, in comes building
- space infrastructure through emergent competition, and
- adaptation to change. Begone with technology as religious
- sacrament; let's use technology as tool.
-
- The 21st century will soon be here. Toto, I don't think we're
- in Kanas any more!
-
-
- --
- Nick Szabo szabo@techboook.com
-