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- ---------------------------------------------------------
- January 1989 "BASIS", newsletter of the Bay Area Skeptics
- ---------------------------------------------------------
- Bay Area Skeptics Information Sheet
- Vol. 8, No. 1
- Editor: Kent Harker
-
-
-
- I CAN SEE CLEARLY NOW
- by Don Henvick
-
- [Our resident psychic mole, Don Henvick, can't keep his hands out
- of the cookie jar for very long. He's at it again, this time at
- SRI. While many skeptics try to carefully work themselves into a
- situation to witness what goes on inside, Don brazenly barges in
- unannounced, unregistered and unwanted! Don doesn't like the
- armchair theorizing of which most of us less ambitious sorts are
- guilty -- he will be in the thick of things or he has nothing to
- say.
-
- Don is becoming something of a minor celebrity around the circuit
- for his imaginative exploits. It's always a pleasure to learn about
- his latest feather rufflings.]
-
- D'ya remember SRI? You know, the research outfit that got involved
- with Uri Geller and parapsychology "experiments" back in the
- seventies? Remember Targ and Puthoff and how they tried to put the
- stamp of scientific legitimacy on metal bending, remote viewing and
- "you-name-it-we'll-believe-it"? Remember how silly they all looked
- once critics got a good look at how they actually did their work?
- Well, settle back in your chair with a big bowl of popcorn. It's
- time to watch "SRI-II: The Nightmare Continues."
-
- In June I hear about screening going on at SRI for participants in
- remote viewing experiments. It's only open to SRI employees but
- through the good offices of some skeptical employees there, I get
- inside to see what is going on. What is going on is that a hundred
- or so SRI people have gathered in an auditorium to listen to Edwin
- May describe SRI's involvement in "psychoenergetics," or ESP to us
- common folk. He tells us the program started in '72, reached its
- public height with Targ and Puthoff in '76 and then continued in
- a more quiet vein since then.
-
- Translation: since the Targ-Puthoff work was shown to be so shoddy
- once it appeared in print, the new team has taken the precaution
- of not publishing. Mr. May explains that the folks at SRI have done
- some THREE THOUSAND trials of remote viewing since then and have
- found significant results in about ten percent of them. We are
- assured that previous, unnamed shortcomings in the testing
- procedures have been overcome and that the tests are now scored in
- an objective, statistical manner.
-
- Well, it doesn't sound too flaky so far, and it looks as if the
- uncredited criticisms of men like Ray Hyman and James Randi may
- have had an effect of making this kind of research more reliable.
- May gives an example of a still picture used as a target in one
- test and the response the subject drew, and explains the basis for
- scoring it a partial hit. Seems a bit subjective to me, but I'm
- willing to give them the benefit of doubt as long as they don't
- claim their results prove remote perception.
-
- Enough of the explanations, now is the time to get down to the
- reason everybody's here: SRI is looking for a few good men and
- women who might have The Power, and we're to be tested to see if
- any of us is a promising candidate for future study. Since I don't
- work at SRI, I won't be able to get further than this test, but I'm
- looking forward to see how my guesses stack up against those of the
- rest of the participants. We're given triplicate answer forms (we
- are told we can keep one copy to ourselves for posterity) for four
- different tests.
-
- The procedure looks fairly legit. A member of the staff will leave
- the auditorium to go to a second-floor lab in the building, and,
- at a given time, will turn on a laser disc player which will
- randomly select a scene and run it on a monitor in that roomfor
- thirty seconds. Then we're to try to "remote view" the remote
- monitorand write whatever words or draw whatever pictures come to
- us. Finally, all the responses will be collected and sealed in an
- envelope, and only then will the staff on the 2nd floor play the
- video disc target for us on TV monitors in the auditorium so we can
- see how we did. Feedback, we are told, is a good learning tool.
-
- At the appointed time we start concentrating -- or rather not
- concentrating, since we've been told that weshouldn't think about
- what the target might be, but we should be receptive to whatever
- pops into our heads. I make my mind a blank (gee, that was easy!)
- but nothing pops in. I don't try even harder than I was not trying
- before and now I think my blank mind is becoming a blankey-blank
- mind, 'cause whatever they're looking for, I ain't got. In
- desperation I draw some lines and blocks and write things like
- "wispy" and "angularity" down so maybe I'll hit SOMETHING in the
- picture and not be a complete doofus.
-
- The answers are collected and the target finally showsup on the
- monitors and I am shocked, folks. All this time May has been
- talking about THE target and THE image to be transmitted and I
- think we were all thinking of a single picture to concentrate on.
- I mean, how else could you score a test unless you kept the target
- relatively simple so one could get some idea of what response was
- close and what was not. Well, kiddies, it turns out this particular
- target is not one picture, but at least SIX: a thirty-second video
- montage centered around the theme of the Allied code-breaking
- efforts in WW II! You got a picture of the words "Project Ultra,"
- you got a picture of a Nazi, you got a picture of a code machine,
- you got a picture of women working at an early computer, you even
- got a picture of the wreckage of Coventry Cathedral, which was not
- defended from Nazi bombing so as to protect the secret of our
- having broken the Nazi codes.
-
- This, then, is THE target for the first test. Mr. May tries to calm
- the general disconcertedness of the crowd by explaining that the
- subjects in the previous tests generally did better with multiple
- or free-form targets than with simple pictures! Well I guess so!
- To paraphrase Chairman Mao, "Let a thousand targets bloom." How
- they could begin to score responses to so many images is quite
- beyond me. In fact, I'm amazed that my own pitiful response has so
- FEW hits. I can only conclude that my effort is a wonderful example
- of "psi-missing." At least now I know what they mean by the
- usefulness of feedback.
-
- Armed with a better knowledge of what a target is likely to be, I'm
- ready to play the next round. Before we start, however, a picture
- of a room briefly flashes on the screen. Apparently the
- experimental controls aren't foolproof. Second test is coming up.
- I skip trying to receive impressions, and, betting that the random
- images may not be as random as advertised, I try to think of a
- PLAUSIBLE response. I draw a pair of converging lines, some
- scattered shapes and a face. I write "fast air" and "strange
- language." I cross my fingers. The papers are collected and up on
- the monitors comes film of the Tacoma Narrows Bridge collapsing due
- to high winds in 1940, accompanied by a sound track of a Calypso
- song! Don't ask why. I check my notes. The lines could be a
- perspective view of the bridge cables; the fast air and strange
- language fit. The face isn't there, but I'm getting better. This
- is fun.
-
- Ready for number three? Number two was outdoors so this time I
- think I'll go urban. I draw a kind of grid and below it sort of a
- street-like thing with branches. I write "massive, imposing" and
- "looking from above?" and "many people far away; different faces,"
- because this is stuff we haven't had yet and I say we're due. And
- the target is . . . I'll be damned, it's the same picture which
- flashed momentarily after test number one! So this is their idea
- of random targets? Mr. May acknowledges the goof and says maybe
- we'll have to discard this one because the protocols were broken,
- but what the heck, we can look at it anyway.
-
- Turns out this thirty seconds is a clip from the movie "War Games"
- and the scene we just got a glimpse of is the big war room with the
- giant map on the wall with lines of missile tracks, kind of
- "massive, imposing" I calls it, and the Air Force personnel "many
- people far away" walking in front of it. This IS fun. May says if
- anybody got something grid-like, that would be a pretty good hit.
- He's a nice man. I like him.
-
- I'm really getting into this stuff, but we have only one target to
- go. Let's see, if these were really random, it wouldn't matter what
- the previous target was, BUT, since the last one was indoors and
- technological, I'm gonna go with outdoors and bucolic and see if
- it pans out. I sketch a scene with a river going through trees and
- past a rocky hill and to cover my bets I put in a fence and write
- "barren and hot." At the top of the whole mess I write "outdoors,
- fresh air, light." The final target on the monitor is a clip from
- another movie featuring a closeup of an eagle in flight. No prize
- for that one, but the camera pans over what the eagle is
- overflying: a jungle with plenty of trees and a stream culminating
- in a waterfall and closeup of rocks. Yippee, I'm psychic!
-
- I've come closer than the other people I've talked to, but as a
- non-employee this is the end of the line for me. I would love to
- know how I scored, how other people scored and how in the world
- they scored any of it anyway. However, every time I call to inquire
- about the status of the remote viewing experiments, I get the big
- run aroundski. I suppose I could assume that it all went well, that
- there are no more glitches in the equipment, that targets are more
- precise, and that they really do have a statistically valid method
- of scoring responses. I could accept on faith that the reason they
- haven't published their findings after twelve years and three
- thousand trials is because they don't like to brag. And I can
- certainly accept that if they continue to get funding, it might be
- another twelve years before they publish. I can take it all on
- faith.
-
-
-
- SAM INVITES BAS
-
- The Society of American Magicians local affiliate in Concord, CA.
- invited BAS to their monthly meeting. Several of us went to see how
- magicians are with magicians.
-
- The Concord group is doubly interesting because BAS co-founder Bob
- Steiner, now international President, attends this local, and the
- President-elect of the Concord affiliate is none other than
- parapschologist Loyd Auerbach. Two more widely-divergent opinions
- could hardly be held by two different people -- proof that
- personalities can transcend ideology. In a warm display of mutual
- respect, President Auerbach presented President Steiner with a 1.5'
- x 3' photographic portrait of the latter in a hilarous pose, to the
- delight of all.
-
- The proceedings were fascinating: several people unconsciously
- manipulating a deck of cards; one fellow doing what appeared to be
- knitting stitches in the air with no thread; and others producing
- various objects from what seemed empty hands.
-
- We wondered how magicians would perform for magicians. Steiner's
- and Auerbach's were amongthe scheduled acts. Several of the
- lessexperienced had a few moments to present some effect they had
- worked up. The "oohs!" and "aahs!" seemed to be a little forced,
- and the applause was politely enthusiastic. How does one wow a
- fellow prestidigitator?
-
-
-
- WRITERS!
-
- Please send materials for consideration in "BASIS" directly to the
- Editor, address in the "CALENDAR"; the high mail volumn at our S.F.
- address can delay your requests. Electronic transfer is available
- at the BAS bulletin board or direct to the Editor at (408)
- 946-5531.
-
-
-
- SOVIET SILLINESS
-
- With all the hue and cry raised in the revelations that the
- President of the United States consults his horoscope before
- arranging his calendar, some have wondered what his counterpart in
- the Soviet Union does.
-
- In a special report in the "New York Times", Bill Keller did a
- little research into the extent of mystical behavior in the country
- that prides itself as the land of scientific materialism. The
- results are worse than we could ever have imagined. Keller reports,
- "In the United States, land of all faiths, people laugh at Nancy
- Reagan for consulting an astrologer, "while in Russia such things
- are almost a given.
-
- A case in point is Madame Dzhuna Davitashvili, a psychic healer and
- reigning queen of the Soviet occult, who operates a one-room clinic
- "just a step from Moscow's most popular pedestrian mall." People
- flock from all over for her healing touch -- which she calls the
- "Effect - D" for Dzhuna, naturally. She is accepted so widely that
- when Brezhnev was failing beyond conventional medicine, Dzhuna was
- called in. When questioned about the case, she says the Hippocratic
- oath precludes her discussing the details of her work.
-
- The main difference between Mme D.D. and her American peers is that
- she has a state business license, "an honored spot on the Soviet
- Peace Committee, and a coterie of friends that includes scientists,
- artists, journalists and intellectuals." The sad reality is that
- horoscopes, psychic medicine and every brand of mysticism pervades
- every level of soviet society apparently with the open blessing of
- the state, according to Keller.
-
- "It is our secret silliness," said the wife of a government
- official. "Leave Nancy Reagan alone," she chided. She admitted that
- as soon as Mikhail Gorbachev became Soviet leader he immediately
- looked up his horoscope. He is a Pisces.
-
- Horoscope swapping in Red Square is a most popular pastime. When
- a world-renowned Soviet physicist received permission to emigrate,
- the first thing he requested on American soil was where he could
- get his horoscope cast. This despite the fact that Soviet
- Encyclopedia lists astrology as a "false science." Parapsychology
- is accorded serious discussion in the Soviet Academy of Sciences.
-
- Maybe we'd better see how the charts look for a Bush-Gorbachev
- compatibility.
-
-
-
- ACUTE PUNCTURE
- by Kent Harker
-
- BAS advisor Dr. Wallace Sampson, M.D. addressed our November
- meeting on the topic of acupuncture. This article is a summary of
- Dr. Sampson's presentation.
-
- Dr. Sampson began by noting that there is very little data on AP
- effectiveness available in refereed journals -- no extensive
- studies have been done in the scientific community. This is either
- a surprise, given the length of time AP has been around, or it is
- testament to the indifference MDs feel toward it. The amount of
- hard data even in AP journals is very sparse. (As a point of
- interest, Dr. Sampson told us that the formal Clinical Trial method
- was only developed in the early 1940s.) Stringent testing is very
- costly in money and time -- millions of dollars and several years
- for a rigorous study. Why should practitioners bother? AP "works."
- Recipients attest to the worth of it. In effect, the craft has
- nothing to gain from any sort of testing, and potentially much to
- lose, so the motive for research is next to nil.
-
- The difficulty of testing is compounded by the inability to blind
- the therapist (a double-blind procedure). But the patient can be,
- and so can the evaluator (this is called a triple-blind study). In
- all, Sampson found only thirty-five studies that had been done on
- AP, and in them he found the procedures laced with protocol errors,
- the most glaring of which was patient selection.
-
- Understandably, those seeking AP help are predisposed to believe
- in its curative effects -- they are often refugees of primary
- medicine. Thus, there could not be a valid randomizing of the data
- base, and randomization is essential to ensure accurate statistical
- analysis. The other major flaw was that control groups were sparse
- to non-existent. When control groups WERE used, they were so
- disparate it is scientifically impossible to comparethe results of
- one trial with those of another. The tests were done to measure the
- response to pain. What is pain? Is pain a medical condition? The
- difficulty and subjectivity of what we term pain throws another
- cloud over whatever results one might hope to glean from the data.
-
- Dr. Sampson graded the papers on the strictness of controls, and
- found that the more careful they were the less significant the
- results. To the best of his knowledge, no general study has been
- done to compare the studies as he did.
-
- Acupuncturists tell us "it works." Sampson advised us that when
- offered a claim that some procedure works, we need only respond,
- "Where are the data?" If one cannot produce hard data to support
- the validity of the claim, we need go no further.
-
- In the U.S., AP burst on the scene around 1973, coinciding with
- Nixon's journey to the People's Republic. The reportage brought
- home some incredible pictures and the story of one of his aides,
- stricken with an acute appendicitis attack during the trip. They
- could not get him to an outside facility soon enough, so he
- underwent surgery there. Pictures showed him fully awake,
- ostensibly suffering no pain, thanks to AP, while the gore in full
- color lay before us on the photo plates. AP had arrived.
-
- The truth was that, besides the AP technique, surgeons had
- administered heavy doses of topical morphine. Dr. Sampson pointed
- out that abdominal surgery is effectively impossible without heavy
- anesthesia: the quantity of nerves in and around the abdomen is so
- great that severe pain is almost impossible to overcome, and, just
- as important, the involuntary nervous reactions of the patient
- tighten the muscles to such an extent that the surgeon cannot work
- effectively. Thus, if for no other reason, anesthesia is necessary
- for the surgeon to have a relaxed patient.
-
- Surgeons have used AP in some thyroid operations with success, but
- that is because the area of the thyroid has few sensory nerves, and
- the thyroid itself has none. Pain receptors are only in the skin,
- so once that is breached there is not much interference. As far as
- its anesthetizing capabilities are concerned, AP acts as an
- interference -- a kind of distraction, and distraction is effective
- only for mild pain. Local agents such as cocaine and morphine are
- administered in addition to AP in cases of acute pain, but rarely
- mentioned in write-ups. The road to legal recognition of AP is
- interesting and important. Dr. Sampson noted that after the rapid
- spread of public awareness, it took only a short time for
- licensing, diplomas, etc. A "degree" of OMD (Doctor of Oriental
- Medicine) may be earned in a few weeks, and the certified
- acupuncturist may treat any condition except cancer. Acupuncturists
- may advertise any way except to offer a cure. Since the practice
- has been around for so long, and there are so many people using it,
- the California legislature felt it had to do something to control
- the practice and proliferation of AP. The AMA officially denounced
- AP adding that there is no scientific basis for its practice, but
- did not vigorously oppose the institution of regulatory laws and
- concomitant recognition acupuncturists would thereby enjoy.
-
- The reasons for the AMA's uncharacteristic tameness are
- significant. AP is mostly a cultural practice, and to oppose it
- could easily be construed as racially motivated. The AMA recognized
- that the practice is so widespread that it would continue in spite
- of sanctions -- it would be better to legalize it and thereby be
- able to control it. The negative trade off would be that regulation
- would accord a certain legitimacy that could lead some to seek help
- from AP, foregoing primary health care.
-
- After weighing all this, the AMA ultimately decided to keep a low
- profile for one reason: AP is largely benign. With the exception
- of the real threat when a patient skips legitimate medicine, the
- acupuncturist is likely to do little harm to his patients outside
- of the obvious problems of unsterile needles and puncturing vital
- organs, dangers that would be greater without controls. Legislation
- ensued and with it, recognition; there began a veritable explosion
- of AP clinics.
-
- Dr. Sampson wanted to understand the foundations of the ancient
- practice of AP. He found that it harks back to the Chinese yin-yang
- -- a kind of "give-and-take" dichotomy closely paralleling Greek
- thought. At the core is the thoroughly discredited notion of the
- elan vital, the life force. Anciently, feelings were assigned to
- organs: excitement, the heart; anxiety, the stomach; depression,
- the respiratory system; fear, kidneys; anger, bile. It is easy to
- understand how prescientists made these associations. These
- associations were taken for granted well into the 19th century,
- even in the West. In China, the life force was (is) the "chu-e" and
- its various transliterations. Other forms of fringe medicine still
- center on the notions of a life force, e.g., chiropractic.
-
- Dr. Sampson pointed to what is perhaps the most important reason
- that AP was so popular before the advent of modern medicine: the
- LESS that was done to a patient, the better off he was! The
- draconian measures of primitive procedures proved as often as not
- to be fatal to the unfortunate victim of the doctor's knife:
- Purging, leaching, blood-letting, and poisoning, coupled with
- unsanitary conditions were at least as dangerous as any condition
- the poor patient could ever have suffered. Since the body is a
- marvelous instrument of curative and restorative powers, most
- conditions, left to themselves, will ameliorate if the victim
- survives.
-
- Hence whatever procedure had been performed last would get the
- credit for the cure in a "post hoc, ego propter hoc" reasoning.
- Since AP is benign, it was often the procedure of choice and
- therefore got the credit, so anecdotes flowed freely.
-
- Modern Chinese medicine is still imbued with vital force
- traditions. AP is part of a holistic, philosophic approach to
- healing. Homeopathy, herbal medicine, iridology and chiropractic
- are all very similar in their approach to medical problems, and
- they all are philosophically centered on the ethereal "energy" that
- vivifies the human body. In each of these systems, the procedures
- are not directed at a specific condition, and this is probably the
- greatest single distinction between them and modern medicine. The
- function of these types of fringe treatment is to "realign the body
- with the forces of nature." AP designates the points of alignment
- as the "meridians," which are arbitrarily assigned to organs, which
- are in turn associated with EMOTIONS, not disease. This is why
- there need be no real diagnostic process or correlation between
- the locus of the condition and the placement of needles. If one has
- a malfunction in the kidney, one might get a needle in the earlobe
- because that is the site where the "force" is most "out of
- alignment," and it is that "misalignment" which caused the kidney
- problem.
-
- Dr. Sampson contrasted the approach of modern medicine with these
- holistic genres: modern medicine is disease specific. There are,
- for example, over 100 different kinds of cancer (Dr. Sampson is an
- oncologist) each with its specific treatment. The only degree of
- similarity in their various treatments is excision of the tumors.
- The revolution in modern medicine is that it sought to understand
- the function of each organ. The western mind has taken hold of AP
- without understanding the real function of AP, and has tried to
- take it in the direction of empirical science. This has caused
- confusion both in the practice and public understanding of AP.
-
- ACUPUNCTURE TODAY
-
- One of the most common medical conditions is back pain. Doctors do
- not like to treat back pain because it is so complex and often non-
- specific. It can arise from simple lack of proper conditioning to
- the most intractable diagnoses. Treatment can be long, expensive,
- and often unsatisfactory. Enter chiropractic and AP. In cases other
- than disease or chronic conditions, back problems respond favorably
- to the passage of time.
-
- The best evaluation of AP is that it works by distraction (a
- counter-irritation), suggestion, consensus and the placebo effect.
- AP is upbeat, requiring high rapport between patientand therapist.
- Wally compared this with the veritable confrontation between a
- medical doctor and his patient when the latter is required by law
- to read and sign the "informed consent" papers before surgery in
- which he is told of all the pitfalls and side effects he may
- experience!
-
- Acupuncture is definitely here to stay, and the establishment will
- probably have little effect on its practice. For those on the
- fence, the facts may help, and all of us can help spread the facts.
-
-
-
- CSICOP IN CHINA
-
- There is no evidence to support the claim of amazing paranormal
- abilities of Qigong masters and extraordinary psychic Chinese
- children, according to a report issued by CSICOP. The report is the
- result of a two-week, three-city tour of China by a CSICOP
- delegation.
-
- The CSICOP team traveled in China in late March and early April at
- the behest of the Institute for Technical and Scientific
- Information of China. Members of the Institute wereconcerned by the
- rapid rise of belief in the paranormal in China and the lack of
- scientific criticism of these claims. The investigators provided
- lectures, conducted seminars, and offered demonstrations on a
- number of topics of the paranormal. They also carried out tests on
- individuals claiming paranormal abilities.
-
- "We had heard fantastic stories of the miraculous abilities of
- these people," said CSICOP chairman Dr. Paul Kurtz. "We were quite
- curious to see if they could actually do the things they claimed."
- One such series of tests included an examination of alleged psychic
- children. It was claimed that they could read characters written
- on bits of paper stuffed in their ears, held in their hands, or
- placed on top of their heads. They also supposedly had the ability
- to break or restore matchsticks sealed inside boxes by the power
- of their minds. The CSICOP team found that in all of the trials
- they ran on the miracle children, under controlled conditions and
- strict observation, in no instances were the children able to
- perform as alleged.
-
- The CSICOP paper reports on one test conducted by a Chinese
- researcher, in which CSICOP members acted only as observers when
- "strange" results were obtained. Four children were each given a
- matchbox containing either a broken or unbroken green matchstick.
- The children were to reverse the condition of their matchstick. The
- Chinese experimenter wrapped the matchboxes with paper and tape and
- gave the sample to the children. The children immediately ran from
- the testing room and were seen to leave the building entirely.
-
- After a period of time, the children returned and said they wereas
- yet unsuccessful and requested more time. The experimenter agreed
- and allowed the children to take their boxes home with them. Eight
- hours later, the experiment resumed. One child did not return his
- box claiming it had been destroyed while he was playing. Two boxes
- were returned in fairly good condition. They were opened and no
- change in the matches' condition was observed.
-
- The fourth box proved to be a different story. Upon casual
- observation, the box showed obvious signs of having been tampered
- with. Vegetative matter and hair were under the tape. Upon opening
- the box, it was found that the broken green match was now an intact
- red match. Despite the evidence of cheating, and the total lack of
- control over the test sample, the Chinese experimenter maintained
- that this experiment could be "proof of paranormal abilities." The
- CSICOP team examined television tapes of similar testing done by
- Chinese scientists who found that Chinese children were prone to
- cheat and that this explained so-called paranormal effects.
-
- CSICOP was also able to test the claims of Chinese Qigong masters.
- Qigong (pronounced "chi-gung") is a form of traditional Chinese
- medicine dating back more than 2500 years. In its most basic form,
- it is a system of mental concentration and deep- breathing
- exercises to reduce stress. Some Qigong masters claim that they are
- able to direct their "chi" energy into others and affect cures of
- tumors, cancer, and ulcers.
-
- The CSICOP team was permitted to observe a Qigong master as he
- treated a patient for a spinal tumor. The master began a series of
- rhythmic movements and the patient began writhing on the treatment
- table. After the demonstration, CSICOP placed the master and
- patient in separate rooms. In a number of trials, the master was
- asked to direct his "chi" towards the patient. Although the master
- said his power could go through walls and travel some distance,
- there was no correlation between the movements of the master and
- those of the patient.
-
- Next, the CSICOP researchers tested a Qigong master and his psychic
- sister who claimed to be able to diagnose team members' relatives
- back in the United States and Canada by merely seeing their names
- and relationships written on a piece of paper. The results of these
- tests were also negative. In one trial, the psychic "saw" that a
- relative had liver and leg ailments -- the person had been dead for
- two years. Kurtz commented, "Belief in the paranormal is a world-
- wide phenomenon. We have found, however, that when you submit the
- claims to rigorous testing, the evidence just isn't there."
-
- CSICOP's full report on the experiments conducted in China are
- published in the Summer 1988 edition of "The Skeptical Inquirer".
-
-
-
- RAINING FISH
- by John Lattanzio
-
- No self-respecting skeptic would believe stories of fish falling
- from the sky. Whiting and flounder, to be precise. I imagine we
- would not openly embrace claims of frogs or crabs plummeting to
- earth from the heavens, either. But suppose the claims persisted?
- It would be nice to have some explanation. I know, I can hear some
- screaming "Show us the evidence first. If it is convincing, THEN
- we look for an explanation, not before." Quite right.
-
- But in lieu of further evidence or information, I might hypothesize
- that one day a couple of frogs fell from a tree. Someone noticed,
- and commented on it "raining frogs." The story gets retold,
- distorted, overheard . . . and presto. It's raining, if not cats
- and dogs, then crabs and frogs. Maybe even fish. It's not a
- particularly convincing explanation, but at least it seems more
- likely than the claim that it did rain frogs.
-
- Well, there is more information and evidence. On May 20, 1984, Ron
- Langton found six fish (whiting and flounder) on the roof and in
- the backyard of his home in East Ham, London. Two residents of
- nearby Canning Town independently reported 30 to 40 fish in their
- gardens. So much for my explanation.
-
- More impressive, perhaps, are the many eyewitness accounts of frogs
- falling from the sky. Once, in 1844, people held out their hats to
- catch them. On June 5, 1983, Julian Gowan saw a huge spider crab
- fall on the grounds of his Brighton home.
-
- Enter TORRO, the Tornado and Storm Research Organization, a
- privately supported research group which studies severe storms.
- These diligent detectives have an explanation for these "remarkable
- showers," as they have dubbed them. They use the showers as a tool
- to probe meteorological phenomena.
-
- TORRO believes that whirlwinds are to blame, because a vortex can
- explain how objects can be lifted and transported long distances.
- The fallout usually covers an elliptical area on the ground, again
- suggesting a concentrated updraft, consistent with a waterspout or
- tornado hypothesis, and waterspouts were observed at sea around the
- time of the storm which deposited the crab in Brighton.
-
- Although TORRO may have provided an explanation of these
- "remarkable showers," this is not their main area of research. They
- are concerned about the more serious threats waterspouts can
- pose.There is a lesson here, of course. We are reminded of the
- dangers of dismissing "ridiculous" stories (like rocks falling from
- the sky, later called meteorites). We must judge ONLY according to
- the evidence. No conclusion is far more desirable than jumping to
- the wrong one.
-
- (For further information on "remarkable showers" and TORRO see "New
- Scientist," 2 June, 1988.)
-
- [Perhaps another lesson of this event is that, given hard evidence
- and a workable theory, even the most fantastic claims can be easily
- established or refuted. -- Ed.]
-
-
-
- BAS IN THE NEWS
-
- BAS's year-end roundup of psychic fizzles has made the rounds. The
- efforts of erstwhile BAS chairman Robert Sheaffer have been
- appreciated as far away as Philadelphia. We have subscribers there
- who sent a clipping from the "Philadelphia Inquirer" which quoted
- Robert's article we ran in "BASIS" last year almost in its
- entirety.
-
- Media contacts are opening up more and more, affording us
- increasing column space and air time to present an alternative to
- the barrage of nonsense that clogs the minds of millions. Time was
- when the fringe had a corner on the media. The newsfolk didn't know
- where to go for a counter. Now that there are specific centers of
- information with the formation of CSICOP and like-minded local
- groups, we are pleased to report that we are being sought.
-
- We can only hope that information is the main problem, not just
- soft brains.
-
-
-
- BENNETTA AT APPLE
-
- BAS advisor William Bennetta spoke to the employees of Apple
- Computer and their guests in November. The monthly presentations
- are part of Apple's Distinguished Lecture Series in which speakers
- are invited from all walks to address the employees. Organizer Joe
- Wujek is the heart and mind of the program, and he has provided a
- long list of interesting and varied topics, very few of which have
- anything to do with computing or corporate structure. BAS founder
- Bob Steiner and BAS director Andy Fraknoi are among the names on
- the speaker's list and their success has led to other requests from
- the fount.
-
- Bill Bennetta is probably one of the best authorities on the
- legislative and legal forays creationists have sprung on our
- educational system. He has written extensively, and has had his
- articles and essays published in professional journals, newspapers
- and special interest papers, so he is eminently qualified to teach
- on the subject.
-
- Very few Americans are aware of the extent to which creationists
- are willing to go to wage their campaignagainst science education
- in the public schools. Apple Computer, in their Distinguished
- Lecture Series, asked Bill to speak about this very important and
- sensitive subject.
-
- Bennetta began by defining scientific creationism as the political
- arm of ultra-orthodox fundamentalist Christianity and its
- insistence on absolute Biblical literalism. He alerted his audience
- that the creationist agenda is not, as fundamentalists would have
- the public believe, to have equal time for alternate theoriesof
- origins. The fundamentalists want to have the entire science
- curriculum turned out: physics, chemistry, biology, geology, etc.
-
- In short, they want total control of the schools, and they have
- shown their willingness to use the courts to have their way -- arm
- twisting is too slow, and they cannot bring scientific evidence to
- bear to make their case in the custom of the scientific method.
-
- Some of the creationist legal maneuvers are astonishing for their
- brashness; Bill covered the Louisiana and Arkansas cases and traced
- their histories through the system all the way to the Supreme Court
- in the Louisiana instance. They lost, but only because of
- preparation near the end to present the case in the true light of
- the creationists' goals. The Justices found that the case really
- turned on the transparent attempt to have the narrow religious
- dogma of a specific sectarian religion introduced into the
- classroom. The Constitution, of course, precludes such favoritism.
- The question whether the notions of creationism have any scientific
- validity was not at issue in the court cases. This is fortunate,
- because it would put the judiciary in the position of trying to
- understand and rule on the scientific validity of a claim; of
- course, such a role for the courts is entirely misplaced.
-
- Bill's talk was well attended and well received. Almost all those
- in attendance came to the front to get literature Bill had prepared
- (copies of some of the articles he has had published) and to ask
- questions at the conclusion.
-
- BAS would like to recognize Apple Computer and Joe Wujek for the
- courage they have shown in addressing sensitive and controversial
- subjects. Few major corporations would dare invite speakers to
- express their views on themes as potentially volatile as religious
- beliefs. Congratulations, Apple. Congratulations, Joe Wujek. And
- thanks to Bill Bennetta for his worthy representation of BAS.
-
-
- -----
-
- Opinions expressed in "BASIS" are those of the authors and do not
- necessarily reflect those of BAS, its board or its advisors.
-
- The above are selected articles from the January, 1989 issue of
- "BASIS", the monthly publication of Bay Area Skeptics. You can
- obtain a free sample copy by sending your name and address to BAY
- AREA SKEPTICS, 4030 Moraga, San Francisco, CA 94122-3928 or by
- leaving a message on "The Skeptic's Board" BBS (415-648-8944) or
- on the 415-LA-TRUTH (voice) hotline.
-
- Copyright (C) 1989 BAY AREA SKEPTICS. Reprints must credit "BASIS,
- newsletter of the Bay Area Skeptics, 4030 Moraga, San Francisco,
- CA 94122-3928."
-
- -END-
-
-