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- Path: sparky!uunet!haven.umd.edu!darwin.sura.net!zaphod.mps.ohio-state.edu!saimiri.primate.wisc.edu!caen!destroyer!ncar!vexcel!dean
- From: dean@vexcel.com (Dean Alaska)
- Subject: Re: Carrying capacity and [in]sanity
- Message-ID: <1992Dec14.171254.15202@vexcel.com>
- Organization: VEXCEL Corporation, Boulder CO
- References: <om9NVB1w165w@momad.li.ny.us>
- Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1992 17:12:54 GMT
- Lines: 192
-
- In article <om9NVB1w165w@momad.li.ny.us> siphon@Momad.LI.NY.US (Stimpson J. Katz) writes:
- >Alan McGowen Writes:
- >
- >>This is
- >>what we have been using technology for increasingly in the past few
- >>centuries -- undermining the biotic future for present consumption and
- >>reproduction; -- for a one-time bonanza.
- >
- >Do you see any evidence that technology will not be able to maintain this
- >bonanza indefinitely. You have here thoroughly begged the question of whether
- >there are limited resources by calling technology a "one-time bonanza".
-
- Do you see any evidence that technology can maintain the bonanza
- indefinitely?
- >
- >>And it is one-time, not just because the fossil fuels will eventually run
- >>out but because the biological support system has a finite capacity, which
- >>arises from its evolutionary history of only photosynthesis-derived energy
- >>flows, and which is being degraded, and would continue to be degraded even if
- >>some other kind of energy (e.g. nuclear) were to replace fossil fuels. It's
- >>not lack of energy for *us* that is limiting -- it's *too much* energy for
- >>the biosphere. It's not just that we are not living within *our* means,
- >>energetically speaking, -- we are not living within *its* means.
- >
- >Present any evidence to back this claim up. How does a person using large
- >quantities of energy derived by some clean source (IE: nuclear) to power
- >his lights, microwave oven, washing machine, etc.. harm the biosphere?
-
- By reducing habitat range and reducing biodiversity. By leaving
- increasing amounts of waste in quantities that the bioshpere cannot absorb.
- >
- >>Now there are two fundamentally different possible responses we could make
- >>to this situation.
- >
- >Of course, and they are freedom and slavery.
- >
- >>One way would be to bring our use of energy and other impacts on the biosphere
- >>back down to what it can tolerate -- and help it to repair the damage we
- >>have already wrought.
- >
- >Hmm. How would we do this? Verbal persuasion?
-
- Sounds like a good method. Thanks for the idea.
- >
- >>We would live within *its* means -- not because we were
- >>technologically incapable of living beyond those means (at least for a time),
- >
- >Again, you thoroughly beg the question. Why do you keep claiming it is "for
- >a time"? You have presented no evidence that technology cannot produce a
- >(roughly) unlimited supply of energy to meet our present demands (at any
- >present you care to consider).
-
- And again, you have presented no evidence that it can. Extrapolating
- the short history of modern technological society is not adequate.
- >
- >>but because the price of doing so would be that we would wreck it, which we
- >>don't want to do. Bringing our realized niche back into line with what the
- >>biosphere could support indefinitely is a coevolutionary process -- coevolution
- >>is the process whereby niches evolve in response to the evolution of, or to
- >>constraints imposed by, other species or a whole ecological community -- except
- >>that of course we would be doing it *culturally*, not by waiting for our gene
- >>frequncies to change.
- >
- >By culturally, he means with guns.
-
- Did he say that? Whay do you think that is what he means?
- >
- >>This business of accepting a *realized* niche for
- >>ourselves which is constrained by the ecosystems of the planet instead of a
- >>*fundamental* niche which is constrained only by our technological limits at
- >>the moment is what "ecocentrism" is all about: putting the needs of ecosystems
- >>first.
- >
- >Now we have an interesting admission: "Ecocentrism" is about putting the
- >need of frogs, rocks, streams, and plankton ahead of the needs of man, which
- >are never even mentioned in Alan's writings.
-
- Are not the needs of the biosphere meshed with the needs of man?
- >
- >>Notice that this ecocentric approach does not have to mean that humans are
- >>forever confined to the Earth or must live only like Pleistocene
- >>hunter-gatherers. But it does mean that we can't leave the Earth by engaging
- >>in biotic deficit spending. Any technology can be pursued so long as we
- >>do it in way and on a scale which is compatable with the continuance of the
- >>rich diversity of life which is the biosphere -- so long as we don't step
- >>out of our ecosystemic impact budget at any point along the way.
- >
- >Who makes the budget? How do they enforce their decision? No answer.
-
- Scientifically. By consensus, eventually. Answer.
- >
- >>The other approach is to say "we don't need to accept any limits other
- >>than those imposed by basic physics. If the biosphere is currently a
- >>limit in any way, we will just develop more technology to free us from
- >>that limit. Even if our own biology in some way ties us to the biosphere,
- >>that is just another limit which can be overcome. We can change our biology,
- >>perhaps, or become thinking machines if need be. It doesn't matter what
- >>becomes of the biosphere so long as intelligence, civilization, and machinery
- >>expand through the universe." This approach, which values technology above
- >>the biosphere, I call "technocentrism".
- >
- >What a ridiculous straw man. The two choices Alan provides us are value
- >technology or value ecology. What about human beings?
-
- Are not human beings part of ecology? Were we brought here by aliens?
- >
- >>Now the choice between technocentrism and ecocentrism is simultaneously moral
- >>and pragmatic. Technocentrism involves willingness to gamble the biosphere
- >>-- and the only life we humans have or know we will ever have -- on the
- >>chance that we will be able to innovate our way out of any scrape we ever
- >>get into.
- >
- >We have already been innvating our way out of every scrape we have gotten
- >into.
-
- Only some of them. The new problems, such as ozone and climate change,
- are much more broad than the dirty rivers that we have cleaned up. Or
- do you think that these are just myths?
- >
- >>Against this likelihood is that fact that every living system in
- >>the history of the Earth has equilibrated to some limit. The technocentrists
- >>point to a few decades or centuries of exponential growth of technology as
- >>evidence that we need not concern ourselves with what has happened to other
- >>species -- we, they say (echoing religion strangely) are Truly Different.
- >
- >We are capable of rational thought, we are capable of moral action. Yet isn't
- >it the ecocentrists who want to impose limits on man, that they impose on
- >no other species? You are the ones who claim men are "Truly Different". If
- >not, why not try to influence the cats to kill fewer birds, or whatever it is
- >silly environmentalists do.
-
- I think both sides admit that humans are different. Our ability to
- modify the biosphere is truly different than any other species.
- Therefore, our ability to limit our own actions becomes critical. This
- is obvious to all people in relation to nuclear weapons because that
- is a short-term destruction. The suggestion is that we consider
- long-term changes. Those who say we need not be concerned with changes
- that don't hurt us in the predictable short-run are the ones who are
- setting humans aside as most separate.
- >
- >>In short, there is colossal risk involved in the
- >>technocentric path -- the most colossal risk imaginable. But even beyond
- >>the question of risk is a deeper question -- is that the way we want to go,
- >>even if we can? Should it be the human goal to seek an indefinite expansion
- >>of power, no matter what is destroyed in the process, so long as we can
- >>get away with it and survive?
- >
- >More straw man arguments! It should be the human goal to progress as far as
- >we can. To make our lives as easy, profitable, and enjoyable as we possibly
- >can. To respect the property rights of others, and so on.
-
- You totally avoid his question. At what cost should this progress be made?
- >
- >>This is not a scientific or pragmatic question -- it is a moral one. At least
- >>to some of us -- and I think in fact to the vast majority of people -- this
- >>path is reminiscent of the dreams of a Hitler. It is tinged with psychosis.
- >>It might turn out that if we followed it, it would be a blessing if we were
- >>to fail and become extinct. Does the universe really need an exponentiating
- >>civilization of conquering power-worshippers who cheerfully wrecked their
- >>own world to get warmed up? Is that a worthy thing for us to try to become?
- >
- >Now we see Paul's fundamental hatred for man coming through. "Does the
- >universe need us?" he asks, giving inanimate matter priority over
- >rational beings.
-
- I don't see any fundamental hatred of man here by Alan (who is Paul?).
- What I do see is a human-centered perspective on your part that seems
- very analogous to earth-centered perspectives of the old Catholic Church.
- >
- >>The other way says shrink the human
- >>niche down to a coevolutionary stable state with the biosphere (at least
- >>on Earth)
- >
- >That is, kill billions of human beings.
-
- He didn't say kill billions of people. This habit that some people have
- to infer genocide among those who would like to see a lower population
- is really tiresome. Is it impossible to debate someone based on what
- they actually say? Is that so hard?
- >
- >>-- a state which is compatible with the maintenance of the Earth's
- >>biological diversity and ecological and evolutionary processes.
- >
- >That is, in which frogs and plankton are safe.
-
- n which the biosphere, and all of its products (including humans) are safe.
- >
- >---------
- >
- --
-
- dingo in boulder (dean@vexcel.com)
-