CP/M/CPM_CDROM.iso/simtel/sigm/vols000/vol087/thefed.txt

Text File | 1985-02-10 | 2.5 KB | 44 lines

Thσá followinτ i≤ aε extrac⌠ oµ thσ transmitta∞ lette≥á froφ ì
Fran∞á Elie∞á oµá Decisioεá Science≤á anΣá Software¼áá 1752▓ ì
Cottonwood Street, Irvine, CA 92715. [phone]

     "TH┼ FEDó i≤ ß microcompute≥ versioε oµ thσ econometriπ ì
mode∞ useΣ b∙ thσ St« Loui≤ Federa∞ Reservσ Distric⌠ t∩ tes⌠ ì
alternatσá mone∙á suppl∙á policie≤ prio≥á t∩á enterinτá int∩ ì
deliberation≤á oµ thσ opeε marke⌠ committee«á Sincσ thσá St« ì
Loui≤áá FE─áá i≤áá onσá oµá ninσáá district≤áá sharinτáá thσ ì
responsibilit∙ fo≥ settinτ mone∙ supp∙ targets¼ thσ mode∞ i≤ ì
ßá valuablσá too∞á fo≥á busines≤á forecastinτá anΣá decisioε ì
making« Transmitta∞ oµ thi≤ distributablσ cop∙ constitute≤ ß ì
limiteΣ licensσ oµ m∙ copyright.

     Thσá packagσá consist≤á oµá fivσá modules«á Thσá first¼ ì
"THEFED.INTó i≤ thσ forecastinτ model« I⌠ i≤ supporteΣ b∙ aε ì
extensivσá tutoria∞ invokeΣ b∙ respondinτ "YESó t∩ thσ firs⌠ ì
prompt«á Oεá subsequen⌠ run≤ thσ "NOó responsσ wil∞á supres≤ ì
thσá tutorial«á Thσá prograφ draw≤ upoε thσá economiπá file¼ ì
"ECON1.DAT,óá containinτá quarte≥ b∙ quarte≥á economiπá datß ì
sincσ 195░ (u≡ througΦ thσ seconΣ quarte≥ oµ 1981⌐ anΣ b∙á ß ì
forecastá file¼á whicΦ ma∙ bσ specifieΣ b∙ respondinτ t∩ thσ ì
appropriatσ prompt«á ┴ samplσ forecas⌠ file¼ "FORCAST2.DAT,ó ì
i≤á includeΣá fo≥ illustration«á Thσ economiπá filσá ma∙á bσ ì
printeΣ usinτ "PRNTECON.INT,ó whilσ thσ forecast filσ ma∙ bσ ì
printeΣááá usinτáá "PRNTFORC.INT.óáá Thσáá file≤áá caεááá bσ ì
maintained/created respectively using an ordinary editor.

     (Not⌐ includeΣ (is⌐ the Basiπ codσ oµ "TH┼ FEDó becausσ ì
thσá empirica∞á constant≤ useΣ iε thσ equation≤á arσá easil∙ ì
changed¼á anΣ changinτ thesσ constant≤ b∙ eveε smal∞ amount≤ ì
vitiate≤á thσá validit∙á oµá thσá results«á But¼á ßá genera∞ ì
descriptioεá oµá "TH┼á FEDóá ma∙ bσ founΣá iεá "METHOD╙á anΣ ì
TECHNIQUE╙á oµá BUSINES╙á FORECASTING,óá editeΣá b∙á Butler¼ ì
Kavesh¼ anΣ Platt¼ anΣ publisheΣ b∙ Prenticσ Hall¼ EnglewooΣ ì
Cliffs¼á N╩ (1974)«á Thσ descriptioε appear≤ oε page≤ 50╖ t∩ ì
51╖á inclusivσá iεá ß pape≥ b∙ Leonal∞á Andersoεá titledá "┴ ì
Monetaris⌠áá ApproacΦá t∩á Forecasting.óá Updatσá datßáá arσ ì
availablσá iε thσ "Surve∙ oµ Curren⌠ Businessó publisheΣá b∙ ì
thσá U╙á Departmen⌠á oµá Commercσá anΣá availablσá a⌠áá mos⌠ ì
libraries« User≤ desirinτ morσ informatioε thaε availablσ iε ì
thi≤á articlσá anΣá thσá tutoria∞á ma∙á orde≥á ßá manua∞á a≤ ì
described in the tutorial.