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- From: thf2@ellis.uchicago.edu (Ted Frank)
- Subject: Re: Why care what percentage? (was: Gay Likelihood)
- Message-ID: <1992Dec21.151840.21605@midway.uchicago.edu>
- Sender: news@uchinews.uchicago.edu (News System)
- Reply-To: thf2@midway.uchicago.edu
- Organization: University of Chicago Computing Organizations
- References: <BzJ0nJ.1Ip7@austin.ibm.com> <1992Dec21.084939.19583@netcom.com> <JTCHEW-211292065104@b50-afrd4.lbl.gov>
- Date: Mon, 21 Dec 1992 15:18:40 GMT
- Lines: 40
-
- In article <JTCHEW-211292065104@b50-afrd4.lbl.gov> JTCHEW@lbl.gov (Ad absurdum per aspera) writes:
- >In article <1992Dec21.084939.19583@netcom.com>, obrien@netcom.com (Robert
- >O'Brien) wrote:
- >> What I'm wondering is, does it make a difference to you? If, say, 2% of
- >> the population is all, then would that excuse ignoring or discriminating
- >> against a group? If 20% of the population were gay, then they'd be
- >> a lot harder to ignore eh?
- >
- >Well... that's *my* point, kind of, in explaining why the number seems
- >to have taken on some political importance. A homophobe isn't
- >forced to confront his prejudices if he thinks there are 1 or 2 gay people
- >in 100. There are surely 1 or 2 people in 100 he doesn't like anyway,
- >and in whom he can see "effeminate" or at least off-normal characteristics
- >if he looks creatively enough. If the proportion is widely assumed to be
- >
- >10% or 20%, though, he has to confront the idea that there might be a
- >homosexual in the room with him right now -- maybe even someone he
- >likes and probably someone who "doesn't look gay."
- >
- >That may be less than the ideal motivation for confronting fear of
- >homosexuals, but it's better than nothing. And it doesn't take a
- >folklorist of Brunvandian proportions to see how this motivation would help
- >a possibly bogus number take on a life of its own.
-
- And, of course, having an accurate percentage is important for epidemological
- considerations for certain afflictions. If 10% of all men are gay, it means
- that gay men are 19 times as much risk for HIV infection than the rest of the
- population (assuming that the UL'ish notion that 50% of all HIV+ are hetero),
- while if 4% of all men are gay, then gay men are 48 times as much risk, etc.
-
- This would (or should) change the amount of societal resources devoted to AIDS
- education and prevention. Ironically, the constant repetition of the clearly
- false 10% overestimate probably results in far too much of society's resources
- being devoted to preventing heterosexual AIDS, and not enough devoted to
- preventing homosexual AIDS.
-
- --
- ted frank | thf2@ellis.uchicago.edu
- standard disclaimers | void where prohibited
- the university of chicago law school, chicago, illinois 60637
-