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- THE WEEK, Page 15BUSINESSThe Barriers Come Tumbling Down
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- Negotiators prepare to sign the North American Free Trade
- Agreement
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- It survived snags over textiles, avocados and chickens and
- still faces a stiff test in Congress. After 14 months of almost
- nonstop and frequently contentious haggling, negotiators for the
- U.S., Canada and Mexico were poised to sign the North American
- Free Trade Agreement, which would bind 363 million consumers
- into the world's largest trading zone with a combined gross
- domestic product of more than $6 trillion.
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- The pact's big winner will probably be Mexico, which lags
- behind its trading partners in industrial development.
- Economists say Mexico could gain 600,000 primarily industrial
- jobs by 1995 as the agreement rolls back tariffs and reduces
- restrictive quotas that hobble the country's exports.
- Negotiators also expect the U.S. and Canada to profit from an
- explosion in sales to the Mexican market. But U.S. labor leaders
- argue that tens of thousands of American workers could lose
- their jobs as companies shift production to Mexico to cash in
- on industrial wage rates that are roughly one-sixth those north
- of the Rio Grande.
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- The Bush Administration views a completed pact as a major
- accomplishment and as something to boast about in the fall
- campaign. Industry groups will evaluate terms of the agreement
- and offer recommendations before it goes to Congress, where the
- debate promises to be contentious. Some Democratic lawmakers
- charge that the pact lacks safeguards for American jobs and want
- programs to retrain displaced workers and protect the
- environment. Congress is expected to delay serious discussion
- until after the elections and then put the deal to a vote
- sometime early next year.
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