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- Xref: sparky alt.fan.rush-limbaugh:11522 talk.politics.misc:66235
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- From: mykes@shell.portal.com (mike myke schwartz)
- Subject: Re: Conservative Values (Re: New group proposal: alt.conservative.forum)
- Message-ID: <C0D6CF.IG7@unix.portal.com>
- Followup-To: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh,talk.politics.misc
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- References: <1993Jan4.112422.2886@hemlock.cray.com>
- Date: Tue, 5 Jan 1993 04:41:01 GMT
- Lines: 73
-
- Russ Anderson (rja@mahogany126.cray.com) wrote:
- :
- : In <C02Mws.CtK@unix.portal.com>, mykes@shell.portal.com (mike myke schwartz) writes:
- : > Mike Jones (mjones@fenway.aix.kingston.ibm.com) wrote:
- : > : mykes@shell.portal.com (mike myke schwartz) writes:
- :
- : > : : The most successful governmental
- : > : : economic policies in this century, known as trickle-down, were a Kemp/Reagan
- : > : : implementation. Reagan's terms not only produced enormous prosperity and
- : > : : growth, but year after year the debt and defecit as a percentage of
- : > : : GDP _decreased_ (source: Milton Friedman, interviewd on Wall Street Week).
- : > :
- : > : This claim is so vague as to be meaningless. It is true that you can pick
- : > : starting and ending points to illustrate this fact, but there's no independent
- : > : reason to pick those points. If you take "the 80's" (1980-1989), or "the
- : > : Reagan years (1980-1988), that isn't a true statement. (I'll welcome FACTS
- : > : to prove me wrong, because I don't have the numbers handy.) The growth was
- : > : largely fueled by massive increases in public and private debt, which has
- : > : been very much responsible for the mess we're in now.
- : >
- : > I did not video tape Wall Street Week, nor do I have a transcript of it.
- : > The best of my recollection is what I wrote. I apologize for saying that
- : > the DEBT decreased. But the defecit did indeed decrease. Since you ask
- : > me to do your research for you, I will provide you with the data, as found
- : > in my 1992 Universal Almanac. All dollar figures are in BILLIONS.
- : >
- : > 1980 GNP 2732.0, defecit = 73.8, %GNP = .0270
- : > 1985 GNP 4014.9, defecit = 212.3, %GNP = .0529
- : > 1987 GNP 4536.7, defecit = 148.0, %GNP = .0327
- : > 1988 GNP 4864.3, defecit = 155.1, %GNP = .0319
- : > 1989 GNP 5200.8, defecit = 152.0, %GNP = .0292
- :
- : Mike, unless you plan on arguing that .0270 > .0292, you just disproved your
- : own assertion.
- :
- : The deficit as a percentage of GNP was higher at the end of the 1980's than
- : it was at the start of the 1980's.
- :
-
- Russ, the assertion was made that the defecit DID not decrease at all,
- as %GNP, and someone questioned Milton Friedman's claim that it did. It did.
- In fact, the consistent yearly decrease from 85-89 was deliberate and
- healthy.
-
- The assertion that defecit spending is the cause of any problems is false.
- Tell that to people who buy homes with mortgages of (at least) 4x their
- gross earnings. The assertion that defecit spending every year is bad is
- also false. If, yearly, you get a $100/month pay raise ($1200/year), you
- do indeed have the ability to pay $100/month on new debt costs.
-
- If the current debt is (rougly) $4 Trillion and federal revenues are $1.2
- Trillion, then the debt is not the problem. If you look at the debt in
- relationship to the GNP as a whole, the nation is incredabily healthy.
-
- I'm sure we would al be saying "borrow more!" if the govt. invests
- the money in things that give back a good yield. For 3/4 of the debt,
- we could have set up an annuity to fund the defense budget (or half the
- entitlement budget) for perpetuity and paid for it for 30 years.
-
- The bottom line is that govt. won't stop defecit spending. There is no
- compelling reason to. By the time the GNP triples, the debt will too.
- The only negative we will feel is during recessions, which will hurt the
- govt's ability to pay for everything.
-
- A trend as shown by the above debt vs. GNP figures illustrates how strong our
- economy was/is and if continued, the debt would disappear in 40-50 years.
- The debt starts disappearing the day defecit spending stops...
-
-
- : --
- : Russ Anderson | Disclaimer: Any statements are my own and do not reflect
- : ------------------ upon my employer or anyone else. (c) 1992
- : EX-Twins' Jack Morris, 10 innings pitched, 0 runs (World Series MVP!)
-