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- From: Bill.Goffe@usm.edu (Bill Goffe)
- Newsgroups: usm.test.unmoderated,sci.econ,sci.answers,news.answers
- Subject: Econ. Resources on the Internet [7 of 20]
- Supersedes: <econ-resources-faq-7-939499420@cook.cba.usm.edu>
- Followup-To: poster
- Date: 10 Nov 1999 23:27:36 -0000
- Organization: American Economic Association
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- Reply-To: Bill.Goffe@usm.edu (Bill Goffe)
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- Summary: This document contains a list of resources of interest
- to economists. It should be of interest to anyone looking
- for economic and related information.
- Xref: senator-bedfellow.mit.edu sci.econ:112412 sci.answers:10836 news.answers:170818
-
- Posted-By: auto-faq 3.3 (Perl 5.005)
- Archive-name: econ-resources-faq/part7
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- Sci-econ-research-archive-name: econ-resources-faq/
- Last-modified 1999/09/30
- Version: vol. 4 no. 2
- Url: http://rfe.org
-
- Resources for Economists on the Internet, Vol. 4, No. 2, September, 1999
-
- Editor: Bill Goffe <Bill.Goffe@usm.edu>
- Editorial Assistant: Elise Braden <elise@econlit.org>
-
- Part 7 of 20
-
- This guide, sponsored by the American Economic Association, lists
- more than 1,000 resources on the Internet of interest to academic and
- practicing economists, and those interested in economics. Almost all
- resources are also described.
-
- Resources for Economists on the Internet (RFE) is a copyrighted work
- of the American Economic Association (the "AEA"). Permission to make
- digital, electronic or hard copies of part or all of RFE for personal
- or classroom use, Usenet distribution, or mailing lists is granted,
- provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or direct
- commercial advantage and that whole copies show the following notice:
-
- "Resources for Economists on the Internet (RFE), Copyright 1999
- American Economic Association"
-
- Otherwise the AEA owns the exclusive right to print, publish,
- distribute, reproduce, sell, prepare derivative works, transmit,
- download, or otherwise transfer copies of RFE. Copyrights of
- components of this work owned by others than the AEA must be honored
- and attributed to the rightful owner. Abstracting and short quotes
- are permitted. To copy otherwise or to republish otherwise, including
- on web pages, in whole or in part requires prior specific permission.
- Permissions may be requested from the American Economic Association,
- 2014 Broadway, Suite 305, Nashville, TN 37203, or via E-mail:
- aeainfo@ctrvax.vanderbilt.edu. RFE is provided without any express
- or implied warranty.
-
- ----------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- For distribution via Usenet, this FAQ is split into 20 parts as large
- files don't travel well on Usenet. For other locations of this guide,
- see the section titled "1.5 Where to Obtain This Guide" in part 2.
-
-
- 4.0 Forecasting & Consulting
-
- 4.1 Conference Board
-
- ["Leading Economic Indicators" and non-govt. data]
-
- This organization "is the world's leading business research and
- membership organization with 2,800 companies and other enterprises in
- 63 counties." For data, of particular note are their "Leading,
- Coincident, and Lagging Indicators," which are composite indexes of
- macro variables that lead the business cycle, coincide with it, or
- lag behind it. The most recent release is available here, as are
- their values from 1959. There is also information on how the series
- are put together.
-
- They also offer the "Business Cycle Indicators" database, which has
- some 250 macro variables "that have proven to be most useful in
- determining current conditions and predicting the future direction of
- the economy." About half the sources are private. Data is updated
- several times a month, and is in both spreadsheet and ASCII formats.
- It costs $250 a year for individuals, and site licenses and
- educational discounts are available.
-
- # http://www.tcb-indicators.org
-
-
- 4.2 First Union's Economic Information
-
- [large bank's economic commentaries]
-
- This bank, headquartered in Charlotte, NC, is the sixth largest bank
- holding company in the U.S. Their economics department offers
- extensive commentary on most features of the regional, U.S., and
- international economy. This includes an analysis of that week's
- economic releases, weekly commentaries of the national and
- international economy, and forecasts for the next few quarters.
-
- # http://firstunion.com/econews/
-
-
- 4.3 Bank of America Economics and Financial Reports
-
- [large bank's economic commentaries]
-
- This department of Bank of America offers "Weekly U.S. Economic
- Briefing" (which focuses on the latest statistical releases with some
- emphasis on the likely impact on the bond market), a monthly survey
- of Wall Street Economists (which offers summaries of their
- publication "Economics Illustrated"), and various reports on topical
- macro issues. They offer similar information on the global economy.
-
- # http://www.bankamerica.com/econ_indicator/econ_indicator.html
-
-
- 4.4 Cents Financial Journal
-
- [commentary from many Wall Street economists]
-
- This electronic journal features commentary from some of the finest
- analysts of the financial industry. Most of the commentary focuses on
- various economic issues, and most is written by economists. The
- breadth is surprising and is updated daily. While many will find it
- useful, it is designed for students.
-
- # http://www.lp-llc.com/cents/
-
-
- 4.5 Congressional Budget Office
-
- [short and long-term forecasts]
-
- This agency's primary mission is to provide economic and budget
- analyses to Congress. Part of this mission is their "Current Economic
- Projections," which offers both short-range (18-24 month) and
- long-range macro forecasts. Note that the latter do not include
- cyclical fluctuations. More information on this office can be found
- in the entry "Congressional Budget Office (CBO)" on them.
-
- # http://www.cbo.gov/
-
-
- 4.6 The Dismal Scientist
-
- [macro and regional data with analysis plus general commentary]
-
- This site, part of "Regional Financial Associates," a consulting
- firm, bills itself as "The Best Free Lunch on the Web." On the macro
- side, they offer not only current releases of many macro series, but
- also analysis of each release, and analyses of the economy in general
- on a monthly basis. They do the same for regional data. They offer
- nearly 130 series on the states, and 60 on 257 metropolitan areas. In
- a nice twist, you can sort states and metropolitan areas by these
- series (surprisingly interesting). They also offer analyses in the
- "Thoughts" section; current sections include the Asian crisis,
- financial markets, industry analysis, regional, and the U.S. economy.
- There are also macro and regional forecasts, and finally, there is a
- useful dictionary and calendar of data releases.
-
- # http://www.dismal.com/
-
-
- 4.7 DRI/McGraw-Hill
-
- [leading firm]
-
- This very well-known consulting and forecasting firm offers a number
- of services on-line. For economic information, they offer a weekly
- summary of the U.S. economy, the international economy, and financial
- markets; they also offer news releases with economic analyses, and an
- economic statistics release calendar. You can also read about their
- consulting services, their numerous and extensive databases, and
- their economic "services" (based upon their U.S., regional, and
- sectoral models). Many of their client services are located on-line.
-
- # http://www.dri.mcgraw-hill.com/
-
-
- 4.8 Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI)
-
- [headed by Geoffrey Moore]
-
- This organization is headed by Geoffrey Moore, who of course has
- devoted his career to business cycle analysis (for instance, he was
- one of the developers of the Leading Economic Indices). Analysis and
- development continues here with new methods and techniques, and
- forecasting continues (notably, his group forecasted the 1990-91
- recession, and the 1998 Japanese downturn, which many missed).
-
- This firm offers two publications to its customers: "U.S. Cyclical
- Outlook" and "International Cyclical Outlook" (which covers 14
- countries, including the G-7). Back issues are freely available here
- for non-customers. They also offer business cycle turning points for
- the U.S. and all other countries covered by ECRI, as well as
- historical data for the ECRI Weekly Leading Index (published in
- "Business Week"). The firm also offers training to governments and
- the development of private indicators.
-
- # http://www.businesscycle.com/
-
-
- 4.9 FAIRMODEL
-
- [well-known domestic and international model]
-
- This well-known macroeconometric model is now available on the
- Internet. Virtually all the features of the stand-alone package are
- now accessible to any user free of charge. This includes the ability
- to "forecast, do policy analysis, and examine historical episodes."
- Data and forecasts can be both graphed and put into tables (which can
- be downloaded). It appears the model itself can be downloaded, and
- thus adapted for your own use. Both Fortran and EViews versions are
- available.
-
- The U.S. version of the model is rather complex (131 equations in
- all; 101 identities and 30 stochastic equations), it is highly
- recommended that users read the manual before using it. Extensive
- documentation (in fact, much material similar to "Testing
- Macroeconometric Models," Ray Fair, Harvard University Press, 1994)
- is available. One can also read about the latest forecasts of the
- model. To use FAIRMODEL, you must have a browser that supports Java
- and frames.
-
- In addition, the multicountry (MC) model is available as well. It
- covers the U.S. and 32 other countries. In all, there are some 4,000
- variables, not counting the trade share variables (which can be
- downloaded). It is thought to be "one of the largest computational
- problems that has so far been offered on the Internet."
-
- # http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu/
-
-
- 4.10 The Financial Forecast Center
-
- [focus on financial data]
-
- This site uses neural networks to generate forecasts of financial and
- economic data. Besides many stock market indices, they also forecast
- various interest rate series (the Prime Rate, Fed Funds Rate, 90 Day
- T-Bills, 10 Year T-Bonds, and 30 Year Mortgage Rates). They also
- offer a CPI forecast. Short-term forecasts are freely available,
- while access to long-term forecasts require a subscription.
-
- # http://www.neatideas.com/economics/
-
-
- 4.11 Foster Associates
-
- [macro, regional, and electrical forecasts (much freely available)]
-
- This 40-year-old economic consulting firm provides information and
- analyses for the the U.S. economy, states, metro areas, and the
- natural gas and electricity industries. These reports are freely
- available. The "Economic Insight/Macro edition" "offers insight into
- current macroeconomic conditions, business cycle developments, and
- long term economic trends and issues. It surveys both real and
- financial sectors of the U.S. economy and provides a quarterly GDP
- forecast with detailed explanations of forecast assumptions and
- risks." This material is updated weekly, monthly, and quarterly. They
- also offer detailed analyses of the current economy. "The State and
- Metro area editions of the Foster Forecast provide economic analysis
- and performance measures for all 50 states and over 350 metro areas
- in the U.S., including relative income and wage levels, employment
- growth and volatility, and employment, income, and location quotients
- by major industry." The state and metro area information is updated
- annually. Detailed analyses, population, income, and employment
- forecasts are available for a fee for all states, counties and metro
- areas. Currently only examples from some areas are available. Other
- areas will be added in the future. (David Carrier kindly looked over
- this entry.)
-
- # http://www.foster-fa.com/
-
-
- 4.12 Forecasting Center of the Jerome Levy Economics Institute
-
- [background on their fee-based services]
-
- The Levy Institute Forecasting Center focuses on current trends and
- future forecasts of the U.S. economy. The site offers information on
- the Forecasting Center and the Levy Institute of Bard College; an
- explanation of the profit perspective; and information on staff,
- internships, and fellowships. Subscriptions to the "Levy Institute
- Forecast" are available for $295 (one year) or $565 (2 years) and
- some special academic rates do apply. Information on subscribing is
- provided. Some recent press releases are available free-of-charge.
-
- # http://www.forecast.levy.org/
-
-
- 4.13 Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC
-
- [well regarded firm]
-
- Macroeconomic Advisers was founded in 1982 as Laurence H. Meyer &
- Associates, Ltd. by Laurence Meyer, Joel Prakken and Chris Varvares.
- Laurence Meyer left the firm in June of 1996 to assume a seat on the
- Federal Reserve's Board of Governors. Macroeconomic Advisers (MA) is
- a privately owned corporation that specializes in macroeconomic
- forecasting and policy analysis. MA built, maintains and supports the
- Washington University Macroeconometric model of the United States
- Economy (WUMM), the first sophisticated macro model available on
- personal computers, and now available in our new WUMMSIM for Windows
- software.
-
- At this site they offer a fairly detailed description of their model
- (including graphs of its response to shocks). They also describe
- their services, list their press releases and coming events, a
- "Reading Room" with their studies and offer a special area to their
- subscribers. This includes a weekly economic commentary, "Fast Facts"
- (analyses of recent events), and material for updating and using
- their model. Finally, there is a discussion area.
-
- # http://www.macroadvisers.com/
-
-
- + 4.14 McKibbin Software Group
- +
- + [advanced algorithms]
- +
- + This organization, with offices in Texas and Australia, "was formed
- + in 1993 with the goal of making available the latest developments in
- + numerical algorithms for research and policy analysis." These include
- + "DYNGAME" for dynamic rational expectation, Fair-Taylor for nonlinear
- + rational expectations, and CELLVISION a "full-featured spreadsheet
- + editing and graphics for GAUSS." The models include MSG2, a dynamic
- + optimizing CGE model, co-authored with Jeff Sachs; G-CUBED for "the
- + current policy debate on environmental policy and international trade
- + with a focus on global warming policies" (but useful for other topics
- + too); and G-Cubed, ASIA PACIFIC which specializes on that region.
- + They can be ordered on-line.
- +
- + The site also contains the many papers that use these tools. Finally,
- + there is information on training and support for these products.
- +
- + # http://www.msgpl.com.au/msgpl/msghome.htm
-
-
- 4.15 Morgan Stanley Global Economic Forum
-
- [daily commentary]
-
- This is a regular service to Morgan Stanley customers. It also offers
- a daily view on economic affairs and events around the world to
- general readers. On each business day, a number of issues are
- discussed. Back issues are available as well in the "Archives."
-
- # http://www.ms.com/GEFaccess/index.html
-
-
- 4.16 Regional Economic Models (REMI)
-
- [extensive regional models]
-
- This organization specializes in regional models. They are said to
- have special expertise in this area. This site details their
- expertise, gives examples of their work, and lists upcoming seminars.
-
- # http://www.remi.com/
-
-
- 4.17 Regional Financial Associates
-
- [full integration of regional model into macro model]
-
- This rapidly growing firm, founded in 1990, analyzes both the U.S.
- macroeconomy and regional economies. Like others, they use large
- macroeconometric models, but theirs is said to be unique as it fully
- integrates local and regional data into the model (causation runs
- both from and to the regional sector). The implications for regional
- analysis are obvious. They offer a number of services to their
- clients, including analysis at the regional and national levels, and
- forecasts. All this can be delivered over the net. Some information
- is available to non-subscribers.
-
- # http://www.rfa.com/
-
-
- 4.18 Dr. Ed Yardeni's Economics Network
-
- [macro and international charts and analysis]
-
- Ed Yardeni is chief economist of Deutsche Morgan Grenfell (North
- America). His site offers a wealth of analysis and data (much of the
- later in a very convenient form). It includes "Weekly Economic
- Analyses" ("explore the latest economic and financial controversies")
- and "Weekly Economic Briefings" ("focus on a key issue each week").
- The most recent versions are restricted to customers of his firm. He
- also offers "Topical Studies," which cover most any economic topic.
- Other material of interest includes macro forecasts of Deutsch Morgan
- Grenfell, stock market valuation information, many "Chart Rooms" with
- data from markets, the U.S., and the global economy (they are
- remarkably insightful and well chosen). Other areas of interest
- include "Slide Shows" (of financial and economic charts), a section
- on monetary and fiscal policy, and demography and marketing. In the
- "Center for CyberEconomics," the interplay between economics and
- computing is examined. The current focus is the Year 2000 computer
- problem, which Yardeni thinks has a better than even chance of
- causing a recession in 2000. Finally, there is a area of links to
- useful Internet tools and sites. Almost all the data and analysis is
- in PDF format.
-
- # http://www.yardeni.com/
-
-
- 4.19 WEFA Group
-
- [leading forecasting and consulting firm]
-
- This company has a staff of more than 200 economists,
- econometricians, researchers, database specialists and support staff
- who maintain databases, prepare forecasts for more than 90 countries
- and conduct specialized client studies. They offer four general types
- of services: (i) forecasts with a focus from an industry to the
- globe, (ii) data -- more than two million time series are available
- to their customers, (iii) software for managing these time series in
- many different ways, and (iv) consulting for clients. As one would
- expect, they have a considerable effort devoted to the U.S. economy,
- and one can sample their work here.
-
- Their site offers a great variety of information on themselves and
- their products. This includes details on their U.S. macro products,
- their services for various industries, Latin America, foreign
- exchange, decision support and data software, and corporate
- information on themselves. In short, they offer a wealth of services
- for anyone interested in economic issues and decision support
- services.
-
- WEFA is an outgrowth of Wharton Econometric Forecasting Associates,
- which was founded in 1963 by Lawrence R. Klein. It merged with Chase
- Econometrics in 1987, and in 1994 it was acquired by Bain Capital,
- and in 1997 by Primark, a global economic and financial information
- company. (Pat Rocco kindly contributed to this summary.)
-
- # http://www.wefa.com/
-
-
- + 4.20 Wells Fargo Economic Reports
- +
- + [financial market and foreign exchange focus]
- +
- + This bank's economic department offers two wide-ranging reports:
- + "Financial Market Strategies" and "Foreign Exchange Report." The
- + former examines factors that might influence the bond, currency, and
- + equities markets; it is surprisingly wide-ranging. The latter clearly
- + has an international focus.
- +
- + # http://wellsfargo.com/econ/
-
-
- 4.21 DIA Agency Inc.
-
- [general equilibrium models]
-
- This firms specializes in general equilibrium models. They offer two
- versions of a U.S. GEModel that can be downloaded from their site
- (further, the model is not U.S. specific). They also offer a number
- of support and educational materials, a list of fees, and information
- about their consulting services.
-
- # http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/DiaAgency/diaagenc.htm
-
-
- 4.22 Bank of Hawaii Economic Research Center
-
- [Pacific conditions]
-
- This site offers a number of analyses and reports of both Hawaii and
- a number of other Pacific islands. There is substantial data as well,
- and you can even tailor data requests.
-
- # http://www.boh.com/econ/
-
-
- 4.23 The Brattle Group
-
- [world-wide consulting]
-
- This consulting group provides services to world-wide corporations
- and law firms. The firm specializes in the areas of environmental
- compliance and liabilities, financial and regulatory economics,
- litigation, and utility companies. This site provides information on
- these areas of expertise and practice; staff members; job
- opportunities; and publications, including newsletters that can be
- downloaded.
-
- # http://www.brattle.com
-
-
- 4.24 Charles River Associates Auction Consulting
-
- [assistance with auctions]
-
- Charles River Associates (CRA), a consulting firm, has partnered with
- Market Design Inc. (MDI), and they specialize in providing auction
- design and implementation to government and business clients
- participating in auctions in telecommunications, electricity, mineral
- rights, and other industries. The company also offers bidder support
- and strategies, auction software, and training for both auctioneers
- and bidders. This site provides information on the CRA auction team,
- projects of the firm, and selected auction publications.
-
- # http://www.crai.com/auction.htm
-
-
- 4.25 Green Interest Rate Swap Management
-
- [help with interest rate swaps]
-
- This company advises on interest rate swaps. To quote, "We do an
- in-depth analysis of your debt portfolio and advise as to alternative
- transactions. We also facilitate closings and administer
- documentation." Thus, while quite specialized, they do offer a very
- useful service.
-
- # http://home.earthlink.net/~green/
-
-
- 4.26 Market Design Inc. (MDI)
-
- [assistance with auctions]
-
- "Market Design Inc. offers consulting services in the design of
- auction markets. Our principals are academic experts in economic
- theory and game theory, and have advised governments and firms
- worldwide on setting up electronic markets for telecommunications,
- electricity, mineral rights, and 'stranded assets.'" This site lists
- members of the firm, and provides downloadable technical papers and
- reports. MDI is also involved in designing auction rules tailored to
- particular auction sales. Along with Charles River Associates, they
- create software which enables clients to implement their designs.
- Some projects include spectrum auctions in Australia, Mexico, Canada,
- and for the FCC; California Power Exchange; Standard Offer Service
- Auction Design and Implementation; Universal Service Auctions; and
- designs for New Zealand. They are also involved in giving strategic
- advice to bidders in spectrum auctions; and in spectrum license
- valuations. However, they do not advise bidders and sellers in the
- same auction.
-
- # http://www.market-design.com/
-
-
- 4.27 Regional Economic Research, Inc. (RER)
-
- [energy consulting]
-
- This research and consulting firm provides services to utility
- companies and corporate clients and government agencies interested in
- energy. The forecasting section of this site focuses on energy and
- business forecasting, while the market information area provides
- market research and energy studies, as well as several energy
- analysis software packages. Customized software and business
- solutions are also available. Utility restructuring services,
- workshop sessions, and user group information is available on this
- site. Finally, eight software packages for the energy industry are
- highlighted.
-
- # http://www.rer.com
-
-
- 4.28 STA Research
-
- [futures and options analysis]
-
- This company, as part of its futures and options trading for clients,
- makes available a variety of current data and short term forecasts
- (when available) for many economic and agricultural variables. It is
- organized by economic and agricultural data that will be released in
- the U.S. and other countries in both the coming week and month. One
- portion, the "Weekly Economic Report Outlook," is available via a
- mailing list. It is described in the mailing list section.
-
- # http://stafutures.com/
- # Information: <staresearch@syncentral.com>
-
-
- 4.29 Damage Valuation Associates
-
- This firm "brings you the latest information on valuation of
- environmental damages from the courts, from government agencies, from
- the academic literature, and from unpublished studies." Besides
- on-line information, they have an electronic newsletter that
- publishes this information. Their consulting business "specializes in
- evaluating the economic and financial impacts of environmental
- hazards and real estate development projects."
-
- # http://www.damagevaluation.com/
-
-
- 4.30 Econ One
-
- This site explains this firm's litigation goals, their expertise in
- regulation, and their consulting arrangements with both corporate and
- government clients. Speeches, papers, and articles can be ordered
- on-line. Information on clients, staff, job opportunities, and news
- about the firm is available on this site.
-
- # http://www.econone.com
-
-
- 4.31 Economists Incorporated
-
- This firm, based in both Washington and London, "has participated in
- path breaking and high profile antitrust, commercial litigation, and
- regulatory matters." They have a staff of more than 30 economists who
- have extensive experience in almost all areas of commerce. They also
- employ nearly 20 research associates.
-
- # http://www.ei.com/
-
-
- 4.32 Fishkind & Associates
-
- This firm, based in Orlando, Florida, provides litigation support and
- a model of the Florida economy.
-
- # http://www.fishkind.com/
-
-
- + 4.33 Micronomics, Inc.
- +
- + This consulting firm, based in both Los Angeles and Washington, D. C.
- + , claims expertise in intellectual property valuation, mergers and
- + acquisitions, antitrust law, health care, database management, and
- + market research. The firm is "a leading provider of litigation
- + support services, economic analysis and expert testimony" to many of
- + the country's top law firms. They also specialize in intellectual
- + property, forecasting, financial analysis, and risk management and
- + are available to provide this knowledge to the business consulting
- + community. Publications and employment opportunities can be found at
- + this site.
- +
- + # http://www.micronomics.com
-
-
- 4.34 Spectrumeconomics
-
- This firm "specializes in litigation support and economic analysis of
- business enterprises." Here you can read about their work, personnel,
- papers, sample reports, and speeches.
-
- # http://www.spectrumeconomics.com/
-
-
- 4.35 Triangle Economics Research
-
- This consulting firm specializes in environmental economics. They
- have a particular focus on damage assessment and health valuation.
- You can read about their staff and organization, their work, and read
- their working papers.
-
- # http://www.ter.com/
-
-
- 4.36 Alphametrics
-
- [financial trading and economics consulting]
-
- This firm specializes in consulting for firms that have needs in
- financial trading and economics (such as risk management with their
- FXAT system). Economic consulting includes "the development of
- policy, compilation of large-scale reports, quantitative analysis,
- data processing, modeling, packaged econometrics software (MODLER),
- and the development of bespoke economic information systems." They
- have offices around the world, and do a considerable amount of
- business in Europe.
-
- # http://www.Alphametrics.co.uk
-
-
- 4.37 Atlantica Associates
-
- [specializes in currency risk]
-
- This economic and financial organization provides personal and
- customized research support for its worldwide clients. Their
- expertise on currency risk is used in different ways, subject to
- clients' different internal business objectives. This site provides
- information on currency risk for twenty different countries, current
- research topics, and publications.
-
- # http://www.aainternational.org
-
-
- 4.38 BCS Consulting Enterprise
-
- [Canadian firm with many areas]
-
- This Canadian firm has a number of areas of expertise. They include
- "defence economics, economic and business forecasting, economic
- modeling and quantitative analysis (Including national and community
- level Input-Output models), program evaluation and management,
- peacekeeping and U.N. issues, regional and sectoral economics and
- socio-economic data analysis and management." They also assist small
- and home offices with information technology, including Intranet and
- Internet work. You can read about their various products here (such
- as impact analysis at national and local levels, and decision
- management algorithms) as well as read a list of their papers.
-
- # http://www.infomatch.com/~bsolomon/bcs1/bcs.htm
-
-
- 4.39 Cambridge International Forecasts
-
- [free and fee-based country studies]
-
- This organization of academics, statisticians and country experts
- prepares country studies that are updated monthly. One can purchase a
- all studies, a single study, or even part of one study (each is
- broken into 17 sections. In addition, there is a substantial amount
- of sample information.
-
- # http://www.camforecast.com/
-
-
- 4.40 Centre for International Economics (CIE)
-
- [Australian firm]
-
- This private company, with offices in Canberra and Sydney, Australia,
- offers a wide variety of services to it customers, who are around the
- world. Their services range from trade policy analysis to economic
- model building to conferences to analysis of commodities and markets.
- Besides information on itself, they also have their publication
- on-line.
-
- # http://www.intecon.com.au
-
-
- 4.41 Conference Board of Canada
-
- [largest non-profit research group in Canada]
-
- This organization is said to be the largest non-profit economic
- research group in Canada. They offer many services: the "Consumer
- Confidence Index," the "Business Attitudes Index," and forecasts
- (including construction and housing and the provinces). They also
- offer various reports on the Canadian economy and both U.S. and
- Canadian data (the latter is CANSISIM). Some of the material is
- available to all, while material is available only to subscribers.
-
- # http://www2.conferenceboard.ca/weblinx/
-
-
- + 4.42 Infometrics
- +
- + [New Zealand focus]
- +
- + This privately-owned, commercial-oriented, and business-focused New
- + Zealand consulting firm provides economic forecasts of both New
- + Zealand and overseas economies affecting New Zealand. They use a
- + variety of economic models. The company also presents up-to-date,
- + multi-media presentations for clients at conferences and seminars, as
- + well as customized publications and regular data updating services.
- + The online index includes the following areas: overseas economies,
- + New Zealand macro topics, business issues, New Zealand industries,
- + New Zealand regions, financial markets, consulting, on-line seminars,
- + weekly overview, economic terminology, customized data, portfolio
- + investments, and publications. An on-line subscription can cost
- + anywhere from $NZ 1,000 for individual areas to $NZ 15,000 for full
- + access to all of the website. The "Free Lunch" area has relevant
- + articles, debates, media releases, market rates, and column archives.
- +
- + # http://www.infometrics.co.nz/
-
-
- 4.43 London Economics
-
- [large U.K. firm]
-
- This firm, "the largest and most successful independent economics
- consultancy in the UK," details itself here. They have a full-time
- staff of 70, and more than 40% of their business is from outside the
- U.K. (they also have offices in Melbourne and Boston). An area of
- special skills is "industries where regulatory or fiscal structure
- have a strong impact on performance." However, they are also quite
- wide-ranging: their services range includes litigation support,
- strategy, energy, water, and infrastructure. Finally, they publish an
- on-line newsletter, "Economics in Action"
-
- # http://www.londecon.co.uk/
-
-
- 4.44 Lombard Street Research Ltd.
-
- [said to forecast well]
-
- This U.K. firm is said to have an excellent forecasting track record.
- It was founded in 1989 by Tim Congdon, who has long experience in
- forecasting the U.K. and other economies. Prof. Congdon heads up the
- U.K. service, while Brian Reading leads the international sector. A
- variety of service levels are available; this includes slightly dated
- material that is freely available (though one must register). Their
- customers include a number of firms in the City and beyond.
-
- # http://www.lombard-st.co.uk
-
-
- + 4.45 McKibbin Software Group
- +
- + [advanced algorithms]
- +
- + This organization, with offices in Texas and Australia, "was formed
- + in 1993 with the goal of making available the latest developments in
- + numerical algorithms for research and policy analysis." These include
- + "DYNGAME" for dynamic rational expectation, Fair-Taylor for nonlinear
- + rational expectations, and CELLVISION a "full-featured spreadsheet
- + editing and graphics for GAUSS." The models include MSG2, a dynamic
- + optimizing CGE model, co-authored with Jeff Sachs; G-CUBED for "the
- + current policy debate on environmental policy and international trade
- + with a focus on global warming policies" (but useful for other topics
- + too); and G-Cubed, ASIA PACIFIC which specializes on that region.
- + They can be ordered on-line.
- +
- + The site also contains the many papers that use these tools. Finally,
- + there is information on training and support for these products.
- +
- + # http://www.msgpl.com.au/msgpl/msghome.htm
-
-
- 4.46 Olsen & Associates
-
- [financial market research and consulting]
-
- "(O&A) is a world leader in high-quality economic research in the
- field of financial markets. In particular, O&A specializes in the
- forecasting and historical analysis of foreign exchange rates, but
- soon also interest rates and market indices. We also provide trading
- models which give explicit recommendations for a number of currencies
- and specific trading profiles. O&A's innovation and research has led
- to cutting-edge forecasting and trading model technology and risk
- management products.
-
- "Over the past eight years with over 120 man-years of effort, O&A has
- developed and operated a real-time foreign exchange decision support
- system covering 84 currencies, 24 hours a day, 365 days a year. This
- is the O&A Information System (OIS). The fully supported system
- offers price and volatility forecasts, historical analysis, and
- specific trading recommendations with user-friendly graphical
- interfaces."
-
- Some of their forecasts and analyses are available without paying a
- fee (though you must register). In addition, you can find just about
- any foreign exchange rate for a given day since January 1, 1990
- (including, it seems, rates on the previous day). Obviously, this
- feature is very useful.
-
- But, perhaps of greater interest to researchers is the high frequency
- exchange rate data they sell for a quite reasonable fee. The dataset,
- called HFDF93, was originally made available for their "High
- Frequency Data in Finance" conference, held March, 1995.
- Specifically, it has data from "1. Exchange rate quotes for USD-DEM,
- USD-JPY and DEM-JPY; 2. Three month maturity interbank deposit rate
- quotes for USD, JPY and DEM; and 3. Money Market Headline News
- (text)." The data spans the year from Oct. 1, 1992 to Sept. 30, 1993,
- is 112 megabytes in size, and they charge $200 for this dataset
- (which allows them to cover some of their costs). Data is available
- on tapes (DAT or 8mm Exabyte) or via ftp. They can be contacted at
- the address given below. When requesting the data, one should include
- a short abstract of the proposed work.
-
- In addition, they have other data, and internal and published papers,
- that are publicly available.
-
- # http://www.olsen.ch/
- # Information: <info@olsen.ch>
-
-
- 4.47 Oxford Economic Consulting
-
- [U.K. forecasting and consulting]
-
- This firm was formed "in 1981 by a group of academics and
- professional forecasters." It has partners in the U.S., China, and
- Europe. Its reach is large; its products include "PC-based models,
- regular reports, conferences, specialist reports and analysis of the
- international economy, and consultancy." As one would expect, they
- also prepare forecasts and large econometric models (demonstration
- software for their World model is available here). Currently, they
- offer their "World Economic Prospects Monthly Review" and the "Oxford
- Weekly UK Indicator" on-line.
-
- # http://www.oef.co.uk
-
-
- 4.48 Boye-Lord International
-
- This small firm carries "out research in international economic
- development, with strong links to trade and investment, private
- sector development, macroeconomics, agriculture, industry,
- econometrics and other quantitative methods in Latin America,
- Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Central Asia, and Eastern Europe."
- Information on their services and projects can be found here.
-
- # http://www.boyelord.com/
-
-
- 4.49 Economic Consulting Services Inc. (ECS)
-
- This firm deals with consulting on international trade issues. Their
- specific areas of expertise are (i) "International transfer pricing
- for tangible and intangible property," (ii) "Antidumping,
- countervailing duty, and other trade remedy actions," (iii) Trade
- representation and information services, customs rules and
- regulations, and international trade policy," and (iv) "Foreign and
- domestic market research and analysis."
-
- # http://www.economic-consulting.com/
-
-
- 4.50 Klonic Morocco Consultants
-
- This consulting firm, based in Morocco, covers the gamut of economic
- and business consulting. They have a considerable amount of
- experience with a number of different firms and agencies from around
- the world.
-
- # http://www.acdim.co.ma/klonic/
-
-
-