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canslim-digest         Sunday, March 23 2003         Volume 02 : Number 3240



In this issue:

       Re: [CANSLIM] OFF TOPIC, stop order question
       [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 16:41:44 -0800
From: "Mike Lucero" <[e-mail]>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] OFF TOPIC, stop order question

I have had similar problems setting stop orders at night using Schwab. I
believe the cause is the Bid and Ask moving around in after-hours trading.
If I call Schwab, the brokers are able to place a stop order inside of these
big ranges, and they will give me the Internet price since their software
won't let me do it myself.

Mike
- ----- Original Message -----
From: "Mo" <[e-mail]>
To: <[e-mail]>
Sent: Thursday, March 20, 2003 2:22 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] OFF TOPIC, stop order question


> I have had several stop orders rejected by E*Trade
> recently and would like to know if other brokers have
> the same restrictions.  E*Trade requires the stop
> price to be:
>
> at least Ask + $0.10 for a buy order
> at most  Bid - $0.10 for a sell order
>
> Further aggravating the situation, my rejected orders
> were placed after the market had closed when
> (according to E*Trade) the Bid and/or Ask prices are
> essentially undefined.  Has anyone had a similar
> experience with other brokers?
>
>
> My correspondence with E*Trade follows:
>
> I tried to place a stop order on 3/19/03 at approx.
> 1:00 am EDT, clearly after the market had closed.  The
> order I wanted to place was:
>
> Buy 500 PWI, STOP @ $16.98
>
> The order was rejected so I tried a market order for
> the same security.  The confirmation page for the
> order (which I canceled) showed the following for PWI:
>
> Price: $16.80
> Bid:   $13.12
> Ask:   $33.76
>
> I assume that my stop order was rejected because it
> was not outside of the bid/ask price range.  Where did
> these prices for the bid/ask come from??!!  The ask
> price is 70% higher than the 52-week high for PWI!
>
> I experienced a similar problem the day before on an
> order for DAKT.  The price spread was not as
> unbelievable as the one for PWI but my order was still
> rejected.
>
> E*Trade's response:
>
> The skewed Bid/Ask that you see when the market is
> closed is simply information that the market maker
> reports once the market is closed.  It is not
> indicative of any actual Bid or Ask for that very
> reason.  As such, it means that most stop orders have
> to be placed when the market is open as the orders
> need to be at least $0.10 above the Ask for a buy
> order and $0.10 below the Bid for a sell order.
>
> __________________________________________________
> Do you Yahoo!?
> Yahoo! Platinum - Watch CBS' NCAA March Madness, live on your desktop!
> http://platinum.yahoo.com
>
> -
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------------------------------

Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 09:34:40 -0500
From: "Tom Worley" <[e-mail]>
Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview

This is a multi-part message in MIME format.

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ECONOMICS
Housing starts tumbled 11% in February to a 1.622 million unit rate, =
well under the 1.723 million expected. Severe weather was blamed. =
Permits, however, continued to show strength and positive expectation =
for the future, rising 0.4% to 1.786 million despite expectations for a =
drop to 1.73 million.

FOMC did as expected, and did nothing with rates on Tuesday, instead =
opting to signal the potential for a rate cut between meetings by =
admitting that they don't know which is the greater threat to the =
economy, inflation, or continued weakness. The "heightened surveillance" =
message clearly means they are ready to cut again depending on a number =
of events, including the progress of the Iraq war, further terrorist =
activity, or further economic sluggishness or even increased weakness =
once worry over Iraq is resolved. The rally this week in the markets, =
and the progress of the war, if both continue, likely mean no further =
rate cuts, certainly not before the May meeting.

In further confirmation of recent data showing a weakening labor market, =
weekly new claims for unemployment remained high, slipping only 4,000 to =
421,000 and in line with expectations. The 4 week average of new claims =
rose to 424,750, and continuing claims rose to 3.55 million from 3.48 =
million.

Index of leading economic indicators fell in February for the first time =
in five months, dropping 0.4% and in line with expectations.

CPI in February rose 0.6%, primarily because of a 5.9% increase in =
energy prices. Food was also up 0.7%. The core rate was a tame 0.1% =
increase. Expected was an overall increase of 0.5%, and a core rate gain =
of 0.2%.
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- -------

"M"
As the week ends, some of the uncertainty of war with Iraq is finally =
over, especially the "when", and to some degree the "how fast" and "how =
much damage to the oil fields". Reflecting this, gold and oil prices =
continued to retreat sharply, and the dollar strengthened. The southern =
oil fields were already in coalition hands, and the wells, pumping =
stations, separators, and marine terminals were captured virtually =
intact with minimal damage. A handful of wells were on fire, and =
expected to be extinguished within a month or so. Allied forces were =
advancing rapidly and with limited loss of life, even though any lives =
lost is still tragic. But the allied forces will only go up against the =
best of Iraqi military in the next two days, that will be the first clue =
to the degree of difficulty in liberating central and northern Iraq, =
including the northern oil fields.

Of the major indexes, the DOW 30 and the S&P500 both joined NASDAQ in =
positive territory for the year, and are all well over both the 50 and =
200 dma. The NYSE Composite is within striking distance of its 200 dma, =
as are most of the other indexes. A test of the October lows is, for the =
moment, last week's news. Volume has finally picked up, running average =
or better for over a week on most indexes. Both NYSE and NASDAQ are back =
into overbought territory, a place they have not seen for a while. And =
while up/down volume has surged strongly to the positive, the new highs =
/ lows ratio continues to lag substantially even while closing the gap, =
a good indication of just how much the markets have depressed in past =
months, and how much of the rally is institutionally driven in only big =
and mid cap stocks.

The cost of the war, and the humanitarian aid and reconstruction, is yet =
to be assessed, but the US can apply the $30 billion in aid that Turkey =
spurned by refusing cooperation. And already a move is being made to tap =
the over $40 billion built up and backlogged by the UN Security Council =
(almost two years of oil income, no wonder the people of Iraq are =
starving) in the oil for food program from Iraqi oil (previously almost =
exclusively to the benefit of French and Russian companies). Aside from =
UK, the rest of Europe cannot be expected to lend much help in the costs =
of recovery. After 8 straight days of positive numbers in the market =
(including the best day in 20 years, and one of the best weeks in 4 or =
so years), how much longer can the rally last? If you were not ready =
with your watch list, or are not already fully invested, is it too late? =
There are indications that much money is still sidelined by =
institutional managers, and could be pumped in next week, in part for =
the last week of window dressing. But soon Iraq will be last week's =
news, and the markets will again focus on economic issues and =
employment, both of which are very weak. This rally has been marked with =
a number of breakouts with quality, I will focus my review of charts =
looking for ones that have not already reached excessive extension. It =
still appears to me that we are in a bull rally within a bear market =
trend, only time will tell if the bear is ready to go into it's cave, =
and stay there this time. Economics, employment and consumer sentiment =
suggests not, but the latter can change very rapidly and drag the other =
two along.

- -------------------------------------------------------------------------=
- -------
WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES=20
This list is in no way intended to recommend any stocks to the group. It =
is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health of CANSLIM's =
"M" and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some stocks with =
constructive chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from =
(and of course doing your own due diligence). I am employed in =
Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is =
strictly my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views =
or opinions of my employer.

I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS ranking of 80 or better, =
and try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition / buyout =
scenario. I look at all charts that meet this general RS/EPS criteria, =
focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I consider all =
industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my =
personal investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings forecast =
for this year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no =
due diligence, that is your responsibility. I will note any CANSLIM =
patterns I see, such as c&h, double (or triple) bottoms, or flat bases =
(shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also note LLUR =
(Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM =
pattern. Rarely are any of these stocks of interest to me for my =
personal investing due size, price or industry group. I will note any =
stocks in which I have a current personal financial interest, whether =
real money or virtual reality (VR).

The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend surged strongly, =
growing nearly 50%. Many (most?) good CANSLIM stocks are already well =
extended.

AFL - love the duck, handle possibly forming, volume never dried up
BLL - broke pivot Friday on volume
BWS - right at pivot on Friday on 2X ADV
DF - breaking out from a B4
DNEX - B5
EDUC - B4, low price, low liquidity, in my VR Fund
ERES - LLUR
FBP - c&h, approaching handle pivot
FOX - saucer
GAF - B10
HRZB - B8
ICST - c&h, volume declined early in the handle, picking up now
IDXX - c&h
JCOM - may be a handleless cup
MFSF - B5
ODFL - c&h
OZRK - B9+
PFCB - c&h, nice b/o Friday on heavy volume
PKTR - high handle?
PORT - LLUR
RTLX - c&h, at pivot, low liquidity, in my VR Fund
TTC  - b/o Friday from a B5-
UCBH - b/o Friday from a c&h below the left rim
VTAL - c&h, low priced

America is at war, God bless our military, they deserve our support, no =
matter what you think about going to war


Tom Worley
[e-mail]
AIM: TexWorley
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<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
charset=3Diso-8859-1">
<META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2800.1141" name=3DGENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>ECONOMICS</STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Housing starts tumbled 11% in February to a =
1.622 million=20
unit rate, well under the 1.723 million expected. Severe weather was =
blamed.=20
Permits, however, continued to show strength and positive expectation =
for the=20
future, rising 0.4% to 1.786 million despite expectations for a drop to =
1.73=20
million.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>FOMC did as expected, and did nothing with rates =
on=20
Tuesday, instead opting to signal the potential for a rate cut between =
meetings=20
by admitting that they don't know which is the greater threat to the =
economy,=20
inflation, or continued weakness. The "heightened surveillance" message =
clearly=20
means they are ready to cut again depending on a number of events, =
including the=20
progress of the Iraq war, further terrorist activity, or further =
economic=20
sluggishness or even increased weakness once worry over Iraq is =
resolved. The=20
rally this week in the markets, and the progress of the war, if both =
continue,=20
likely mean no further rate cuts, certainly not before the May=20
meeting.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>In further confirmation of recent data showing a =
weakening=20
labor market, weekly new claims for unemployment remained high, slipping =
only=20
4,000 to 421,000 and in line with expectations. The 4 week average of =
new claims=20
rose to 424,750, and continuing claims rose to 3.55 million from 3.48=20
million.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Index of leading economic indicators fell in =
February for=20
the first time in five months, dropping 0.4% and in line with=20
expectations.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>CPI in February rose 0.6%, primarily because of =
a 5.9%=20
increase in energy prices. Food was also up 0.7%. The core rate was a =
tame 0.1%=20
increase. Expected was an overall increase of 0.5%, and a core rate gain =
of=20
0.2%.
<HR>
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>"M"</STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>As the week ends, some of the uncertainty of war =
with Iraq=20
is finally over, especially the "when", and to some degree the "how =
fast" and=20
"how much damage to the oil fields". Reflecting this, gold and oil =
prices=20
continued to retreat sharply, and the dollar strengthened. The southern =
oil=20
fields were already in coalition hands, and the wells, pumping stations, =

separators, and marine terminals were captured virtually intact with =
minimal=20
damage. A handful of wells were on fire, and expected to be extinguished =
within=20
a month or so. Allied forces were advancing rapidly and with limited =
loss of=20
life, even though any lives lost is still tragic. But the allied forces =
will=20
only go up against the best of Iraqi military in the next two days, that =
will be=20
the first clue to the degree of difficulty in liberating central and =
northern=20
Iraq, including the northern oil fields.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Of the major indexes, the DOW 30 and the =
S&P500 both=20
joined NASDAQ in positive territory for the year, and are all well over =
both the=20
50 and 200 dma. The NYSE Composite is within striking distance of its =
200 dma,=20
as are most of the other indexes. A test of the October lows is, for the =
moment,=20
last week's news. Volume has finally picked up, running average or =
better for=20
over a week on most indexes. Both NYSE and NASDAQ are back into =
overbought=20
territory, a place they have not seen for a while. And while up/down =
volume has=20
surged strongly to the positive, the new highs / lows ratio continues to =
lag=20
substantially even while closing the gap, a good indication of just how =
much the=20
markets have depressed in past months, and how much of the rally is=20
institutionally driven in only big and mid cap stocks.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>The cost of the war, and the humanitarian aid =
and=20
reconstruction, is yet to be assessed, but the US can apply the $30 =
billion in=20
aid that Turkey spurned by refusing cooperation. And already a move is =
being=20
made to tap the over $40 billion built up and backlogged by the UN =
Security=20
Council (almost two years of oil income, no wonder the people of Iraq =
are=20
starving) in the oil for food program from Iraqi oil (previously almost=20
exclusively to the benefit of French and Russian companies). Aside from =
UK, the=20
rest of Europe cannot be expected to lend much help in the costs of =
recovery.=20
After 8 straight days of positive numbers in the market (including the =
best day=20
in 20 years, and one of the best weeks in 4 or so years), how much =
longer can=20
the rally last? If you were not ready with your watch list, or are not =
already=20
fully invested, is it too late? There are indications that much money is =
still=20
sidelined by institutional managers, and could be pumped in next week, =
in part=20
for the last week of window dressing. But soon Iraq will be last week's =
news,=20
and the markets will again focus on economic issues and employment, both =
of=20
which are very weak. This rally has been marked with a number of =
breakouts with=20
quality, I will focus my review of charts looking for ones that have not =
already=20
reached excessive extension. It still appears to me that we are in a =
bull rally=20
within a bear market trend, only time will tell if the bear is ready to =
go into=20
it's cave, and stay there this time. Economics, employment and consumer=20
sentiment suggests not, but the latter can change very rapidly and =
drag the=20
other two along.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial><FONT face=3DArial><STRONG>
<HR>
WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES</STRONG></FONT><FONT face=3D"Times New =
Roman">=20
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>This list is in no way intended to recommend any =
stocks to=20
the group. It is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health =
of=20
CANSLIM's "M" and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some =
stocks=20
with constructive chart patterns that may be worth <STRONG><FONT=20
color=3D#ff0000>WATCHING</FONT> and learning from</STRONG> (and of =
course doing=20
your own due diligence). <FONT color=3D#0000ff><STRONG><EM>I am employed =
in=20
Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is =
strictly=20
my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views or =
opinions of=20
my employer.</EM></STRONG></FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS =
ranking of 80=20
or better, and try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition =
/=20
buyout scenario. I look at all charts that meet =
this general RS/EPS=20
criteria, focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I =
consider all=20
industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my =
personal=20
investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings =
forecast=20
for this year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. <FONT=20
color=3D#ff0000>I do no due diligence, that is your =
responsibility</FONT>. I will=20
note any CANSLIM patterns I see, such as c&h, double (or triple) =
bottoms, or=20
flat bases (shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also =
note LLUR=20
(Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM =
pattern. Rarely=20
are any of these stocks of interest to me for my personal investing due =
size,=20
price or industry group. I will note any stocks in which I have a =
current=20
personal financial interest, whether real money or virtual reality=20
(VR).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>The population of stocks I am reviewing this =
weekend=20
surged strongly, growing nearly 50%. Many (most?) good CANSLIM stocks =
are=20
already well extended.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>AFL - love the duck, handle possibly forming, volume never dried =
up</DIV>
<DIV>BLL - broke pivot Friday on volume</DIV>
<DIV>BWS - right at pivot on Friday on 2X ADV</DIV>
<DIV>DF - breaking out from a B4</DIV>
<DIV>DNEX - B5</DIV>
<DIV>EDUC - B4, low price, low liquidity, in my VR Fund</DIV>
<DIV>ERES - LLUR</DIV>
<DIV>FBP - c&h, approaching handle pivot</DIV>
<DIV>FOX - saucer</DIV>
<DIV>GAF - B10</DIV>
<DIV>HRZB - B8</DIV>
<DIV>ICST - c&h, volume declined early in the handle, picking up =
now</DIV>
<DIV>IDXX - c&h</DIV>
<DIV>JCOM - may be a handleless cup</DIV>
<DIV>MFSF - B5</DIV>
<DIV>ODFL - c&h</DIV>
<DIV>OZRK - B9+</DIV>
<DIV>PFCB - c&h, nice b/o Friday on heavy volume</DIV>
<DIV>PKTR - high handle?</DIV>
<DIV>PORT - LLUR</DIV>
<DIV>RTLX - c&h, at pivot, low liquidity, in my VR Fund</DIV>
<DIV>TTC  - b/o Friday from a B5-</DIV>
<DIV>UCBH - b/o Friday from a c&h below the left rim</DIV>
<DIV>VTAL - c&h, low priced</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>America is at war, God bless our military, they deserve our =
support, no=20
matter what you think about going to=20
war</DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></DI=
V></DIV></DIV></DIV></DIV></FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial></FONT><FONT face=3DArial><IMG alt=3D"" =
hspace=3D0=20
src=3D"cid:006601c2f149$56ad4da0$6500a8c0@TOMSBOX" align=3Dbaseline=20
border=3D0></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial>Tom Worley<BR></FONT><A=20
href=3D"mailto:[e-mail]"><FONT=20
face=3DArial>[e-mail]</FONT></A><BR><FONT face=3DArial>AIM: =

TexWorley</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>

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