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ANDREW.TXT
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1992-10-01
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BELOW IS AN EXAMPLE OF A WEATHER ADVISORY FROM COMPUSERVE'S WEATHER FORUM.
NOTE THE AREA TOWARD THE END OF THE REPORT THAT SHOWS THE PROBABILITY OF THE
STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 MILES OF THE LISTED LOCATION. THE THREE LAT/LON
READINGS ARE THE 24, 36 AND 48 HOUR FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER. TO ENTER THESE THREE 'FORECASTS' BY THE NHC, YOU WOULD PRESS ALT+U
FROM THE MERLIN ADVISORY FOR HURRICANE ANDREW INCLUDED ON THIS DISK. SINCE
COMPUSERVE'S WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOT THE COMPLETE MARINE ADVISORY, YOU WOULD
JUST ENTER DATA INTO THE THREE CENTER AREAS INDICATED BY HYPHEN MARKS. MAKE
SURE THE 12 HOUR FIELDS AND THE 72 HOUR FIELDS CONTAIN 0'S. IF YOU HAVE
ACCESS TO THE COMPLETE MARINE ADVISORY YOU WOULD ENTER THE INFORMATION PROVIDED
FOR THE 12 HOUR FORECAST AND 72 HOUR OUTLOOK. AFTER RETURNING TO THE MERLIN
ADVISORY, CHOOSE ONE OF THE FOUR MERLIN TRACKING MAPS AND THE NHC FORECASTS
WILL BE ON THE TRACKING MAP INSTEAD OF MERLIN'S 12 HOUR PROJECTION OF TREND.
*****************************************************************************
WTNT34 KMIA 260255
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ANDREW ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 1992
....ANDREW LASHING THE LOUSIANA COAST...
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI
WESTWARD THROUGH THE BOLIVAR PENINSULA OF TEXAS.
THE HURRICANE WATCH EXTENDS FROM WEST OF THE BOLIVAR PENINSULA
TO FREEPORT TEXAS.
THE EYE OF ANDREW IS NOW MOVING ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST.
ALL RESIDENTS IN SOUTHERN LOUISIANA SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED ALL
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THIS EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ANDREW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.1 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NEW ORLEANS AND ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE
LOUSIANA.
ANDREW IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN
INTENSITY IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT PLANE WAS 950 MB...28.03 INCHES.
STORM SURGES OF 10 TO 15 FEET ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF
WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
HEAVY RAINS OF UP TO 1O INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE PATH OF THE
HURRICANE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...29.0 N... 91.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT MIDNIGHT CDT AND 2 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY ISSUANCE AT 4 AM CDT...WEDNESDAY.
AVILA
ADVISORY NUMBER 40 HURRICANE ANDREW
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 MILES OF
LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT FRI AUG 28 1992
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.7N 92.6W 35 X X X 35 NEW IBERIA LA 76 X X X 76
33.0N 91.8W 15 6 1 1 23 PORT ARTHUR TX 30 X X X 30
34.5N 90.5W X 11 5 2 18 GALVESTON TX 9 1 X 1 11
ST MARKS FL X X 2 4 6 FREEPORT TX 2 1 1 1 5
APALACHICOLA FL X X 2 4 6 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 1 1 2
PANAMA CITY FL X 1 2 4 7 GULF 29N 85W X X 1 4 5
PENSACOLA FL 1 3 4 3 11 GULF 29N 87W X 1 2 3 6
MOBILE AL 3 6 2 2 13 GULF 28N 89W 2 X 1 3 6
GULFPORT MS 9 3 1 2 15 GULF 28N 91W 99 X X X 99
BURAS LA 64 X X X 64 GULF 28N 93W 6 X X 2 8
NEW ORLEANS LA 66 X X X 66 GULF 28N 95W X 1 X 2 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM WED TO 7AM THU
C FROM 7AM THU TO 7PM THU
D FROM 7PM THU TO 7PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT