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- From: drw@euclid.mit.edu (Dale R. Worley)
- Subject: Re: GNP & UNEMPLOYMENT BOTH UP ???
- In-Reply-To: ohumukin@spectra.com's message of Thu, 7 Jan 93 21:37:06 GMT
- Message-ID: <DRW.93Jan8195848@euclid.mit.edu>
- Sender: news@athena.mit.edu (News system)
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- Organization: MIT Dept. of Tetrapilotomy, Cambridge, MA, USA
- References: <1993Jan7.213706.12845@spectra.com>
- Date: Sat, 9 Jan 1993 00:58:48 GMT
- Lines: 40
-
- In article <1993Jan7.213706.12845@spectra.com> ohumukin@spectra.com (Kawika Ohumukini) writes:
- Question: How can the GNP go up and yet unemployment also go up?
-
- But remember that the total "workforce" is rather elastic -- people
- enter and leave the workforce based on what they think they can earn.
- In the "Leave It To Beaver" world of the past, the set of people "in
- the labor market" was much more sharply defined by the culture, so
- "employment" and "unemployment" always moved in opposite directions.
- These days, both can go up at the same time.
-
- [...] when someone is replaced by a machine or technology, the
- society as a whole is better, and so is that person.
-
- That is, assuming that the person in question can be retrained so that
- they are as "productive" as they were before. Technological
- unemployment is still going to be a problem -- some people's major
- skills are going to be in lessening demand.
-
- Do you want a society of optimistic self-starting achievers?
-
- Curiously, the American populace is much more optimistic on the whole
- than in any other industrialized country (according to The Economist).
- Whether that's because we're coming *out* of a recession as they're
- going *in*, or whether the difference is long-term, I don't know.
-
- Train them to do so and we will all see it.
-
- However, it may work as well (or better) to make available options by
- which people can train themselves. In many cases, people are willing
- to borrow money to get training, but the present legal system makes it
- hard for private lenders to lend them money. The college student loan
- program (for all its faults) seems to be a reasonably good model for
- how the government can facilitate private lending at a reasonably
- small price.
-
- Dale
-
- Dale Worley Dept. of Math., MIT drw@math.mit.edu
- --
- The universe owes you nothing; not even survival. *Especially* not survival.
-