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- Xref: sparky comp.ai:2915 alt.newbie:55 talk.bizarre:23773
- Path: sparky!uunet!europa.asd.contel.com!emory!athena.cs.uga.edu!milliken
- From: milliken@athena.cs.uga.edu (Brewmeister)
- Newsgroups: comp.ai,alt.newbie,talk.bizarre
- Subject: Re: AI In the Year 2025 - Responses
- Message-ID: <1992Jul29.032950.27219@athena.cs.uga.edu>
- Date: 29 Jul 92 03:29:50 GMT
- References: <59282@mimsy.umd.edu> <x#nm4!g.rdc@netcom.com>
- Followup-To: misc.test
- Organization: University of Georgia, Athens
- Lines: 113
-
- In article <x#nm4!g.rdc@netcom.com> rdc@netcom.com (Rajagopalan Dabholkars Chemmanoor) writes:
- >I hope you have a sense of humor...
- >
- >
- >IN COMP.AI hendler@cs.umd.edu (Jim Hendler) writes:
- >)
- >)As promised, I have collected responses to my request for predictions
- >)on AI (and CS) in the year 2025. I deliver a lecture on the subject
- >)tonight, and I profusely thank all of you who contributed. Below are
- >)the ones that I will be using in the lecture. They are about 80% of
- >)those I received, many others that had good ideas, but weren't in the
- >)form of short predictions had to be dropped.
- >)
- >)I look forward to sealing this list in a time capsule and hope I might
- >)be around in 2025 to see which of it has come true...
- >) -Jim Hendler
- >)
- >)Domestic robots able to do routine cleaning, including laundary and
- >)kitchen cleanup. I predict that by 2025 these robots will be the
- >)basis for a multi-billion dollar industry.
- >
- >CARASSO PREDICTIONS:
- >
- >Slave labor from 3rd world countries will do routine cleaning,
- >including laundary and kitchen cleanup. I predict that by 2025 these
- >labors will be the basis for a multi-billion dollar industry.
- >
- >
- >)I predict with high confidence that people will no longer have to
- >)memorize phone numbers by 2025. .. jj
- >
- >CARASSO PREDICTIONS:
- >
- >I predict with high confidence that people will have to remember other
- >stupid social-security-number-like numbers that currently we don't
- >have to worry about.
-
- He speaks in jest (I think) yet he may be right.
-
- >
- >)I forsee being able to purchase a "friend" the way you buy typical
- >)software. This AI-based (Eliza-like) program would be customizable
- >)as to sex, interests, age, etc., and would include a high-resolution
- >)animated image. Communication would be vocal; no keyboard.
- >
- >CARASSO PREDICTIONS:
- >
- >These programs will offer special attachments with vibrating motor and
- >suction attachments.
-
- Safe-sex in the 21st century? If it gets a computer virus, can it transmit
- it to the human? What will you call them? Fuckatrons? Suckatrons? Will
- it be domestic violence if you boot it?
-
-
-
-
- >
- >) In the year 2025, we will be able to model the human brain.
- >
- >CARASSO PREDICTIONS:
- >
- > In the year 2025, we will be able to model the brain of
- > most AI researchers.
-
- Oh, shit. All we need is a whole generation of automated Carassos running
- around.
- >
- >)Natural Language Processing that works-passes the Turing Test, does
- >)not depend solely on keywords or brittle parsers, carries on
- >)conversations, does translations, searches based on content; the
- >)limiting factor will be knowledge representation.
- >
- >CARASSO PREDICTION:
- >
- >Is it because works passes the turing test does not depend solely on
- >keywords or brittle parsers carries on conversations does translations
- >searches based on content the limiting factor will be knowledge
- >representation that you came to me?
- >
- >)Image processing will be so accurate that cancer cells will be detected
- >)one by one, and zapped. Cancer patients will stay alive indefinitely.
- >
- >3rd floor children's toys and lingerie, next floor: Mars.
- >
- >
- >CARASSO:
- >
- >In 2025, people will still be debating whether we will have built
- >something truly intelligent by 2050, and most likely it will come in a
- >real bright and pretty box that says Super Mario Brothers.
-
- I'm beginning to see why so many AI classes are also taught as Philosophy
- classes....
-
- >
- >
- >CARASSO.
- >--
- >_______________________________________________________________
- >Rajagopalan Dabholkars Chemmanoor,
- >Dietary Researcher,
- >Fiber Team, "Be one, be peace, be like the hajiputki"
- >Herbalife Inc. -Maharji Marhiyogi
- >E-mail: rdc@netcom.com
- >_______________________________________________________________
-
-
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