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- Date: Mon, 4 Jan 1993 10:02:02 -0700
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- From: "William T. Powers" <POWERS_W%FLC@VAXF.COLORADO.EDU>
- Subject: Dag's points; qualitative explanation
- Lines: 111
-
- [From Bill Powers (930104.0900)]
-
- Today, Jan. 4, is the day of latest sunrise; the earliest sunset
- occurred way back on Dec. 7. We got an elliptical orbit.
-
- Dag Forssell (930103.1200) --
-
- As Ray Jackson pointed out, what you do in seminars adds a lot to
- what is in the printed material. I was trying to point out that a
- person reading the material you posted might well take it in just
- the way you don't want it taken: as a prescription for what to
- DO. I think it's important to keep asking, as you read your own
- writing, "Is this the sort of thing anyone could say no matter
- what theory they believed in?" Making good use of resources (for
- example), it seems to me, is something I have heard before ad
- nauseum. Even when you do say things that are commonplace, the
- point should be to explain WHY these things are beneficial. Your
- students come out of the seminar understanding a lot more of the
- "why." Can't more of that get into the printed matter?
-
- I do agree with you that there are situations in which
- anticipating a disturbance can help control. These tend to be
- those involving higher-level variables for which control is slow.
- But anticipation alone is never enough.
- ---------------------------------------------------------------
- Rick Marken, Gary Cziko, Greg Williams (930103-4) --
-
- It strikes me that all of the ways in which Skinnerians and other
- dismiss PCT ideas treat a quantitative theory as if it's a
- qualitative theory. Rick said this, but it's a point that bears
- elaboration.
-
- Even trying to play Devil's Advocate pushes one into the
- qualitative mode. Greg said that it is possible to detect the
- disturbance through its effect on the cursor. That is true,
- qualitativly. Everyone can tell immediately THAT there is a
- disturbance, because the cursor doesn't behave as they expect it
- to under the hypothesis that they have the sole means of
- affecting it. But nobody can tell, on that qualitative basis
- alone, WHAT THE DISTURBANCE IS.
-
- I should also point out that no matter what method a person uses,
- there is no way of telling HOW MANY disturbing variables are
- acting at the same time, or what their individual magnitudes and
- directions are.
-
- Given enough practice, people will realize that there is
- information about the details of the disturbing variable. It's in
- their own handle movements. In either compensatory or pursuit
- tracking, an experienced subject will have a pretty good idea of
- how the handle should move, on the average, to keep the cursor on
- target. In compensatory tracking it should be centered; in
- pursuit tracking it should move in proportion to target
- movements. The disturbance results in the handle moving in other
- ways, and the deviation of handle movements from the expected movements (or
- position) is direct information about the direction
- and magnitude of the invisible disturbance. But of course you
- don't have this information available until AFTER you've achieved
- good control.
-
- Greg caught on to this in showing how, by looking at the
- relationship between the handle and the cursor, the participant
- could get more information about the disturbance. What you
- missed, Greg (possibly) is that this information can't be used to
- ACHIEVE good control, because if you don't already have good
- control, the information isn't available.
-
- Greg asks "HAS ANYONE ACTUALLY LOOKED AT THE CORRELATIONS BETWEEN
- CURSOR POSITION AND VELOCITY, AND HANDLE VELOCITY, RATHER THAN
- HANDLE POSITION?" The answer is yes. The correlation increases
- somewhat -- say from 0.1 to 0.3. Rick, maybe you have some more
- exact numbers on this. The reason, as I was guessing yesterday,
- is that either noise or chaotic effects come to dominate the
- error signal. I think that people keep improving their control
- until there is no further systematic error perceivable by them.
- This means that the signal in the error signal will be just
- barely discernible amid the noise in the error signal. When a
- person has learned to control in a given situation as well as
- that person is going to control, most of the error signal will be
- unsystematic.
-
- Rick just called, and is going to handle some more aspects of
- these questions by running a simulation.
-
- Just one more point. In a real experiment, although not in
- ordinary simulations, the HANDLE movement is not perfectly
- smooth. It wobbles relative to the correct position by a few
- percent of its range. This makes only a small difference in the
- match between handle and disturbance, and indeed accounts for
- most of the difference between the observed handle-disturbance
- correlation and -1.0000. But that same small wobble in handle
- position becomes a very large relative wobble in cursor position,
- because we are subtracting two large numbers from each other,
- disturbance magnitude and handle position. There's no telling
- where this randomness enters the loop -- it could even be in the
- reference signal -- but it's that randomness that drastically
- lowers the handle-cursor correlation. In a simulation containing
- no noise, that correlation can become quite high if you correlate
- error signal with handle velocity. In fact there's no reason it
- shouldn't be perfect, in a simulation. But the real system does
- contain noise, and that is why the _measured_ correlation is so
- low. Injecting noise into the simulation would produce the same
- low correlation, approaching zero.
- --------------------------------------------------------------
- Best to all,
-
-
- Bill P.
-
-
- ----------------------------------------------------------------
-