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- From: larry@bradley.bradley.edu (L. D. Stratton)
- Subject: Re: For Those Who Think That Gay Men Have Changed Their Behavior
- Message-ID: <1992Nov23.163214.18175@bradley.bradley.edu>
- Organization: Bradley University
- References: <1992Nov21.234440.23014@murdoch.acc.Virginia.EDU> <1992Nov22.011803.1223@midway.uchicago.edu> <1992Nov22.213027.11164@netcom.com> <1992Nov23.134254.22836@wam.umd.edu>
- Date: Mon, 23 Nov 92 16:32:14 GMT
- Lines: 96
-
- In <1992Nov23.134254.22836@wam.umd.edu> rsrodger@wam.umd.edu (Yamanari) writes:
- >In article <1992Nov22.213027.11164@netcom.com> ssturgis@netcom.com (Scott Sturgis) writes:
- >>>I do. First, homosexuals are dozens times more likely to be HIV carriers.
- > Not for awhile, anyway. There was a big story about a year ago
- > that said that the # of teenagers (heterosexual ones) that had
- > been infected with the HIV virus had doubled in 9 months. The
- > story included the report, but not the actual figures.
- The Center for Disease Control has all the figures you might want on
- HIV/AIDS cases within the US and statistical reports on age, sex, risk
- groups, etc.
-
- > Yes, the fastest growing segment of the AIDS population _will_
- > be heterosexuals [I am, of course, only talking about the US--
- > Africa is wholly irrelavent]--but it is not true _now_.
- The fastest growing segment for infection is women, and particularly
- minority women. There has been a slow-down in the rate of homosexual
- men but quite an increase in the young adult population. Remember,
- these are percentages, not numbers but percentages do indicate trends.
-
- > BTW: If anyones interested, the number from the teenagers
- > study was somewhere between 400 and 600 <--out of
- > how many tens of millions?
- Check your numbers and look at the larger picture of increase of
- rates. Again, CDC publishes the larger report quarterly.
-
- > Can you say, "Inspire panic because this is really a non-issue?"
- I doubt you could convince any epidemiologist of this being a 'non-issue'.
- WHO estimates 80-110 million infected worldwide by 2000.
-
- >>Again Ted that may be true for the present but the future is a different
- >>story. There will be many THOUSANDS more to die before the cure is found.
-
- > Show me _one_ virus with a "cure"--any one, I don't care. Just
- > _one_..
- "Cure" was an unfortunate choice of words. However, read on.....
-
- > Hint: There is not now, and there will likely _never_ be a cure
- > for AIDS. [Never here being used in relative terms--we wont see
- > one in our lifetime]. There may eventually be a vaccine that
- > can be used before infection, which is fine. There may also
- > eventually be some kind of treatment that extends, further, the
- > life of someone with HIV (by preventing the development of AIDS)
- > but this is not likely, and these people will simply hang around
- > as carriers.
- Research conducted at Northern Illinois University and now by BioTech
- here in Illinois show some very promising results with RNA replication
- of the virus and the ability to interrupt that replication. If this
- research proves to be productive, the ramifications indicate that those
- infected by HIV could expect a normal lifespan. Note that this is not
- a vaccine but a treatment for HIV+ patients. I do not share your
- pessimism.
-
- RESOURCE INFORMATION: Journal of the National Academy of Science
- Vol. 89 (?) Nov. 15,1992
-
- > It is _extremely_ unlikely that there will ever be a
- > successful therapy for someone who has developed full blown
- > AIDS.
- Think again. Tremendous advances are being made in DNA/RNA research.
- I will direct your attention to the above resource where several
- articles have appeared this year on advancements in this area as
- well as the Saulk Institute publications. I am not overly optimistic
- about an effective treatment in the next 2 years or so but I am
- optimistic for the future.
-
- Oh, if your French is decent, try the Pasteur Institute Journal as
- well.
-
- > Anyone with AIDS now is walking to the grave. Anyone with
- > HIV now has hope that they wont die of it, but the will
- > _never_ be "cured".
- Rather broad statements! You fly in the face of current research
- with your statement on those with AIDS. The research that I am
- involved with negates your first statement and supports your second
- statement to the extent that erradication of the virus through RNA
- replication intervention would do nothing on the antibodies which
- are currently used as the innervator of HIV testing. Were other tests
- developed for the detection of the disease other than the antibodies,
- the HIV+ or even AIDS patient could test free of the virus if our
- research is fruitful. Let's pray to God that ours, or some other
- researcher's work is fruitful.
-
- > A cure or a treatment is _not_ the solution to this problem.
- > The cure is to prevent, by any and all means available to us,
- > the spread of the HIV virus.
- You are very correct here. The IMMEDIATE solution is prevention and
- this needs to be preached at all levels of society in every way
- possible. However, the long term solution is in research.
-
- You are probably too young to remeber when we didn't go swimming in
- August for fear of polio. That was prevention. The solution was
- the vaccine.
-
- > Robert Stephen Rodgers || rsrodger@wam.umd.edu || IRC: Yamanari
-
- lds
-