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- From: dave@eram.esi.COM.AU (Dave Horsfall)
- Newsgroups: aus.radio
- Subject: Daily IPS Report - 15 Nov 92
- Message-ID: <1749@eram.esi.COM.AU>
- Date: 16 Nov 92 10:36:11 GMT
- Distribution: aus
- Organization: Pacific ESI, Sydney, AUSTRALIA
- Lines: 79
-
- IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES AUSTRALIA
- Daily Solar And Geophysical Report
- Issued at 2330 UT 14 November 1992
- Summary for 14 November and Forecast up to 17 November
- No IPS warning is current.
- -----------------------------------------------------------
-
- 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
- Activity: very low
-
- Flares: none.
-
- Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 126/078
-
- 1B. SOLAR FORECAST
- 15 November 16 November 17 November
- Activity Low Low to moderate Low to moderate
- Fadeouts Probable Possible Possible
-
- Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 130/082
-
- 1C. SOLAR COMMENT
- X-ray data continues to suggest that the sun-spot region due back
- today may increase the level of flare activity. More information will
- be available when the region becomes visible.
- -----------------------------------------------------------
-
- 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
- Geomagnetic field at Learmonth : mostly quiet, with active levels
- observed 12-15UT.
-
- Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 13 November
- Learmonth 11 2223 4223
- Fredericksburg 15 13
- Planetary 15 13
-
-
- 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
- Geomagnetic field at Learmonth : mostly quiet, with brief periods of
- active levels possible during local night.
- Ap : 10
-
- 2C. MAGNETIC COMMENT
- None.
-
- 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
- Propagation conditions :
- Low Lats: good.
- Mid Lats: good.
- High Lats: fair.
- PCA Event : None.
- 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
- Propagation conditions are expected to be good at low and mid lats,
- and fair at high lats.
- 3C. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION COMMENT
- None.
-
- -----------------------------------------------------------
-
- 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
- MUFs at Sydney were 10-20% enhanced until just prior to local dawn,
- and near normal thereafter.
-
- Observed Sydney Regional Ionospheric Index : 97
-
- 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
- 15 November 16 November 17 November
- MUFs near normal near normal near normal
- T index 70 70 70
-
- Predicted Monthly Ionospheric Index for November is 70.
-
- 4C. AUSTRALIAN REGION COMMENT
- None.
-
- --
- Dave Horsfall (VK2KFU) VK2KFU @ VK2RWI.NSW.AUS.OC
- dave@esi.COM.AU ...munnari!esi.COM.AU!dave
- Disclaimer: "Me, speak for us?"
-