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- Newsgroups: sci.virtual-worlds
- Path: sparky!uunet!zaphod.mps.ohio-state.edu!darwin.sura.net!sgiblab!cs.uoregon.edu!news.uoregon.edu!news.u.washington.edu!stein.u.washington.edu!hlab
- From: jpc@tauon.ph.unimelb.edu.au (John Costella)
- Subject: Re: INDUSTRY: Future short/long term economic forecasts?
- Message-ID: <1992Nov19.072024.2347@u.washington.edu>
- Originator: hlab@stein.u.washington.edu
- Sender: news@u.washington.edu (USENET News System)
- Organization: University of Washington
- Date: Thu, 19 Nov 1992 01:29:04 GMT
- Approved: cyberoid@milton.u.washington.edu
- Lines: 34
-
-
- > What, in your expert opinions, are the future economic prospects for
- > the field of virtual reality?
-
- > Therefore my guess at the future of virtual reality is this: There
- > is the possibility for a career in it, but the career may take another
- > 20 years to even begin :) Or else careers may begin soon.... what do
- > you think?
-
- > [MODERATOR'S NOTE: I don't think so...it's more like five years -- or
- > maybe tomorrow, IMHO. But what do you all think? -- Bob Jacobson]
-
- IMHO:
-
- It'll be a talking point in the public till about mid 1993, then it will
- be boring.
- Lots of false starts and bankruptcies will be the norm for a while.
- Newsworthy applications will be reported on "Beyond 2000" type TV shows
- increasingly over the next few years.
- By about 1996, some sort of VR-related hardware will start selling
- like hotcakes. High-end workstations will already have it as standard.
- By 1999, VR hardware and software will be bundled in with all computers
- on the commodities market.
- More vendors will make big losses and go under.
-
- OK, so picking the Melbourne Cup winner for the first time ever went
- to my head. <grin>
-
- John
-
- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- John P. Costella School of Physics, The University of Melbourne
- jpc@tauon.ph.unimelb.edu.au Tel: +61 3 543-7795, Fax: +61 3 347-4783
- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-