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Reproduced here with the express permission of the publisher.
This article originally appeared in UFO Magazine, P.O. Box 1053,
Sunland, CA 91041-1053 (818) 951-1250, May-June 1993 issue,
Vol. 8, No. 3.
SECRET
SECURITY INFORMATION
G-1579-4
cc: S. D. Thomas
H. C. Cross/A. B. Westerman
L. R. Jackson
W. T. Reid
P. J. Rieppel
V. W. Ellsey/R. J. Lund January 9, 1953
Mr. Miles E. Coll
Box 9575
Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio
Attention Capt. Edward J. Ruppelt
Dear Mr. Coll:
This letter concerns a preliminary recommendation to ATIC on
future methods of handling the problem of unidentified aerial objects. This
recommendation is based on our experience to date in analyzing several
thousands of reports on this subject. We regard the recommendation as pre-
liminary because our analysis is not yet complete, and we are not able to
document it where we feel it should be supported by facts from the analysis.
We are making this recommendation prematurely because of a CIA-
sponsored meeting of a scientific panel, meeting in Washington, D. C.,
January 14, 15, and 16, 1953, to consider the problem of "flying saucers".
The CIA-sponsored meeting is being held subsequent to a meeting of CIA, ATIC,
and our representatives held at ATIC on December 12, 1952. At the December
12 meeting our representatives strongly recommended that a scientific panel
not be set up until the results of our analysis of the sighting-reports
collected by ATIC were available. Since a meeting of the panel is now
definitely scheduled we feel that agreement between Project Stork and ATIC
should be reached as to what can and what cannot be discussed at the meeting
in Washington on January 14-16 concerning our preliminary recommendation to
ATIC.
Experiences to date on our study of unidentified flying objects
shows that there is a distinct lack of reliable data with which to work.
Even the best-documented reports are frequently lacking in critical inform-
ation that makes it impossible to arrive at a positive identification, i.e.
even in a well-documented report there is always an element of doubt about
the data, either because the observer had no means of getting the required
data, or was not prepared to utilize the means at his disposal. Therefore,
we recommend that a controlled experiment be set up by which reliable
physical data can be obtained. A tentative preliminary plan by which the
experiment could be designed and carried out is discussed in the following
paragraphs.
Based on experience so far, it is expected that certain conclusions
will be reached as a result of our analysis which will make obvious the need
for an effort to obtain reliable data from competent observers using the
necessary equipment. Until more reliable data are available, no positive
answers to the problem will be possible.
SECRET
SECURITY INFORMATION
Mr. Miles E. Coll -2- January 9, 1953
We expect that our analysis will show that certain areas in the
United States have had an abnormally high number of reported incidents of
unidentified flying objects. Assuming that, from our analysis, several
definite areas productive of reports can be selected, we recommend that
one or two of these areas be set up as experimental areas. This area,
or areas, should have observation posts with complete visual skywatch, with
radar and photographic coverage, plus all other instruments necessary or
helpful in obtaining positive and reliable data on everything in the air
over the area. A very complete record of the weather should also be kept
during the time of the experiment. Coverage should be so complete that
any object in the air could be tracked, and information as to its altitude
velocity, size, shape, color, time of day, etc. could be recorded. All
balloon releases or known balloon paths, aircraft flights, and flights of
rockets in the test area should be known to those in charge of the experiment.
Many different types of aerial activity should be secretly and purposefully
scheduled within the area.
We recognize that this proposed experiment would amount to a
large-scale military maneuver, or operation, and that it would require
extensive preparation and fine coordination, plus maximum security. Although
it would be a major operation, and expensive, there are many extra benefits
to be derived besides data on unidentified aerial objects.
The question of just what would be accomplished by the proposed
experiment occurs. Just how could the problem of these unidentified objects
be solved? From this test area, during the time of the experiment, it can
be assumed that there would be a steady flow of reports from ordinary
civilian observers, in addition to those by military or other official
observers. It should be possible by such a controlled experiment to prove
the identity of all objects reported, or to determine positively that there
were objects present of unknown identity. Any hoaxes under a set-up such
as this could almost certainly be exposed, perhaps not publicly, but at
least to the military.
In addition, by having resulting data from the controlled experiment,
reports from the last five years could be re-evaluated, in the light of
similar but positive information. This should make possible reasonably
certain conclusions concerning the importance of the problem of "flying
saucers".
Results of an experiment such as described could assist the Air
Force to determine how much attention to pay to future situations when, as
in the past summer, there were thousands of sighting reported. In the
future, then, the Air Force should be able to make positive statements,
reassuring to the public, and to the effect that everything is well under
control.
Very truly yours,
H. C. Cross
HCC:ec