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- THE WEEK, Page 20NATIONWhat Will Ross Perot Do Next?
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- A debating star strikes out at unseen enemies as the race
- tightens
-
- From the merely eccentric to the downright bizarre seems to
- be only half a step for Ross Perot. The populist billionaire last
- week came up with a new explanation for why he had abandoned his
- initial presidential campaign on July 16: he wanted to save his
- daughter Carolyn from a smear. Seems he got wind from three
- sources -- two unnamed, one a frequent promoter of conspiracy
- theories -- of a Republican plot to portray his daughter as a
- lesbian by circulating a doctored photograph, then to "disrupt"
- her Aug. 23 wedding by means unspecified. By Oct. 1, with
- Carolyn married, Perot presumably figured it was safe to get
- back into the race.
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- It all seemed most unlikely. Noting the army of guards
- Perot employs, a skeptical former business associate remarked,
- "The guy's got more security around his family than the
- Kremlin. And he can't protect a wedding?" Perot in fact admitted
- he had no proof, and White House spokesman Marlin Fitzwater
- quickly compared him to someone who had "latched on to UFO
- theories." Perot does have a history of scenting conspiracies
- everywhere, and one of his suspicions seems to have inspired a
- questionable FBI sting. After Perot complained to Dallas police
- about an alleged Republican plot to wiretap him, Jim Oberwetter,
- head of President Bush's Texas campaign, was approached by an
- FBI agent posing as a cowboy. The agent offered to sell a tape
- of Perot phone conversations. Oberwetter spurned him.
-
- Perot's vagaries stopped but did not reverse his meteoric
- rise in the polls. Several tracking surveys showed his support
- at 16%, down a bit from around 20% but still more than enough
- to make Perot's wild-card effect on the campaign both important
- and unpredictable. The Texan is putting on a last-gasp TV
- advertising blitz like none ever seen before. His campaign has
- spent just under $60 million so far, and that figure will grow
- sharply in the final week.
-
- For the two main candidates, the campaign end game seemed
- likely to underline one of the oldest -- and most overlooked --
- truisms of American politics: a presidential ballot is not
- really a national vote but a combination of 50 separate state
- elections. In one Gallup/CNN/USA Today tracking poll, Bush
- surged to a statistical tie, pulling 40% to Clinton's 41%. Other
- polls showed the Democrat's lead around seven points, but all
- indicated it was narrowing. Bush reacted by slamming harder than
- ever on "character" issues. Clinton hit back personally as he
- had not before, saying Bush was the one not worthy of trust.
- Bush's great problem, though, is that state-by-state surveys
- show Clinton with so big a lead in electoral votes that the
- President would have to win just about every doubtful state to
- remain in the White House. While that could still happen, it
- seems more likely that Clinton would parlay a narrow victory in
- the popular vote into a comfortable margin in the electoral
- college.
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