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- Path: sparky!uunet!noc.near.net!transfer.stratus.com!sw.stratus.com!tnh
- From: tnh@sw.stratus.com (Tim Hill)
- Newsgroups: rec.games.bridge
- Subject: Re: Bizzare Bidding!
- Date: 22 Dec 1992 14:54:43 GMT
- Organization: Stratus Computer, Inc.
- Lines: 52
- Distribution: world
- Message-ID: <1h7a7jINNanu@transfer.stratus.com>
- References: <stark.724728170@lindblat.cc.monash.edu.au>
- NNTP-Posting-Host: bigbootay.sw.stratus.com
-
- In article <stark.724728170@lindblat.cc.monash.edu.au>, stark@lindblat.cc.monash.edu.au (Justin Stark) writes:
- > J 6
- > 10 3 2
- > J 10 4
- > J 6 5 4 2
- > K Q 10 8 5 4 9
- > Q J 9 5
- > A K 8 2 9 7 6 3
- > 9 8 7 A K Q 10
- > A 7 3 2
- > A K 8 7 6 4
- > Q 5
- > 3
- >
- > ...
- > 1H X 2H X (*1)
- > / 4S / 4N (*2)
- > / 5D / 5H (*3)
- > / 5S / 5N
- > X 6S / /
- > X / / /
-
- Why yes, it was bizarre bidding!
-
- > How would you play on a 10H lead!
-
- We'll need five spades, one heart, two diamonds, and four clubs to bring
- this home. Our mission is to avoid a second spade loser.
-
- Let me guess. Declarer covered the lead, ruffed the HK, played a club to
- dummy, and ran the S9. North won and gave South a club ruff. Down 2.
-
- I suppose the question is whether declarer should have picked up the SJ.
- Well, the auction appears to mark South with both aces. Unless South was
- particularly crafty, he probably played the HK on trick one. Even if South
- played HA on trick one, it's hard to believe North would raise hearts and
- then lead HT from KTx.
-
- So, credit South with SA and HAK.
-
- Now North's heart raise could certainly be made with very few HCPs, but
- surely we have to credit North with the majority of the four missing queens
- and jacks. That makes the odds at least 3:1 that North has the SJ. So I
- think it's a tad better to play North for SJx than to play South for SAJx
- (note that we can't win if South has SAJxx).
-
- So, lead the SK at trick two.
- --
- Tim Hill
- Stratus Computer, Inc. tnh@vos.stratus.com
- 55 Fairbanks Boulevard 508-460-2232
- Marlborough, MA 01752 fax 508-624-7488
-