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- CHINA'S POPULATION CONTROLS BRUTAL, ILLOGICAL
- by Thomas Sowell
-
-
- A chilling story out of China shows the grim and brutal consequences
- of grand ideological visions. In addition to the general communist
- vision of a government-controlled economy and society, the so-called
- People's Republic of China has also become determined to control the
- number of children each family has.
-
- One couple was fined more than they earn in a year for having two
- "unauthorized" births above the officially allotted one-per-family,
- according to a recent report in The Wall Street Journal.
-
- Moreover, local communist officials stand to have their pay cut if
- people under their jurisdiction have more children than the government
- allows. Under these conditions, the pressures against women who want to
- have more children are unrelenting.
-
- Providing "access" to birth-control information or devices is not
- the issue in China (or in most other countries). China has what
- birth-control pushers really want - the ability to propagandize and
- pressure people into doing what the anointed have decided needs doing.
-
- In China, people can be furloughed from their jobs, or their pay can
- be cut, for having more than the government-allotted number of children.
- Dossiers are kept on every couple, and women's individual menstrual
- cycles are charted in these government dossiers. Not only is Big Brother
- watching you; big sister is watching even more closely. Female officials
- "conduct spot checks in the home to make sure intrauterine devices are
- still in place."
-
- Ugly as all this is, it is the logical consequence of the vision of
- the anointed. Once you buy the notion that the intellectually superior
- and the morally anointed should take "leadership" in "public service" and
- "make a difference" by using government power to force others into a
- preconceived pattern, this is where that road leads.
-
- Some may not have the stomach to follow the road that far, but this
- is where it leads. Where power and glory are to be had from following
- the logic of the vision, it is only a matter of time before those who are
- squeamish are replaced by those who are not squeamish.
-
- The great irony is that the anointed themselves often have no solid
- basis for the draconian policies they impose on the masses. Often their
- basis is nothing more than fashionable speculation mixed with ideological
- fervor and blind self-righteousness. The dogma that "overpopulation"
- causes poverty is a classic example.
-
- There are sparsely populated and prosperous countries like the
- United States, but Ethiopia has almost the identical number of people per
- square mile as the United States and is desperately poor.
-
- China is more densely populated and poor, but Japan and West Germany
- are even more densely populated and very prosperous. Anyone who takes
- the trouble to look up the statistics can find almost any population
- density among either rich countries or poor countries.
-
- It is not population but productivity that determines whether
- nations are rich or poor. If there were only three people on the whole
- planet, and they produced just enough for two to live on, they would be
- in big trouble.
-
- By the same token, if there were 10 times as many people as there
- are today, and they produced 20 times the output, their standard of
- living would be twice as high as ours. History shows that our standard
- of living is far higher than people enjoyed in past ages, when the
- world's population was only a fraction of what it is now.
-
- Brutal birth-control methods, such as those in China, do not produce
- as low birth-rates as those in the United States or Western Europe, where
- people are free to do as they wish. But brutal methods, and the sense of
- desperate urgency on which they are based, all enhance the power and the
- egos of the anointed.
-
- Even the reporter for The Wall Street Journal got sucked into the
- notion that the Chinese communists are fighting some desperate battle
- against "overpopulation." The predictions of "some international
- demographers" are cited, along with the statistic that China had to
- import about 15 million tons of grain last year.
-
- A book could easily be filled with the history of grossly wrong
- predictions by demographers. Half a century ago, the big hysteria was
- that population growth in the West was so slow that economic decline
- would set in - all this on the eve of a baby boom and an economic boom.
-
- More recently Paul Ehrlich's book, "The Population Bomb," spread the
- opposite hysteria of overpopulation - at a time when birth rates in the
- United States were dropping so sharply that obstetricians, gynecologists
- and toy manufacturers were all suffering an economic pinch.
-
- As for importing grain, that has often happened in communist
- countries whose stifling control of agriculture hurts productivity, even
- when these countries have far less population density than China. But
- the mindset that stifles agriculture is all too ready to believe that the
- answer to its bad consequences is to stifle people.
-
- The vision of the anointed extends far beyond communist countries,
- though in other countries it has to contend with other visions, and even
- its own devotees are inhibited by such things as the Judeo-Christian
- tradition, in which the individual has both responsibility and rights.
-
- But, to the extent that the vision of the anointed is pervasive - as
- it is among intellectuals - we are moving further in the direction of
- government control of more and more of our lives. What is happening in
- China is the logical end of that process.
-
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford
- University and a columnist for Scripps Howard News Service.