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- WORLD, Page 28BRITAINInvitations to the Dance
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- As the new third force in politics, Liberal Democrats may end
- up as partners to be wooed in national life
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- By JAMES WALSH -- Reported by William Mader/London
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- At his 1961 Inauguration John Kennedy proclaimed that the
- torch of leadership had passed to "a new generation of
- Americans, born in this century." In 1992 Britain's torch is
- passing decisively to a new class of Britons, brought up without
- an elite schooling or the right accent. Britain has had leaders
- of humble origins before, but next week's election is a
- milestone. For the first time, none of the chief
- standard-bearers are products of those ancient mills of correct
- breeding, Oxford and Cambridge. Of the Cinderellas awaiting the
- nation's hand, moreover, none looks likelier to dance all night
- than a newcomer accustomed to combat boots.
-
- Paddy Ashdown, a former Royal Marines commando, is hoping
- that his Liberal Democrats will emerge from the election
- holding the balance of power in Parliament and a new lease on
- life. That outlook is promising. The absence of Oxbridge polish
- on the campaign's three stars coincides with a blurring of the
- ideologies that have long divided Britain. The opposition
- Labour Party of Neil Kinnock, the Welsh laborer's son, has
- struggled to shed the albatross of radical socialism. Now the
- ruling Conservatives of Prime Minister John Major, the school
- dropout, are patching up the social safety nets scorned by
- Margaret Thatcher's survival ism of the fittest. With much less
- to choose between the two main parties, chances are good that
- neither will end up with a House of Commons majority.
-
- In a hung Parliament, the Liberal Democrats, who call the
- political center home, would be the object of intense wooing.
- Ashdown, 51, is ready. A comparative unknown on the national
- scene, he has been doggedly stumping the country pitching a
- message: Labour is a spent force, the Tories are uncaring, and
- "the realities of the ballot box" will make both parties "more
- realistic." As Ashdown defines it, realism is a fairer share of
- power for the movement that is heir to the great Liberal
- reformers of the 19th and early 20th centuries -- William
- Gladstone, Herbert Asquith and David Lloyd George.
-
- The Liberals went into eclipse after the First World War,
- thanks to the capture of working-class votes by the party of
- trade unions. Labour's post-1945 welfare state was in turn
- thumped in 1979 by Thatcherism, whose strong defense policy
- discredited Labour's now defunct creed of unilateral nuclear
- disarmament. Today recession-racked Britons are unsure where to
- turn. They are listening more closely to the clipped, almost
- military-style speeches of a man who spent his formative years
- defending Malaya against communist guerrillas and newborn Kuwait
- against Iraqi claims in the 1960s.
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- Born in India into a British army family from Northern
- Ireland, Ashdown acquired his generic Irishman's nickname at a
- boarding school in England. When his father failed as a pig
- farmer in retirement, Ashdown enlisted in the Royal Marines,
- took officer training and satisfied his thirst for adventure by
- joining the highly respected Special Boat Service commandos.
- After a decade of frontline service, he spent two years learning
- fluent Chinese and soaking up Chinese history -- prompting
- suspicions that he engaged in intelligence. In 1971 he resigned
- with the rank of captain, entered the foreign service and was
- posted to the British U.N. mission in Geneva.
-
- But Ashdown grew restless with diplomatic life. According
- to friends, guilt about social ills back home got the better of
- him. In the military he had found many fellow Marines who were
- virtually illiterate. As he puts it, "Some were tougher, some
- stronger, some more intelligent, some more decent. Yet by
- accident of birth I was commanding them and not they me." He and
- his wife Jane settled in the Somerset town of Yeovil, from
- which Ashdown was elected to Parliament as a Liberal in 1983.
- After the 1987 collapse of the Liberal alliance with the Social
- Democrats -- mainly centrist defectors from Labour -- the two
- parties merged and chose Ashdown as leader.
-
- In Britain's winner-take-all electoral system, the Liberal
- Democrats, whose public approval rating hovers around 16%, are
- not likely to gain a great deal more than the 22 seats they now
- have in the 650-seat House. If called to form a coalition
- Cabinet, however, they are prepared to exact a price: political
- autonomy for Scotland and Wales and a Parliament elected by
- proportional representation, the latter promising to give
- Ashdown's faithful greater clout. Since a proportional system
- would rob the major parties of strength, neither Major nor
- Kinnock favors it, though Labour has bowed to the idea of
- autonomy for Wales and restive Scotland. If a hung Parliament
- emerges, a Labour-Liberal Democrat match is the more likely
- partnership.
-
- Strangely, Ashdown's personal appeal increased only after
- a newspaper's February expose of his brief affair with a former
- secretary five years ago. Unlike Bill Clinton's alleged amour in
- the U.S., the Ashdown affair left voters sympathizing with the
- party leader they had not known well before. Even so, whoever
- comes up with a Commons majority after next week, the bold
- leadership Britain knew during the 1980s stands to shade into
- a more uncertain thing. Tories and Labour are groping for new
- directions. Ashdown commands the middle of the road, but he may
- get trampled under the stampede to join him.
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