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- BUSINESS, Page 57WORLD OF BUSINESSAdventure in Equities
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- By Robert Ball
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- Most investors know that 1991 was a good year on Wall
- Street. Not so many know that, compared with a lot of other
- equity markets, Wall Street was an also-ran. Despite the
- headlines about New York's all-time record highs in January, the
- same is proving to be true so far this year.
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- This simply underlines how many games there now are in
- town. New York, London and Tokyo may be the heavyweights, but
- there is action in Thailand, Jordan and Chile as well.
- Datastream International, a company that provides market data,
- tracks 40 stock markets worldwide. Brokerage houses now need the
- horizons of travel agents to satisfy a clientele no longer
- content to stay at home. Much treasure lies buried on distant
- shores, in places that used to show up only in holiday brochures
- or travelogues.
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- According to a study by Morgan Stanley Capital
- International, the 1991 world champions came from Latin America.
- The markets in Argentina, Mexico and Chile were up 403%, 120%
- and 106%, respectively, after converting local currency gains
- into dollars. (Brazil, an even higher flyer, lost out on
- conversion: the cruzeiro sank about as fast as the market rose.)
- But it wasn't just a Latin carnival. The Philippine stock market
- trebled Wall Street's 26% gain, Hong Kong nearly doubled it, and
- Australia matched it.
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- Exotic equity markets, called fringe markets or emerging
- markets in the securities trade, are continuing their surge in
- 1992. Five weeks into the year, all the top 15 in Datastream's
- rankings are Third World countries, except Taiwan, South Korea,
- Greece, Hong Kong and Finland, and these 15 leading performers
- include such surprises as Colombia, India, Indonesia and
- Nigeria. The U.S. languishes in 21st place, among such other
- slugabeds as the major European countries. Japan, of course, is
- famously down, bumping the bottom of the performance standings.
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- This doesn't mean that investors should rush to put their
- nest eggs into Zimbabwean stocks. The risk to a hard-currency
- investor of losing on conversion what has been won in local
- currency is only one of the hazards. All markets fluctuate, but
- small exotic markets, often thin and subject to political
- instability, are apt to fluctuate more. Nonetheless,
- sophisticated investors and their brokers cannot ignore the
- opportunities provided by the extraordinary diversity of market
- performance. Nowadays there is always money to be made somewhere
- in the world.
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- To be sure, many of these stock markets have been around
- for some time, but until recently obstacles to investing in
- them were too daunting for most players. Now investors nearly
- everywhere can choose from a smorgasbord of national and
- regional equity funds run by people who can claim to know what
- they are doing. Martin H. Paling, chief investment strategist
- for London stockbrokers James Casays, "Equity investors are
- clearly becoming more adventurous. For example, the large rises
- in markets in Latin America reflect more than domestic
- interest."
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- Picking individual stocks in faraway places is not for the
- fainthearted, but with exotic stocks packaged in funds, an
- investor undeterred by transaction costs can even daydream of
- multiplying his gains by surfing around the world, taking a
- short, profitable ride on each cresting wave. All he needs is
- a globe, a pin and some strong hunches. In the '90s even distant
- neighbors have no trouble keeping up with the Dow Joneses.
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